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Unripe-Split

@Unripe-Split

#1,12430

0x4ad6cadefae3c28f5b2caa32a99ebba3a614464c

652d· 8421 markets · 7161 tradesVol: $70,451,2092026-06-26T16:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.13x0/15
HHI 9410/10
Profit Days 25%0/10

Summary

Unripe-Split is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1124 globally with a net PnL of $163,138.54 accumulated over 7,161 trades spanning 402 markets. Despite a high total trading volume exceeding $70 million and an upward equity trend, their Smart Score is below average at 30/100, indicating room for improvement in trade quality or efficiency.

The trader shows a preference for diversified market exposure across numerous markets, with no focus on weather-related events. Unripe-Split appears to employ a mix of strategies, including dollar-cost averaging, as suggested by the DCA Master badge, while maintaining a relatively low sell percentage of 11%. Their win rate of 51.8% is marginally above break-even, but the low profit factor of 0.13 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.55) suggest that gains may be offset by larger or frequent losses, reflecting a higher risk profile and possibly aggressive timing.

Key strengths for Unripe-Split include a substantial cumulative profit and consistent activity over 842 days, combined with badges that highlight precision and profitable streaks. However, the low profit factor and negative risk-adjusted returns raise concerns about sustainability and risk management. Traders following Unripe-Split on Polymarket should be aware of these mixed signals when evaluating their performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+163,139
DCA Master
avg 16.0 entries/market
Win Streak
156 wins in a row
Whale
$7,795,649
High Roller
$9,258/day

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,044$37,216Vol: $23,854,173
🏛️ POLITICS#2,672$15,188Vol: $7,475,248
🎭 CULTURE#801,407$-9,248Vol: $7,073,230
SPORTS#5,210$8,767Vol: $3,726,316
📈 ECONOMICS#199$31,749Vol: $3,524,906
📢 MENTIONS#44$41,209Vol: $2,530,647
💰 FINANCE#2,065$2,224Vol: $646,401
🌤️ WEATHER#1,937$663Vol: $379,677
💻 TECH#242,057$-1,946Vol: $334,934

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$163,139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,451,209
Total Redeem
$2,918,439
Portfolio
$210
Predictions
8421
total markets
Trades
6384B / 777S
Daily Volume
$9,258
Account Age
652d
since Oct 2, 2024

Periods

#2
Week
$23
Vol: $168,365
Month
$8,037
Vol: $4,883,528
All Time
$163,139
Vol: $70,451,209

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
195W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$450,822
Win Rate
52%
206W / 192L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$2,450
Avg Loss
$-20,552

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$129,740
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$106,182
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$40,050
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9?$40,010
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$35,115
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$27,266
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$21,935
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 17?$20,020
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$16,687
Trump in Russia on Victory Day May 9?$11,227

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playof$-149,850
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$-149,850
Will Stephen Colbert be named in newly released Epstein files?$-113,698
Will Wuthering Heights have the best domestic opening weekend in $-111,625
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episo$-97,234
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-91,366
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-84,775
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-74,112
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-73,703
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$-72,674

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.551
Sortino
-0.553
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.442
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.1m
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 4.09 — diverse, typical for human9% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16
Heavy DCA
<=1
68 entries
<=2
118 entries
<=5
192 entries
<=10
266 entries
<=20
325 entries
<=50
367 entries
>50
32 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)96.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.4%

Russia$11,227
Paris$-1,425
Austin$-9,112
Atlanta$-32,050
Up or Down$-54,251
Other$-3,355,685

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
272

Single bracket

<=1
199 brackets
<=2
251 brackets
<=3
260 brackets
<=4
265 brackets
<=5
270 brackets
<=8
270 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/2/2024, 11:39:11 PM2 trades$131 min
10/3/2024, 3:29:30 AM1 trades$130 min
10/5/2024, 6:08:01 PM2 trades$242 min
10/5/2024, 7:00:03 PM1 trades$100 min
10/5/2024, 9:13:19 PM1 trades$380 min
10/7/2024, 6:46:58 AM1 trades$200 min
10/8/2024, 3:31:48 PM1 trades$1600 min
10/28/2024, 5:20:03 PM1 trades$900 min
10/28/2024, 7:28:02 PM3 trades$249 min
10/28/2024, 7:42:00 PM1 trades$100 min
10/28/2024, 10:19:08 PM2 trades$202 min
11/4/2024, 3:19:46 AM1 trades$470 min
11/4/2024, 11:01:39 AM1 trades$510 min
11/4/2024, 4:50:10 PM1 trades$90 min
11/4/2024, 5:04:40 PM1 trades$430 min
11/4/2024, 5:12:33 PM4 trades$2513 min
11/4/2024, 7:27:33 PM3 trades$291 min
11/4/2024, 7:37:53 PM1 trades$00 min
11/4/2024, 8:17:59 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/4/2024, 8:58:28 PM1 trades$510 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-04
07-17
10-13
01-23
05-12
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event