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@Sharky6999

#18330

0x751a2b86cab503496efd325c8344e10159349ea1

562d· 31866 markets · 11082 tradesVol: $231,815,5072026-07-18T03:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.04x0/15
HHI 21710/10
Profit Days 15%0/10

Summary

Sharky6999 ranks #183 on the global Polymarket PnL leaderboard, reflecting a significant net profit of $938,755.70. Over 700 days of trading, they have executed 11,082 trades across 564 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $231 million. Despite this high activity, the trader’s Smart Score is below average at 30/100, and their portfolio value currently sits at $3,997.54. Sharky6999’s win rate stands at 59.2%, yet the profit factor is notably low at 0.04, indicating limited efficiency in converting wins into net gains.

Sharky6999 appears to favor a broad range of markets with a low sell percentage of 7%, suggesting a tendency to hold positions rather than frequently exit. The trader exhibits a semi-automated approach, combining manual and bot strategies, supported by a bot score of 40/100. Their equity trend is upward, but the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.44) and zero max drawdown duration imply inconsistent risk-adjusted returns and possible volatility in portfolio performance. The presence of badges like “Sniper” and “DCA Master” indicates a focus on precise entries and dollar-cost averaging strategies.

The key strength of Sharky6999 lies in their extensive market participation and sustained upward equity trend, which points to adaptability and resilience. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about risk management and overall trading efficiency. Additionally, the below-average Smart Score suggests room for improvement in strategy sophistication. Traders following Sharky6999 on Polymarket should be aware of these mixed signals when assessing their performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+938,756
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 18.4 entries/market
Win Streak
241 wins in a row
Whale
$16,863,739
High Roller
$24,091/day

Categories

9
SPORTS#395$242,419Vol: $113,391,781
CRYPTO#27$631,803Vol: $102,460,466
📈 ECONOMICS#610$9,706Vol: $2,553,245
💰 FINANCE#337$15,305Vol: $1,056,200
🏛️ POLITICS#21,149$766Vol: $942,420
🎭 CULTURE#34,854$39Vol: $188,793
📢 MENTIONS#2,249$479Vol: $181,596
🌤️ WEATHER#11,883$36Vol: $37,020
💻 TECH#12,455$21Vol: $21,202

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$938,756
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$231,815,507
Total Redeem
$3,151,281
Portfolio
$3,998
Predictions
31866
total markets
Trades
10262B / 820S
Daily Volume
$24,091
Account Age
562d
since Jan 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $1,583
Week
$-5,059
Vol: $860,212
Month
$5,804
Vol: $5,977,322
All Time
$938,756
Vol: $231,815,507

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
205W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$914,671
Win Rate
59%
328W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$1,898
Avg Loss
$-61,418

Top Winners

Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$300,200
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main$79,511
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?$77,903
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score$58,435
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$45,231
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$10,238
Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?$6,591
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$5,685
XRP Up or Down - March 8, 2AM ET$5,481
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 23?$5,297

Top Losers

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$-802,254
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$-799,200
Spurs vs. Knicks$-727,527
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$-719,662
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?$-696,303
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?$-599,117
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-564,041
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$-493,667
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?$-484,515
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-476,172

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.436
Sortino
-0.416
HHI
217
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.787
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
22.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
34.2m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 7.16 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness20 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
224 entries
<=2
282 entries
<=5
346 entries
<=10
409 entries
<=20
463 entries
<=50
511 entries
>50
46 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)96.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 31%

Toronto$0
Up or Down$-20,868
Madrid$-904,609
Other$-12,332,276

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
456

Single bracket

<=1
389 brackets
<=2
431 brackets
<=3
445 brackets
<=4
453 brackets
<=5
454 brackets
<=8
456 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/7/2025, 4:21:39 PM2 trades$3392 min
1/7/2025, 4:32:03 PM2 trades$400 min
1/7/2025, 5:02:37 PM1 trades$1580 min
1/7/2025, 5:45:34 PM1 trades$320 min
1/7/2025, 6:36:02 PM1 trades$330 min
1/8/2025, 5:51:32 AM2 trades$1,2703 min
1/8/2025, 6:11:18 AM3 trades$1052 min
1/8/2025, 4:14:11 PM1 trades$3,2160 min
1/8/2025, 4:51:25 PM1 trades$3,6480 min
1/8/2025, 4:57:37 PM1 trades$290 min
1/8/2025, 5:09:07 PM1 trades$4,1620 min
1/9/2025, 9:47:59 PM1 trades$1,1700 min
1/9/2025, 11:17:27 PM1 trades$390 min
1/10/2025, 8:39:56 PM1 trades$2,8860 min
1/12/2025, 10:44:00 PM1 trades$5700 min
1/17/2025, 10:36:36 PM1 trades$2,5700 min
2/2/2025, 6:34:24 PM1 trades$1,1940 min
2/2/2025, 7:38:24 PM1 trades$1,9990 min
2/2/2025, 11:25:15 PM1 trades$2,8730 min
2/3/2025, 1:51:07 AM1 trades$3520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
10-19
12-23
02-09
03-27
06-08
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event