Polydata
Data is 6 days old — refreshing in background...

@Useful-Duck

#9,45972

0x1ba2b1137313b248b03a9be40093b23d7e96d212

245d· 2815 markets · 3459 tradesVol: $2,469,4742026-06-27T09:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%3/20
Profit Factor 3.65x15/15
Sharpe 0.4829/15
Sortino 0.5195/10
EV $+2.38610/10
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 80%10/10
DD/Peak 23%9/10

Summary

Useful-Duck is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #9459 globally by net profit with a solid net PnL of $14,952.20 over 164 days. They have executed 3,459 trades across 724 markets, generating a total volume of nearly $2.47 million. Their smart score of 72/100 indicates strong overall performance, supported by a win rate of 74.8% and a profit factor of 7.33, showing consistent profitability.

This trader’s strategy leans toward a contrarian style, as reflected in their badges and high profit factor. Useful-Duck appears to favor a diverse range of markets but notably avoids weather markets, indicating selective market preferences. Their timing suggests a steady, disciplined approach with a flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration, highlighting effective risk management. The semi-bot score of 65/100 suggests a hybrid of automated and manual trading, combining algorithmic efficiency with human judgment.

Useful-Duck’s strengths include a high win rate, strong profit factor, and stable portfolio value, which contribute to consistent gains without significant drawdowns. However, their Sharpe ratio of 0.48 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their lack of selling activity (0% sell) could indicate potential liquidity constraints or reluctance to lock in profits. Overall, Useful-Duck demonstrates a reliable, contrarian trading style with cautious risk management on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+14,952
Contrarian
53% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$88,229
Consistent
87/109 days
Cool Head
DD 23%

Categories

3
SPORTS#3,211$14,956Vol: $2,469,296
📈 ECONOMICS#509,582$-2Vol: $118
🏛️ POLITICS#923,676$-1Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,952
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,469,474
Total Redeem
$103,294
Portfolio
$5,215
Predictions
2815
total markets
Trades
3459B / 0S
Daily Volume
$538
Account Age
245d
since Oct 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3,716
Vol: $16,964
Week
$11,343
Vol: $720,250
Month
$17,783
Vol: $1,097,212
All Time
$14,952
Vol: $2,469,474

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
254W / 368L events
Realized PnL
$164,907
Win Rate
75%
190W / 64L
Profit Factor
7.33x
Avg Win
$292
Avg Loss
$-118

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,539 (15.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

T20 Series Ireland vs India: Ireland vs India$2,908
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$2,716
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$1,915
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5$1,836
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$1,437
PortlandFire vs. Chicago Sky$1,412
Colorado Rockies vs. Minnesota Twins$1,404
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5$1,333
Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)$1,312
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5$1,237

Top Losers

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$-638
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$-585
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$-548
Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score$-525
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinko$-412
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score$-332
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5$-329
ITF Palma Del Rio: Anna Kubareva vs Aliona Falei$-325
New York Liberty vs. Seattle Storm$-324
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5$-287

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.482
Sortino
0.519
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.386
Kelly %
66.8%
Half-Kelly
33.4%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
83.2
Very active
Markets / Day
17.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 25s — typical for humanSize CV 1.10 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness83 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage726 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
286 entries
<=2
411 entries
<=5
558 entries
<=10
641 entries
<=20
693 entries
<=50
724 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)50.9%
High (>55c)38.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 18.1%

Other$41,130
Chicago$4,921
Los Angeles$890
Seattle$641
Toronto$621
Taipei$137
Houston$33
Dallas$8
San Francisco$0
Hong Kong$0
Miami$-185
Atlanta$-343

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
489

Single bracket

<=1
381 brackets
<=2
436 brackets
<=3
469 brackets
<=4
476 brackets
<=5
477 brackets
<=8
481 brackets
>8
8 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/16/2026, 8:07:26 PM2 trades$1180 min
5/17/2026, 12:08:01 PM1 trades$60 min
5/17/2026, 2:00:41 PM1 trades$140 min
5/17/2026, 2:37:38 PM1 trades$800 min
5/17/2026, 4:00:26 PM1 trades$30 min
5/18/2026, 10:04:13 AM1 trades$370 min
5/18/2026, 12:07:41 PM2 trades$220 min
5/18/2026, 10:42:31 PM1 trades$810 min
5/18/2026, 10:48:39 PM1 trades$260 min
5/18/2026, 11:35:27 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2026, 8:41:34 AM1 trades$50 min
5/19/2026, 10:33:24 AM1 trades$800 min
5/19/2026, 12:02:39 PM4 trades$921 min
5/19/2026, 12:10:02 PM1 trades$30 min
5/19/2026, 3:30:24 PM2 trades$1610 min
5/20/2026, 1:39:19 AM1 trades$90 min
5/20/2026, 10:08:46 AM2 trades$800 min
5/20/2026, 6:44:16 PM1 trades$40 min
5/20/2026, 8:10:36 PM1 trades$810 min
5/21/2026, 8:24:33 AM15 trades$71111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
03-15
04-04
04-25
05-29
06-16
07-03
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event