Polydata

@Useful-Duck

#8,17780

0x1ba2b1137313b248b03a9be40093b23d7e96d212

247d· 3768 markets · 4241 tradesVol: $3,062,0122026-07-03T18:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 30%0/20
Profit Factor 4.44x15/15
Sharpe 0.85915/15
Sortino 3.00710/10
EV $+2.67510/10
HHI 6310/10
Profit Days 84%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Useful-Duck is an active trader on Polymarket with 4,241 trades across 903 markets over 170 days. They hold a solid global PnL rank of #8177 and have generated a net profit of $17,829.43 from a total volume exceeding $3 million. Their portfolio value has steadily increased to $19,253.25, supported by a very good Smart Score of 80/100 and a profit factor of 4.80, indicating effective trade management and profitability.

The trading style of Useful-Duck appears balanced and strategic, with a 71.6% win rate and a Sharpe ratio of 0.86, reflecting moderate risk-taking with consistent returns. They do not engage in weather markets and maintain an exclusive buy-side approach, never selling positions. Timing shows an upward equity trend without significant drawdowns, and their bot score suggests a hybrid method combining automated and manual trading. Their badges hint at a contrarian approach and strong conviction in holdings, often maintaining positions through volatility.

Key strengths for Useful-Duck include a high win rate, consistent profitability, and disciplined risk management, evidenced by zero days of max drawdown duration. However, the absence of sell trades could present liquidity risks or missed opportunities to lock in profits. Additionally, reliance on semi-automated strategies may expose them to algorithmic weaknesses. Overall, Useful-Duck demonstrates a robust Polymarket performance with a cautious yet effective style.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+17,829
Contrarian
57% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$111,963
Consistent
74/88 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

3
SPORTS#2,838$17,833Vol: $3,061,834
📈 ECONOMICS#511,017$-2Vol: $118
🏛️ POLITICS#927,509$-1Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,829
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,062,012
Total Redeem
$79,975
Portfolio
$19,253
Predictions
3768
total markets
Trades
4241B / 0S
Daily Volume
$659
Account Age
247d
since Oct 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,133
Vol: $99,050
Week
$1,144
Vol: $549,393
Month
$6,926
Vol: $275,301
All Time
$17,829
Vol: $3,062,012

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
33%
255W / 514L events
Realized PnL
$275,113
Win Rate
72%
131W / 52L
Profit Factor
4.8x
Avg Win
$241
Avg Loss
$-127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,290 (21.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5$1,968
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1,694
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics$1,628
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1,400
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?$1,373
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$1,246
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$1,195
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Otto Virtanen$1,171
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5$1,008
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$882

Top Losers

Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta$-742
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki$-737
Wimbledon WTA: Elise Mertens vs Maria Timofeeva$-584
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Novak Djokovic$-513
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobolli$-495
Cary: Liam Broady vs Jack Kennedy$-443
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan$-296
Milan: Juan Martin vs David Jorda Sanchis$-278
ITF Aix-Les-Bains: Madison Sieg vs Lisa Zaar$-212
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmeteva$-212

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.859
Sortino
3.007
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.675
Kelly %
55.1%
Half-Kelly
27.6%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
88.5
Very active
Markets / Day
18.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
33s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.8m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 33s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness88 trades/day — mass trading19 markets/day — mass coverage991 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
396 entries
<=2
555 entries
<=5
717 entries
<=10
811 entries
<=20
866 entries
<=50
896 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)51.1%
High (>55c)32.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.1%

Other$20,179
Los Angeles$2,138
Chicago$864
Miami$685
Houston$648
Toronto$522
Dallas$110
San Francisco$24
Seattle$4
Hong Kong$0
Taipei$0
Chengdu$0
Shanghai$0
Atlanta$-19
Milan$-107

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
732

Single bracket

<=1
624 brackets
<=2
694 brackets
<=3
721 brackets
<=4
728 brackets
<=5
728 brackets
<=8
731 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 8:07:26 PM2 trades$1180 min
5/17/2026, 12:08:01 PM1 trades$60 min
5/17/2026, 2:00:41 PM1 trades$140 min
5/17/2026, 2:37:38 PM1 trades$800 min
5/17/2026, 4:00:26 PM1 trades$30 min
5/18/2026, 10:04:13 AM1 trades$370 min
5/18/2026, 12:07:41 PM2 trades$220 min
5/18/2026, 10:42:31 PM1 trades$810 min
5/18/2026, 10:48:39 PM1 trades$260 min
5/18/2026, 11:35:27 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2026, 8:41:34 AM1 trades$50 min
5/19/2026, 10:33:24 AM1 trades$800 min
5/19/2026, 12:02:39 PM4 trades$921 min
5/19/2026, 12:10:02 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2026, 3:30:24 PM2 trades$1610 min
5/20/2026, 1:39:19 AM1 trades$90 min
5/20/2026, 10:08:46 AM2 trades$800 min
5/20/2026, 6:44:16 PM1 trades$40 min
5/20/2026, 8:10:36 PM1 trades$810 min
5/21/2026, 8:24:33 AM15 trades$71111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
04-04
04-24
05-27
06-10
06-25
07-05
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event