Polydata

@Third-Odyssey

#7,94893

0xa53ba9d683f68602ccd767512d5c862a43824021

190d· 439 markets · 3487 tradesVol: $442,5642026-06-19T14:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 90.51x15/15
Sharpe 0.50910/15
Sortino 0.8959/10
EV $+14.25510/10
HHI 13010/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Third-Odyssey is a highly active trader on Polymarket, operating consistently for 366 days with a total of 3,487 trades across 325 markets. Ranked #7948 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $17,554.09 from $442,564 in volume, demonstrating strong performance. Their elite Smart Score of 93/100 reflects a sophisticated approach and effective execution over a substantial trading history.

The trader exhibits a preference for markets that allow for frequent, high-conviction trades given their impressive 92.9% win rate and a profit factor above 10. Third-Odyssey’s style leans towards tactical entries and exits, as indicated by a 44% sell rate and badges like Sniper and Contrarian. The absence of weather market exposure and a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.51 suggest a balanced risk approach with a focus on consistent gains rather than aggressive high-risk bets. Their equity trend is upward, indicative of sustained growth and disciplined risk management.

Third-Odyssey’s strengths lie in their consistency, precision, and ability to maintain an upward portfolio trajectory without significant drawdowns. However, the relatively low portfolio value compared to net PnL and a bot score suggesting human trading speed may imply manual strategy execution, which could be less scalable. Overall, their data-driven, methodical style positions Third-Odyssey as a reliable trader on Polymarket, though scalability and automation might limit further rapid growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+17,554
Contrarian
70% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.0 entries/market
Win Streak
54 wins in a row
Whale
$63,981
Consistent
64/69 days
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

4
💰 FINANCE#357$13,294Vol: $314,161
CRYPTO#14,925$2,871Vol: $93,743
🏛️ POLITICS#25,260$559Vol: $20,783
📈 ECONOMICS#4,105$524Vol: $6,529

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,554
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$442,564
Total Redeem
$5,321
Portfolio
$1,362
Predictions
439
total markets
Trades
1947B / 1540S
Daily Volume
$175
Account Age
190d
since Dec 12, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$205
Vol: $3,103
Week
$719
Vol: $17,892
Month
$4,641
Vol: $52,276
All Time
$17,554
Vol: $442,564

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
142W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$20,265
Win Rate
93%
221W / 17L
Profit Factor
10.06x
Avg Win
$84
Avg Loss
$-109

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,777 (16.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will BNB dip to $600 in June?$1,268
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?$832
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?$676
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?$614
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?$565
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?$502
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 4 2026?$422
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$412
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 Week of June 15 2026?$399
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of June 8 2026?$346

Top Losers

Will EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?$-1,093
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?$-323
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?$-117
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?$-65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-63
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of Mar$-48
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March$-32
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-26
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January?$-25
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.509
Sortino
0.895
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$14.255
Kelly %
89.3%
Half-Kelly
44.6%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 436s — typical for humanSize CV 1.56 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness21 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA
<=1
93 entries
<=2
160 entries
<=5
228 entries
<=10
279 entries
<=20
309 entries
<=50
321 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.1%
Mid (20-55c)57.7%
High (>55c)19.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.9%

Other$16,784

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
187

Single bracket

<=1
121 brackets
<=2
152 brackets
<=3
170 brackets
<=4
179 brackets
<=5
180 brackets
<=8
187 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/1/2026, 12:55:05 AM3 trades$301 min
1/1/2026, 1:51:05 PM1 trades$00 min
1/1/2026, 2:27:47 PM1 trades$700 min
1/2/2026, 2:31:41 AM1 trades$120 min
1/2/2026, 7:37:59 PM1 trades$30 min
1/7/2026, 2:58:53 AM1 trades$730 min
1/7/2026, 3:45:11 AM1 trades$370 min
1/7/2026, 7:20:09 PM1 trades$170 min
1/8/2026, 11:35:53 AM1 trades$20 min
1/8/2026, 1:03:41 PM1 trades$1440 min
1/9/2026, 5:35:38 AM1 trades$500 min
1/9/2026, 7:20:14 AM1 trades$140 min
1/11/2026, 5:05:16 PM1 trades$220 min
1/13/2026, 11:05:45 AM1 trades$220 min
1/13/2026, 11:36:15 AM1 trades$50 min
1/13/2026, 2:25:29 PM1 trades$40 min
1/13/2026, 2:57:53 PM4 trades$320 min
1/13/2026, 4:23:05 PM1 trades$60 min
1/13/2026, 4:30:51 PM1 trades$40 min
1/13/2026, 4:38:07 PM2 trades$111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
03-09
03-25
04-09
04-23
05-22
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event