Polydata

@Unwieldy-Polenta

#2,753,0957

0xd8abb29f30addd2a63225d960c2de450a3d7bcd9

670d· 83 markets · 5802 tradesVol: $1,372,472 @gourmet_yBen2026-05-24T10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 12%0/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
HHI 11207/10
Profit Days 14%0/10

Summary

Unwieldy-Polenta is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 5,800 trades executed across 83 different markets over 530 days. Despite this high volume, the trader ranks very low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,753,095, reflecting a net loss of approximately $106,600. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating no open positions, and their overall performance metrics, including a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.43) and a profit factor of 0.10, suggest consistent underperformance.

The trader’s style appears to be high-frequency and broad in market selection, but with a very low win rate of 7.2%, which points to a high-risk approach with poor timing and execution. Unwieldy-Polenta shows little evidence of active risk management, with a negligible sell percentage (1%) and no engagement in weather markets. Their badges, such as “Lottery Player” and “Contrarian,” imply a speculative and possibly contrarian strategy, while the “Diamond Hands” badge suggests reluctance to cut losses. Trading patterns indicate a downward equity trend, reinforcing the likelihood of ineffective timing and strategy on Polymarket.

Unwieldy-Polenta’s key strength lies in their high activity and willingness to engage across markets, which could provide valuable experiential data. However, the substantial net losses, negative risk-adjusted returns, and poor win rate highlight significant concerns about strategy effectiveness and risk control. The trader’s current profile suggests that without substantial adjustments, their performance is unlikely to improve, posing ongoing risks for capital preservation and profitability.

Badges

4
Lottery Player
90% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Whale
$161,930

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,531,039$-22,447Vol: $922,271
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,735$-67,980Vol: $387,422
💻 TECH#232,154$-900Vol: $10,000
SPORTS#1,549,664$-213Vol: $600
💰 FINANCE#36,446$20Vol: $181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-106,600
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,372,472
Total Redeem
$117
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
5765B / 37S
Daily Volume
$306
Account Age
670d
since Jul 22, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
13%
10W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-106,600
Win Rate
7%
6W / 77L
Profit Factor
0.1x
Avg Win
$2,571
Avg Loss
$-2,014

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$7,569
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 4PM ET$3,516
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$2,414
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$1,794
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 2?$111
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$20

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Pre$-49,593
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$-15,079
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-6,482
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-5,434
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1PM ET$-3,953
Who will win the debate according to polls?$-3,724
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$-3,364
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-3,279
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2PM ET$-3,272
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$-3,132

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.432
Sortino
-0.439
HHI
1120
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.863
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.6%
Top-5 markets
49.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
23.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 23.31 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.55 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
69.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
8 entries
<=5
12 entries
<=10
19 entries
<=20
23 entries
<=50
39 entries
>50
44 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)90%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)0.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 81.7%

New York City$-5,434
Other$-134,247

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
80

Single bracket

<=1
79 brackets
<=2
79 brackets
<=3
79 brackets
<=4
80 brackets
<=5
80 brackets
<=8
80 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/3/2024, 9:08:30 PM1 trades$340 min
9/3/2024, 9:53:41 PM1 trades$90 min
9/4/2024, 12:20:32 AM1 trades$1,3340 min
9/4/2024, 3:16:23 AM1 trades$180 min
9/4/2024, 3:25:47 AM1 trades$140 min
9/4/2024, 5:23:33 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 6:40:14 AM2 trades$460 min
9/4/2024, 7:23:32 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 7:37:12 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 7:50:22 AM1 trades$6970 min
9/4/2024, 8:13:08 AM2 trades$392 min
9/4/2024, 9:10:20 AM1 trades$00 min
9/4/2024, 9:56:10 AM1 trades$190 min
9/4/2024, 1:15:08 PM1 trades$9230 min
9/7/2024, 11:59:04 PM1 trades$3,7240 min
11/5/2024, 7:25:46 PM1 trades$2,8880 min
11/5/2024, 7:41:18 PM9 trades$49,5495 min
11/5/2024, 8:07:29 PM1 trades$1740 min
11/15/2024, 2:38:42 PM1 trades$15,0790 min
11/3/2025, 4:18:19 PM26 trades$2,6351 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-04
11-04
11-27
11-30
12-07
12-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 69.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event