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Tired-Tentacle

@Tired-Tentacle

#38,71586

0x56e91151755bb02eba36a37d50cdbcc8923fea02

63d· 3667 markets · 5921 tradesVol: $1,560,3752026-06-23T05:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 1.86x13/15
Sharpe 0.4198/15
Sortino 0.7317/10
EV $+0.1839/10
HHI 3810/10
Profit Days 69%10/10
DD/Peak 25%9/10

Summary

Tired-Tentacle is an active trader on Polymarket with a notable presence, ranking #38,715 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 62 days, they have executed 5,921 trades across 546 markets, generating a net profit of $2,696.76 from a total volume exceeding $1.5 million. Their Smart Score of 86/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance and skillful market engagement.

The trader’s strategy appears diversified, with a preference for high-frequency trading rather than focusing on specific market categories, as evidenced by zero exposure to weather markets. Tired-Tentacle maintains a moderate risk profile, with a 69% win rate and a profit factor of 1.86, indicating profitable trades are nearly twice as large as losing ones. Their trading style incorporates automated elements, supported by a Bot Score of 75/100, and they employ techniques such as dollar-cost averaging and contrarian positions. The sell percentage of 42% suggests a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions.

Key strengths for Tired-Tentacle include a strong win rate and effective risk management, highlighted by an upward equity trend and no recorded drawdown duration. Their use of automation and diverse market participation enhances execution efficiency. Potential risks involve a relatively modest Sharpe ratio of 0.42, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns, and a zero portfolio value, which may reflect closed positions or temporary inactivity. Overall, Tired-Tentacle demonstrates a disciplined and adaptive presence in Polymarket trading.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+2,697
Contrarian
59% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.3 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
Whale
$133,389
Consistent
24/35 days
High Roller
$2,151/day
Cool Head
DD 25%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#21,026$1,805Vol: $1,478,602
🏛️ POLITICS#1,374,318$-26Vol: $45,114
SPORTS#41,558$737Vol: $20,315
🎭 CULTURE#698,571$-16Vol: $2,096
💻 TECH#235,652$-187Vol: $1,778

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,697
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,560,375
Total Redeem
$29,388
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3667
total markets
Trades
3435B / 2486S
Daily Volume
$2,151
Account Age
63d
since Apr 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-3,383
Vol: $182,671
All Time
$2,697
Vol: $1,560,375

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
248W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$88,798
Win Rate
69%
232W / 104L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-220

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,704 (13.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$955
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$897
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$852
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$754
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$717
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$701
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$689
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$633
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$599
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$573

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$-1,494
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$-934
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$-931
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$-724
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-720
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$-631
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$-542
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$-518
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$-511
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-478

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.419
Sortino
0.731
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.183
Kelly %
48.7%
Half-Kelly
24.3%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
164.4
Very active
Markets / Day
15.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.5m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.47 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.33 — human randomness164 trades/day — automation15 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.3
Active DCA
<=1
98 entries
<=2
208 entries
<=5
362 entries
<=10
467 entries
<=20
513 entries
<=50
546 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.4%
Mid (20-55c)52.1%
High (>55c)21.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.8%

Other$19,604

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
545

Single bracket

<=1
544 brackets
<=2
545 brackets
<=3
545 brackets
<=4
545 brackets
<=5
545 brackets
<=8
545 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 6:46:10 AM7 trades$6243 min
4/30/2026, 7:42:42 AM18 trades$2202 min
4/30/2026, 7:55:12 AM41 trades$4315 min
4/30/2026, 9:06:14 AM10 trades$2723 min
4/30/2026, 10:05:12 AM36 trades$3555 min
5/1/2026, 2:56:48 AM8 trades$803 min
5/1/2026, 4:52:36 AM18 trades$9823 min
5/1/2026, 7:01:16 AM16 trades$7203 min
5/1/2026, 7:16:32 AM8 trades$4584 min
5/1/2026, 12:18:46 PM22 trades$5046 min
5/2/2026, 1:42:20 AM11 trades$3023 min
5/2/2026, 5:14:48 AM9 trades$1564 min
5/2/2026, 5:38:52 AM35 trades$4206 min
5/3/2026, 3:27:12 AM5 trades$3150 min
5/5/2026, 6:43:22 AM5 trades$3001 min
5/7/2026, 1:00:42 AM10 trades$1114 min
5/8/2026, 1:36:16 AM13 trades$1644 min
5/8/2026, 2:41:20 AM7 trades$5184 min
5/8/2026, 5:04:33 AM4 trades$9571 min
5/9/2026, 8:32:27 AM7 trades$6873 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-07
05-12
05-17
05-22
05-27
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event