Polydata
Tricky-Tender

@Tricky-Tender

#1,822,69731

0x67c4304ce13d8306130fdc23d7320d0b82dcdfae

13d· 23 markets · 205 tradesVol: $133,013 @BroXcellence2026-05-21T09:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 28%0/20
Profit Factor 0.85x1/15
Sharpe 0.2535/15
Sortino 0.8699/10
HHI 11987/10
Profit Days 36%2/10
DD/Peak 26%9/10

Summary

Tricky-Tender is a moderately active Polymarket trader with 205 trades across 23 markets over 275 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $133,013, their net PnL stands at -$16.41, placing them at rank #1,822,697 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently zero, and their overall Smart Score of 31/100 reflects below-average performance.

Tricky-Tender appears to favor a cautious trading style, as indicated by their “Cool Head” badge and a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.25, suggesting limited risk-adjusted returns. Their win rate is 31.8%, but a profit factor of 3.67 implies that profitable trades yield significantly higher returns than losses. They do not engage in weather markets and sell 43% of their positions, hinting at a balanced approach between holding and exiting trades. Their trading is manual, with a low Bot Score of 10/100, and their equity trend shows gradual growth despite a negative net PnL.

The main strength of Tricky-Tender lies in their ability to maintain an upward equity trend and a high profit factor, indicating they can capitalize on winning trades effectively. However, the low win rate, negative net PnL, and below-average Smart Score suggest inconsistency and potential challenges in sustaining profitability. Their current zero portfolio value may also limit immediate opportunities for market engagement on Polymarket.

Badges

1
Cool Head
DD 26%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#309,857$1Vol: $111,309
🎭 CULTURE#721,342$-38Vol: $9,968
📈 ECONOMICS#29,287$15Vol: $6,460
💻 TECH#14,923$11Vol: $2,725
🌤️ WEATHER#174,426$-1Vol: $2,000
₿ CRYPTO#952,498$-4Vol: $511
💰 FINANCE#357,447$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$133,013
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
116B / 89S
Daily Volume
$32
Account Age
13d
since May 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $500
Week
$5
Vol: $5,550
Month
$-16
Vol: $133,013
All Time
$-16
Vol: $133,013

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
29%
5W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
32%
7W / 15L
Profit Factor
3.67x
Avg Win
$133
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $907 (133.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$767
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Stra$40
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$14
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$1

Top Losers

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?$-190
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominati$-50
Clavicular sentenced to prison?$-8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$-2
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$-1
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$-1
Will GameStop acquire eBay?$-0
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.253
Sortino
0.869
HHI
1198
Moderate
EV per $1
$-3.453
Kelly %
23.4%
Half-Kelly
11.7%
Top-1 market
18.3%
Top-5 markets
69.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 403s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.79 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5
Moderate DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
16 entries
<=5
18 entries
<=10
19 entries
<=20
22 entries
<=50
23 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)57.8%
High (>55c)37.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 40.8%

Other$679

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
19

Single bracket

<=1
16 brackets
<=2
18 brackets
<=3
19 brackets
<=4
19 brackets
<=5
19 brackets
<=8
19 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 11:42:42 AM1 trades$1,0050 min
5/8/2026, 11:57:38 AM2 trades$1,0024 min
5/8/2026, 1:00:38 PM1 trades$5590 min
5/8/2026, 1:07:21 PM1 trades$5600 min
5/8/2026, 2:24:57 PM1 trades$940 min
5/8/2026, 2:40:33 PM2 trades$1034 min
5/8/2026, 3:39:33 PM1 trades$100 min
5/8/2026, 3:45:41 PM2 trades$7601 min
5/8/2026, 4:01:49 PM1 trades$7000 min
5/8/2026, 6:32:55 PM2 trades$881 min
5/9/2026, 4:37:40 AM2 trades$2501 min
5/9/2026, 9:34:12 AM1 trades$7330 min
5/9/2026, 9:57:46 AM2 trades$1293 min
5/9/2026, 5:09:36 PM1 trades$70 min
5/9/2026, 5:58:50 PM1 trades$40 min
5/9/2026, 6:04:35 PM1 trades$1110 min
5/9/2026, 8:17:49 PM1 trades$4450 min
5/10/2026, 7:12:33 AM1 trades$5610 min
5/10/2026, 1:57:56 PM5 trades$2816 min
5/10/2026, 2:39:28 PM1 trades$1110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
05-08
05-12
05-15
05-21
05-25
05-31
06-01
06-30
12-31
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event