Polydata

@Trustinghorse

#2,64373

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84

~154d· 1597 markets · 17117 tradesVol: $13,477,5842026-07-31 15:31:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (1502/1597)20/20
1.42x (win $256,831 / loss $180,282)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.44915/15
Sortino 1.92110/10
$+0.0072 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 72 (1597 markets)10/10
127/145 profitable days (88%)10/10
Max DD 83% of peak ($80,620 / $96,913)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+70,122
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$10,674,915 invested
Consistent
127/145 profitable days
High Roller
$54,743/day
Win Streak
74 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#799$63,426Vol: $9,207,822
📢 MENTIONS#738$2,005Vol: $1,310,322
SPORTS#1,878,063$-18,849Vol: $863,506
🎭 CULTURE#967$8,446Vol: $764,947
💰 FINANCE#4,067$1,038Vol: $499,953
💻 TECH#2,694$374Vol: $246,256
🌤️ WEATHER#2,615$488Vol: $156,074
CRYPTO#34,986$762Vol: $72,553
📈 ECONOMICS#2,506$1,426Vol: $62,818

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$70,122
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,477,584
Total Redeem
$805,869
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1597
total markets
Trades
9144B / 7973S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~154d

Periods

#2
Week
$64
Vol: $11,220
Month
$-5,723
Vol: $1,435,699
All Time
$70,122
Vol: $13,477,584

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
1502W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$70,122
Win Rate
94%
1502W / 95L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$171
Avg Loss
$-3,402

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,138 (0.6579707507709043% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$19,787
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$13,570
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$12,781
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$12,555
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$11,504
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$10,747
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$10,345
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$9,426
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$8,885
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8,006

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-33,440
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-29,900
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-16,443
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$-16,190
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-15,472
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-14,036
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$-10,074
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?$-8,981
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$-7,644
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-6,009

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.042
HHI
65
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
47.3%
Half-Kelly
23.7%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
87.8
Very active
Markets / Day
8.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
62.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 3.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock88 trades/day — mass trading8.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.72
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)98%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 10:39:19 PM58 trades$453,13527 min
4/28/2026, 4:15:38 AM14 trades$201,8060 min
5/9/2026, 5:44:00 PM183 trades$194,0157 min
5/15/2026, 7:21:35 AM628 trades$176,7729 min
6/14/2026, 9:16:57 PM198 trades$170,91823 min
7/7/2026, 7:54:16 PM2 trades$132,9320 min
6/22/2026, 8:31:10 AM43 trades$132,6635 min
4/28/2026, 10:31:56 AM3 trades$128,0800 min
2/9/2026, 11:20:11 AM91 trades$103,50330 min
5/25/2026, 1:11:17 PM43 trades$100,4891 min
7/2/2026, 12:26:52 PM15 trades$98,6741 min
6/15/2026, 2:40:33 AM73 trades$97,6787 min
7/3/2026, 8:56:25 PM204 trades$96,2596 min
6/12/2026, 8:13:09 PM25 trades$96,1267 min
5/1/2026, 3:25:38 AM232 trades$93,28118 min
2/16/2026, 6:30:27 PM3 trades$90,3374 min
3/2/2026, 10:53:37 AM16 trades$85,4098 min
5/12/2026, 6:29:43 AM7 trades$83,2800 min
4/5/2026, 3:55:13 AM2 trades$82,3320 min
4/16/2026, 3:38:12 PM54 trades$78,84215 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
02-17
03-17
04-13
05-24
06-25
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M0.9 / H98