Polydata

@Unusual-Revolution-Warren

#52,00479

0x66b58093676354bc03bf3a9ead97c230635b5bd9

18d· 23 markets · 5917 tradesVol: $45,068,3432026-07-23T09:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 80%20/20
Profit Factor 4.75x15/15
Sharpe 0.4218/15
Sortino 0.7908/10
EV $+0.0764/10
HHI 12156/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 29%8/10

Summary

Unusual-Revolution-Warren is an active Polymarket trader with nearly a full year of consistent activity, completing 5,917 trades across 23 markets. They hold a global PnL rank of #52,004 and have generated a net profit of $1,983.60 on a substantial volume of over $45 million. Their strong smart score of 79/100 reflects solid analytical skills, although their current portfolio value is minimal at $0.13, indicating most profits may have been realized or withdrawn.

This trader favors a diverse set of markets and exhibits a balanced risk profile, as evidenced by a 72.7% win rate and a profit factor of 4.75, suggesting disciplined trade selection. The near-equal sell percentage (48%) and absence of weather market exposure imply a focus on more predictable event outcomes. Their trading style appears to combine manual insight with some bot assistance, with timing patterns that maintain an upward equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration, highlighting effective risk management.

Unusual-Revolution-Warren’s key strengths include a high win rate, strong profit factor, and consistent upward equity trend, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master. However, the low Sharpe ratio of 0.42 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the semi-bot score indicates partial automation that may limit responsiveness to rapid market changes. Overall, their track record on Polymarket demonstrates skillful trading with manageable risks.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+1,984
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 132.9 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Consistent
5/7 days
Cool Head
DD 29%

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#15,620$1,242Vol: $35,620,221
SPORTS#45,072$742Vol: $9,448,122

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,984
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,068,343
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
3057B / 2860S
Daily Volume
$91
Account Age
18d
since Jul 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $4,907,836
Month
$1,984
Vol: $45,068,343
All Time
$1,984
Vol: $45,068,343

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
5W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$1,984
Win Rate
73%
16W / 4L
Profit Factor
4.75x
Avg Win
$200
Avg Loss
$-168

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,846 (112.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championshi$1,613
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$953
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?$280
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?$236
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$79
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$15
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$8
Will Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$7
Will Belete Molla be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$2
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?$0

Top Losers

Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$-540
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$-100
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$-32
Will Frank Donovan be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.421
Sortino
0.790
HHI
1215
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.076
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
22.6%
Top-5 markets
69.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
369.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
45.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
72% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 0.97 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.65 — human randomness370 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
132.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
5 entries
<=10
7 entries
<=20
9 entries
<=50
12 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Los Angeles$1,613
Other$672
Houston$236

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.6
Events covered
9

Moderate coverage

<=1
5 brackets
<=2
6 brackets
<=3
7 brackets
<=4
8 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
8 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 10:01:38 AM51 trades$64512 min
7/5/2026, 10:19:46 AM1 trades$50 min
7/6/2026, 9:28:53 AM51 trades$5766 min
7/6/2026, 9:41:16 AM1 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 6:06:10 PM52 trades$1,07611 min
7/6/2026, 6:26:49 PM16 trades$3373 min
7/6/2026, 7:55:10 PM43 trades$1,02311 min
7/7/2026, 6:52:56 AM52 trades$6756 min
7/7/2026, 7:04:34 AM53 trades$6756 min
7/7/2026, 7:54:44 AM1 trades$00 min
7/7/2026, 8:24:52 AM1 trades$380 min
7/7/2026, 10:08:17 AM52 trades$6755 min
7/7/2026, 11:14:56 AM17 trades$1411 min
7/7/2026, 11:21:53 AM33 trades$4787 min
7/7/2026, 12:09:19 PM48 trades$69311 min
7/7/2026, 12:28:07 PM42 trades$6446 min
7/7/2026, 12:44:16 PM43 trades$6874 min
7/7/2026, 12:55:40 PM44 trades$7013 min
7/7/2026, 1:12:25 PM92 trades$1,38815 min
7/7/2026, 2:14:38 PM46 trades$6706 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-01
07-15
07-19
12-31
03-31
05-31
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 132.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.6 br/event