Polydata

@Traumatic-Lantern-Roller

#6,42344

0xc1d971eadb83e32358b828cef7a6f722770c5333

62d· 1727 markets · 4359 tradesVol: $1,510,1762026-07-26T04:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 1.23x5/15
Sharpe 0.2234/15
Sortino 0.2913/10
EV $+0.27410/10
HHI 3310/10
Profit Days 62%8/10
DD/Peak 82%0/10

Summary

Traumatic-Lantern-Roller is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL rank of #6423. Over 64 days, they executed 4,359 trades across 737 markets, generating a net profit of $24,743.67 on a total volume of $1.51 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $7,688.72, supported by a consistent upward equity trend. With a Smart Score of 44 out of 100, they demonstrate average trading effectiveness relative to the broader user base.

This trader favors a high-frequency approach with a strong focus on winning trades, as reflected by a 90.3% win rate and a profit factor of 7.72. Traumatic-Lantern-Roller maintains a low sell percentage of 15%, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. The Sharpe Ratio of 0.22 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, while the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective drawdown management. Their semi-automated style, combining bot-driven and manual inputs, allows for fast execution and disciplined dollar-cost averaging strategies.

Key strengths for Traumatic-Lantern-Roller include excellent consistency and high win rates, earning badges like Profitable, DCA Master, and Consistent. However, the relatively low Sharpe Ratio and average Smart Score highlight potential vulnerability to market volatility and occasional suboptimal trade timing. Overall, their balance of volume, profitability, and risk management makes them a noteworthy participant within the Polymarket landscape.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+24,744
DCA Master
avg 5.0 entries/market
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$428,400
Consistent
39/63 days
High Roller
$6,694/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#4,424$12,440Vol: $278,125
CRYPTO#1,654,881$-4,698Vol: $193,059
🏛️ POLITICS#106,271$35Vol: $310
📈 ECONOMICS#45,166$8Vol: $208

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,744
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,510,176
Total Redeem
$294,237
Portfolio
$7,689
Predictions
1727
total markets
Trades
3701B / 658S
Daily Volume
$6,694
Account Age
62d
since May 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$12
Vol: $3,368
Week
$7,780
Vol: $3,368
Month
$16,855
Vol: $698,870
All Time
$24,744
Vol: $1,510,176

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
191W / 366L events
Realized PnL
$112,289
Win Rate
90%
270W / 29L
Profit Factor
7.72x
Avg Win
$385
Avg Loss
$-464

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,477 (7.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winner$2,250
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$2,116
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$2,111
LoL: Team Vitality vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner$1,790
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,748
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$1,621
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight$1,572
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$1,526
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season In$1,489
LoL: Skillcamp Esport vs Esprit Shōnen (BO1) - LFL Regular Season$1,463

Top Losers

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-2,338
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage$-2,064
UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterwe$-1,369
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$-1,349
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$-979
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner$-635
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)$-608
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner$-409
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner$-393
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?$-360

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.223
Sortino
0.291
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.274
Kelly %
83.2%
Half-Kelly
41.6%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
69.8
Very active
Markets / Day
11.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.9m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.96 — diverse, typical for human11% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.32 — human randomness70 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage689 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA
<=1
259 entries
<=2
353 entries
<=5
510 entries
<=10
637 entries
<=20
716 entries
<=50
737 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.4%
High (>55c)62.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 64.9%

Other$89,476
Austin$889
Los Angeles$0
Miami$0
Atlanta$0
London$0
Chicago$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
599

Single bracket

<=1
496 brackets
<=2
570 brackets
<=3
593 brackets
<=4
599 brackets
<=5
599 brackets
<=8
599 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 4:09:11 PM1 trades$760 min
5/24/2026, 8:47:00 PM3 trades$1350 min
5/24/2026, 8:57:02 PM6 trades$660 min
5/24/2026, 9:13:34 PM7 trades$4155 min
5/24/2026, 9:56:02 PM3 trades$2262 min
5/24/2026, 10:55:55 PM5 trades$2712 min
5/25/2026, 2:34:03 AM6 trades$1270 min
5/25/2026, 2:41:12 AM7 trades$1634 min
5/25/2026, 8:19:32 AM4 trades$630 min
5/25/2026, 8:27:32 AM2 trades$430 min
5/25/2026, 8:41:37 AM6 trades$310 min
5/25/2026, 8:48:11 AM9 trades$1521 min
5/25/2026, 9:21:19 AM18 trades$8823 min
5/25/2026, 9:45:56 AM24 trades$3804 min
5/25/2026, 10:32:27 AM6 trades$449 min
5/25/2026, 11:06:55 AM16 trades$1653 min
5/25/2026, 11:26:31 AM12 trades$1303 min
5/25/2026, 11:45:20 AM2 trades$103 min
5/25/2026, 12:03:39 PM35 trades$53610 min
5/25/2026, 12:21:14 PM27 trades$7556 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-05
06-15
06-25
07-05
07-15
07-25
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event