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Unwieldy-Polenta

@Unwieldy-Polenta

#2,925,2937

0xd8abb29f30addd2a63225d960c2de450a3d7bcd9

715d· 88 markets · 5694 tradesVol: $1,491,510 @gourmet_yBen2026-06-27T08:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 13%0/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
HHI 11247/10
Profit Days 16%0/10

Summary

Unwieldy-Polenta is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 5,694 trades across 88 markets over 711 days. Despite the extensive activity and a total volume exceeding $1.4 million, their net PnL stands at a significant loss of approximately $107,000, placing them at rank #2,925,293 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their win rate is notably low at 9.3%, and the profit factor is 0.10, indicating losses outweigh gains substantially.

The trading style of Unwieldy-Polenta appears to be automated, as reflected by a bot score of 70/100. They demonstrate a contrarian and lottery-player approach, often holding positions for extended periods ("diamond hands") but with minimal selling activity (1%). Their portfolio shows a negative risk-adjusted return with a Sharpe ratio of -0.39, and they avoid weather markets entirely. The trader’s equity trend is upward, suggesting some recovery or growth despite the overall negative PnL.

Unwieldy-Polenta’s key strength lies in their high trading volume and use of automation, which can capitalize on frequent opportunities. However, the poor win rate, negative profitability, and low smart score highlight significant risks and inefficiencies in their strategy. The trader’s heavy losses and low capital base present concerns for long-term sustainability on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Lottery Player
90% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Whale
$161,574

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,609,820$-22,719Vol: $1,001,313
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,478$-68,062Vol: $427,418
💻 TECH#241,256$-900Vol: $10,000
SPORTS#1,639,773$-213Vol: $600
💰 FINANCE#39,196$20Vol: $181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-106,954
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,491,510
Total Redeem
$133
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
5654B / 40S
Daily Volume
$227
Account Age
715d
since Jul 22, 2024

Periods

#2
Month
$-331
Vol: $109,040
All Time
$-106,954
Vol: $1,491,510

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
14%
12W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-106,665
Win Rate
9%
8W / 78L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$1,930
Avg Loss
$-1,977

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$7,569
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 4PM ET$3,516
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2,414
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1,794
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 2?$111
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$5

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Pre$-49,593
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-15,079
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-6,482
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-5,434
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1PM ET$-3,953
Who will win the debate according to polls?$-3,724
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$-3,364
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-3,279
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2PM ET$-3,272
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$-3,132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.393
Sortino
-0.392
HHI
1124
Moderate
EV per $1
$-369.917
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.7%
Top-5 markets
49.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5694.0
Very active
Markets / Day
88.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.8m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
23.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
44.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
60% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 23.14 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.53 — human randomness5694 trades/day — automation88 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
64.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
8 entries
<=2
10 entries
<=5
17 entries
<=10
24 entries
<=20
28 entries
<=50
44 entries
>50
44 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.7%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)0.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.2%

New York City$-5,434
Other$-133,330

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
85

Single bracket

<=1
84 brackets
<=2
84 brackets
<=3
84 brackets
<=4
85 brackets
<=5
85 brackets
<=8
85 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/3/2024, 9:08:30 PM1 trades$340 min
9/3/2024, 9:53:41 PM1 trades$90 min
9/4/2024, 12:20:32 AM1 trades$1,3340 min
9/4/2024, 3:16:23 AM1 trades$180 min
9/4/2024, 3:25:47 AM1 trades$140 min
9/4/2024, 5:23:33 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 6:40:14 AM2 trades$460 min
9/4/2024, 7:23:32 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 7:37:12 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 7:50:22 AM1 trades$6970 min
9/4/2024, 8:13:08 AM2 trades$392 min
9/4/2024, 9:10:20 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 9:56:10 AM1 trades$190 min
9/4/2024, 1:15:08 PM1 trades$9230 min
9/7/2024, 11:59:04 PM1 trades$3,7240 min
11/5/2024, 7:25:46 PM1 trades$2,8880 min
11/5/2024, 7:41:18 PM9 trades$49,5495 min
11/5/2024, 8:07:29 PM1 trades$1740 min
11/15/2024, 2:38:42 PM1 trades$15,0790 min
11/3/2025, 4:18:19 PM26 trades$2,6351 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-05
11-26
11-30
12-10
01-01
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 64.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event