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@Thorny-Consistency

#5,04532

0x874bc9413db226ccac0e032d7586916e3429968f

156d· 6553 markets · 2323 tradesVol: $2,683,8312026-06-26T05:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 37%2/10

Summary

Thorny-Consistency is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,323 trades executed across 1,444 markets over 127 days. Despite holding a below-average Smart Score of 32/100 and ranking #5045 globally, Thorny-Consistency has achieved a notable net profit of $30,291.63 and an upward equity trend. The trader's portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their total trading volume exceeds $2.6 million, reflecting substantial market engagement.

The trading style of Thorny-Consistency appears focused on high-frequency participation with a strong win rate of 80.1%, suggesting a preference for frequent, smaller bets rather than large directional plays. Their very low sell percentage (1%) and minimal exposure to weather markets indicate a conservative exit strategy and selective market preferences. The combination of a semi-bot trading approach and a short max drawdown duration points to an automated or algorithmically assisted method that emphasizes consistent, incremental gains over timing the market perfectly.

Strengths for Thorny-Consistency include a high win rate and a consistent upward equity trend, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, which highlight precision and holding power. However, the low profit factor of 0.06 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.66) reveal potential risks related to risk-adjusted returns and volatility management. The reliance on automated strategies could also pose risks during unusual market conditions, which may challenge Thorny-Consistency’s overall performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+30,292
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Win Streak
97 wins in a row
Whale
$422,386
High Roller
$3,315/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,331$30,292Vol: $2,683,831

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,292
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,683,831
Total Redeem
$295,315
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6553
total markets
Trades
2290B / 33S
Daily Volume
$3,315
Account Age
156d
since Feb 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-203
Vol: $9,338
Week
$117
Vol: $45,555
Month
$117
Vol: $45,555
All Time
$30,292
Vol: $2,683,831

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$68,812
Win Rate
80%
1152W / 285L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-465

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$139
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$44

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-1,491
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-1,239
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-998
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-833
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-826
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-767
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-727
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-723
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-711
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$-707

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.664
Sortino
-0.647
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.297
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.4%
Top-5 markets
1.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.2
Active
Markets / Day
11.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.5m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 626s — typical for humanSize CV 0.84 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness18 trades/day — very active11 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
1231 entries
<=2
1354 entries
<=5
1387 entries
<=10
1419 entries
<=20
1435 entries
<=50
1444 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.5%
High (>55c)62.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.7%

Other$-125,239

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1444

Single bracket

<=1
1444 brackets
<=2
1444 brackets
<=3
1444 brackets
<=4
1444 brackets
<=5
1444 brackets
<=8
1444 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/18/2026, 8:14:14 PM2 trades$941 min
2/19/2026, 4:07:34 PM2 trades$1190 min
2/25/2026, 6:19:04 AM2 trades$2621 min
2/25/2026, 12:02:48 PM2 trades$2840 min
2/26/2026, 1:42:04 AM2 trades$2970 min
2/26/2026, 7:59:44 PM2 trades$3700 min
2/26/2026, 11:29:20 PM3 trades$3900 min
2/26/2026, 11:39:14 PM7 trades$4591 min
2/28/2026, 5:48:09 PM1 trades$3450 min
3/1/2026, 5:07:41 AM11 trades$6141 min
3/1/2026, 6:04:47 AM2 trades$6120 min
3/1/2026, 10:37:09 AM2 trades$5302 min
3/1/2026, 9:29:47 PM2 trades$5261 min
3/1/2026, 9:38:57 PM11 trades$9536 min
3/1/2026, 9:59:01 PM2 trades$6601 min
3/1/2026, 10:08:29 PM1 trades$4030 min
3/1/2026, 11:49:33 PM2 trades$5090 min
3/2/2026, 4:19:01 AM2 trades$6150 min
3/2/2026, 6:48:33 AM1 trades$4960 min
3/2/2026, 9:23:01 AM2 trades$5770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
03-06
03-16
03-26
04-19
04-29
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event