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@Tiger200

#2,911,81319

0x6211f97a76ed5c4b1d658f637041ac5f293db89e

262d· 130 markets · 18104 tradesVol: $35,406,6212026-06-24T11:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 0.04x0/15
HHI 15810/10
Profit Days 2%0/10

Summary

Tiger200 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 18,104 trades across 130 markets over 242 days. Despite this volume, their overall net PnL stands at a significant loss of approximately $2.5 million, placing them at rank #2,911,813 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating no remaining capital in open positions. Tiger200’s Smart Score of 19/100 suggests they are a beginner by Polymarket’s standards, and their negative Sharpe ratio of -1.07 reflects poor risk-adjusted returns.

Tiger200 appears to employ a high-risk, high-volume trading style with a strong focus on frequent market participation rather than selective or strategic timing. Their win rate is only 2.3%, and the profit factor is 0.04, indicating that losses substantially outweigh gains. They do not engage in selling positions, as indicated by a 0% sell rate, and show no activity in weather-related markets. The semi-bot score of 45/100 suggests a mixed approach involving both automated and manual trading elements, but overall their strategy lacks consistency and effective risk management.

The key strength of Tiger200 lies in their high trading volume and consistent activity, which may provide opportunities to learn and adapt over time, as suggested by an upward equity trend. However, the extremely low win rate, large cumulative losses, and absence of portfolio capital highlight significant risks. Their beginner status on Polymarket and negative risk metrics suggest that without substantial changes, Tiger200’s current approach may continue to generate poor outcomes.

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$16,852,484
High Roller
$69,638/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,746,885$-2,512,978Vol: $35,406,621

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,512,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,406,621
Total Redeem
$922,779
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
18104B / 0S
Daily Volume
$69,638
Account Age
262d
since Oct 17, 2025

Periods

#2
Month
$-1,874,594
Vol: $6,020,800
All Time
$-2,512,978
Vol: $35,406,621

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
53W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-2,939,032
Win Rate
2%
3W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$244,782
Avg Loss
$-131,213

Top Winners

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$643,647
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$51,999
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights$38,700

Top Losers

Texans vs. Patriots$-573,026
Knicks vs. Spurs$-524,104
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-521,040
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes$-461,502
Knicks vs. Spurs$-459,280
Thunder vs. Spurs$-450,999
Bills vs. Jaguars$-446,937
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic$-427,694
76ers vs. Celtics$-425,245
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines$-373,671

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.065
Sortino
-1.092
HHI
158
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.945
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
15.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
75.0
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
62% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 11.88 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.17 — human randomness75 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
139.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
22 entries
<=2
25 entries
<=5
40 entries
<=10
52 entries
<=20
69 entries
<=50
81 entries
>50
49 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)44.4%
High (>55c)55.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 34.2%

Houston$-392
Toronto$-37,654
Seattle$-102,497
San Francisco$-200,986
Los Angeles$-288,669
Other$-15,299,507

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
114

Single bracket

<=1
101 brackets
<=2
111 brackets
<=3
114 brackets
<=4
114 brackets
<=5
114 brackets
<=8
114 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/20/2025, 6:44:47 PM1 trades$41,6640 min
11/2/2025, 4:01:43 PM71 trades$17,53075 min
11/2/2025, 5:50:39 PM16 trades$6,3009 min
11/9/2025, 7:50:15 PM1 trades$29,9520 min
11/25/2025, 11:01:35 PM1 trades$3920 min
11/26/2025, 2:02:23 AM148 trades$201,30035 min
11/30/2025, 10:33:28 PM1 trades$15,4540 min
12/26/2025, 1:12:31 AM2 trades$114,4970 min
12/26/2025, 9:29:27 PM5 trades$24,5270 min
1/3/2026, 9:14:59 PM7 trades$177,8873 min
1/4/2026, 1:01:53 AM69 trades$36,6377 min
1/11/2026, 3:29:04 PM1 trades$446,9370 min
1/13/2026, 12:11:41 AM2 trades$37,2623 min
1/13/2026, 12:38:39 AM1 trades$28,0030 min
1/13/2026, 12:44:13 AM32 trades$88,38713 min
1/13/2026, 1:04:13 AM1 trades$3,2210 min
1/16/2026, 3:12:36 AM19 trades$15,44016 min
1/17/2026, 6:23:06 PM19 trades$292,6932 min
1/18/2026, 1:19:46 AM7 trades$11,9121 min
1/18/2026, 6:19:40 PM2 trades$283,4941 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
01-27
03-14
04-18
05-05
05-24
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 139.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event