Polydata

@Unequaled-Shingle

#3,048,04028

0x4be1fa92e6ceaf886aac0bbec3be6c527133aa70

190d· 263 markets · 16509 tradesVol: $73,657,613 @polyEztennis2026-07-20T16:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%11/20
Profit Factor 0.99x2/15
HHI 16610/10
Profit Days 51%5/10
DD/Peak 109%0/10

Summary

Unequaled-Shingle is an active trader on Polymarket with over 16,500 trades across 245 markets and a total volume exceeding $73 million. Despite this high activity, their net profit and loss stands at a significant negative $329,511, placing them at rank #3,048,040 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score is below average at 28/100, reflecting considerable challenges in achieving profitable outcomes. The portfolio value has declined to just $41.46 over 202 days of trading, indicating a downward equity trend.

The trader predominantly employs an automated bot-driven approach, as suggested by their high Bot Score of 75/100 and the presence of contrarian and high roller badges. Unequaled-Shingle appears to take on substantial risk, given the low win rate of 30.7% and a profit factor of 0.23, which implies that losses outweigh gains significantly. Their trading style includes a low sell percentage of 13%, indicating a tendency to hold positions longer or avoid frequent profit-taking. There is no engagement in weather markets, showing a preference for other types of prediction markets on Polymarket.

Strengths for Unequaled-Shingle include a large volume of trades and the use of automation, which can enable rapid execution and testing of strategies. However, the significant negative PnL, negative Sharpe ratio, and low win rate highlight substantial risks, such as poor timing or ineffective market selection. The downward equity trend and minimal portfolio value raise concerns about sustainability despite the trader’s high activity and bot-driven consistency.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Contrarian
75% entries <$0.50
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$23,662,716
High Roller
$117,142/day

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,876,826$-1,377,044Vol: $62,281,271
🏛️ POLITICS#62,225$105Vol: $208
CRYPTO#219,856$12Vol: $52
🌤️ WEATHER#181,380$-1Vol: $18
🎭 CULTURE#103,028$4Vol: $14
💰 FINANCE#477,428$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-329,511
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$73,657,613
Total Redeem
$2,592,429
Portfolio
$41
Predictions
263
total markets
Trades
14364B / 2145S
Daily Volume
$117,142
Account Age
190d
since Jan 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$402
Vol: $2,605
Week
$402
Vol: $2,605
Month
$99,084
Vol: $49,970,415
All Time
$-329,511
Vol: $73,657,613

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
121W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$5,755,751
Win Rate
31%
63W / 142L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$52,303
Avg Loss
$-100,956

Top Winners

Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauff$529,502
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season In$465,918
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova$332,565
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitat$206,941
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$178,813
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playof$177,624
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$167,023
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$145,947
Croatia Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli$130,493
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek$119,423

Top Losers

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovic$-1,006,620
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants$-727,166
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova$-692,907
Wimbledon WTA: Marie Bouzkova vs Elise Mertens$-660,890
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-575,834
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play$-521,473
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-445,168
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff$-412,697
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-384,295
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-382,217

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.006
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
115.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.5m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
40% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 6.14 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.49 — human randomness115 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
58.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
51 entries
<=2
69 entries
<=5
97 entries
<=10
121 entries
<=20
140 entries
<=50
178 entries
>50
66 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)73.8%
High (>55c)17.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 69.9%

Houston$45,840
Denver$0
Madrid$0
Seoul$-8
Miami$-8,329
Seattle$-65,600
Chicago$-91,672
Toronto$-126,850
Atlanta$-157,614
San Francisco$-904,389
Los Angeles$-1,666,202
Other$-8,065,872

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
230

Single bracket

<=1
220 brackets
<=2
226 brackets
<=3
229 brackets
<=4
230 brackets
<=5
230 brackets
<=8
230 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/27/2026, 12:52:03 PM10 trades$14,9472 min
2/27/2026, 2:56:59 PM31 trades$9,3675 min
3/7/2026, 10:06:37 AM1 trades$6,7890 min
3/7/2026, 10:31:27 AM1 trades$2,0440 min
3/7/2026, 4:26:41 PM1 trades$9,6560 min
3/7/2026, 4:35:01 PM8 trades$6682 min
3/7/2026, 10:02:25 PM9 trades$20,7043 min
3/8/2026, 1:26:05 AM5 trades$4,7661 min
3/10/2026, 1:28:11 AM3 trades$12,3112 min
3/10/2026, 2:00:33 AM1 trades$8230 min
3/10/2026, 6:14:39 AM1 trades$8230 min
3/10/2026, 7:09:09 AM6 trades$87411 min
3/10/2026, 7:34:09 AM1 trades$460 min
3/10/2026, 5:50:27 PM17 trades$12,01011 min
3/11/2026, 7:41:59 AM7 trades$7101 min
3/11/2026, 4:44:45 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/11/2026, 4:58:19 PM1 trades$7,9360 min
3/11/2026, 7:43:25 PM5 trades$22,5626 min
3/11/2026, 9:37:17 PM2 trades$16,1833 min
3/11/2026, 10:00:17 PM2 trades$2,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
03-14
05-24
06-13
06-26
07-09
07-21
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.4% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 58.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event