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Unlawful-Tectonics

@Unlawful-Tectonics

#3,026,64438

0xd594c3f395c3955b8b06aa5fb428b514bbf29d1b

114d· 7107 markets · 2969 tradesVol: $2,710,001 @AnonAlchemist92026-07-16T11:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 36%3/20
Profit Factor 1.27x6/15
Sharpe 0.1092/15
Sortino 0.2593/10
EV $+0.26510/10
HHI 7610/10
Profit Days 18%0/10
DD/Peak 46%5/10

Summary

Unlawful-Tectonics is a highly active trader on Polymarket, having executed 2,969 trades across 1,028 markets over 188 days. Despite a substantial total volume of $2.7 million, their overall net PnL stands at negative $79,914.85, placing them at rank #3,026,644 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains close to zero, reflecting a flat equity trend, while the Smart Score of 38/100 indicates below-average trading effectiveness.

This trader favors a diversified approach with exposure to over a thousand markets, including a minor allocation to weather-related markets (3%). Unlawful-Tectonics exhibits a high win rate of 89.5% and a strong profit factor of 2.85, suggesting consistent small gains. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.11 and a maximum drawdown duration of zero days point to limited risk-taking and minimal portfolio volatility. The sell rate of 35% and a bot score of 65/100 imply a semi-automated trading style combining manual decisions with algorithmic support.

Unlawful-Tectonics’ primary strength lies in their ability to maintain stable, frequent wins and manage risk conservatively, as underscored by their win streak and whale badges. Nonetheless, the significant net loss despite high activity and win rate raises concerns about trade sizing or market selection. Their below-average Smart Score and flat portfolio trajectory suggest potential inefficiencies that could hinder long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Win Streak
34 wins in a row
Whale
$166,959

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,648,865$-77,686Vol: $2,669,823
SPORTS#1,761,534$-419Vol: $9,427
🌤️ WEATHER#291,872$-932Vol: $9,270
🏛️ POLITICS#1,556,604$-241Vol: $3,700
💰 FINANCE#626,882$-128Vol: $1,517
🎭 CULTURE#760,525$-63Vol: $1,368
📈 ECONOMICS#116,395$1Vol: $212
💻 TECH#199,385$-2Vol: $82
📢 MENTIONS#129,129$-12Vol: $68

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-79,915
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,710,001
Total Redeem
$47,228
Portfolio
$1
Predictions
7107
total markets
Trades
1942B / 1027S
Daily Volume
$888
Account Age
114d
since Apr 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$91
Vol: $486
Week
$-597
Vol: $19,250
Month
$-963
Vol: $95,931
All Time
$-79,915
Vol: $2,710,001

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
36%
252W / 441L events
Realized PnL
$123,772
Win Rate
89%
477W / 56L
Profit Factor
2.85x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-48

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $551 (11.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$193
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$181
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$177
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$175
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$126
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$125
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$93
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$91
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$82

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-588
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$-349
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$-255
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-236
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-136
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-92
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.260
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.265
Kelly %
77.3%
Half-Kelly
38.7%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.5
Active
Markets / Day
13.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 118s — typical for humanSize CV 2.12 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high13 markets/day — mass coverage694 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry
<=1
494 entries
<=2
798 entries
<=5
1017 entries
<=10
1027 entries
<=20
1028 entries
<=50
1028 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)87.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.2%

Other$4,858
Cape Town$45
Manila$16
Sao Paulo$12
San Francisco$0
Shanghai$0
Chicago$0
Hong Kong$0
New York City$0
Shenzhen$0
Seoul$0
Beijing$0
Ankara$0
Singapore$0
Wuhan$0
London$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Warsaw$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1027

Single bracket

<=1
1026 brackets
<=2
1027 brackets
<=3
1027 brackets
<=4
1027 brackets
<=5
1027 brackets
<=8
1027 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 1:40:40 AM5 trades$352 min
4/30/2026, 2:56:54 AM5 trades$443 min
4/30/2026, 5:45:44 AM1 trades$90 min
4/30/2026, 9:17:12 AM1 trades$120 min
4/30/2026, 4:54:06 PM1 trades$30 min
4/30/2026, 5:59:08 PM1 trades$60 min
4/30/2026, 9:56:10 PM3 trades$102 min
5/1/2026, 12:00:30 AM3 trades$212 min
5/1/2026, 1:20:46 AM2 trades$182 min
5/1/2026, 2:20:28 AM1 trades$90 min
5/1/2026, 6:07:44 AM1 trades$270 min
5/1/2026, 3:05:00 PM4 trades$464 min
5/1/2026, 4:30:32 PM1 trades$90 min
5/1/2026, 5:00:52 PM3 trades$603 min
5/1/2026, 6:20:26 PM4 trades$1234 min
5/1/2026, 8:51:10 PM2 trades$61 min
5/1/2026, 9:15:16 PM1 trades$90 min
5/1/2026, 9:20:30 PM1 trades$60 min
5/1/2026, 9:36:26 PM1 trades$50 min
5/1/2026, 9:57:20 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-15
05-26
06-06
06-17
07-02
11-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event