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@Useful-Duck

#2,709,66475

0x1ba2b1137313b248b03a9be40093b23d7e96d212

202d· 509 markets · 7863 tradesVol: $1,148,6112026-05-16T05:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.48x0/15
Sharpe 0.88415/15
Sortino 129.47210/10
HHI 9010/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Useful-Duck is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 7,863 trades executed over 135 days and participation in 338 different markets. Despite a high total trading volume exceeding $1.1 million, their net profit and loss stands at a significant loss of nearly $9,000, placing them at rank #2,709,664 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is very low at $5.98, indicating limited current capital. The trader’s smart score of 75/100 reflects a very good skill level, though their overall profitability has been negative.

The trading style of Useful-Duck appears to be high-frequency and diversified across many markets. With a win rate of 31.6% and a profit factor below 0.5, they seem to take on considerable risk with aggressive positions that do not consistently pay off. The very low sell percentage (2%) and badges like Diamond Hands and Win Streak suggest a tendency to hold positions rather than cut losses early. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.88 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the semi-bot score implies a mix of automated and manual trading approaches.

Useful-Duck’s key strengths include a large volume of trades and consistent activity, which may provide valuable market experience and data for refining strategies. Their stable equity trend and zero days of maximum drawdown duration show resilience in managing losses. However, the substantial negative net PnL and low profit factor raise concerns about overall strategy effectiveness. The trader’s low portfolio value and limited sell activity might also increase exposure to prolonged losing positions, which could be risky without better risk controls.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$236,358
Consistent
71/73 days
High Roller
$1,751/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,641,435$-8,980Vol: $1,148,434
📈 ECONOMICS#492,058$-2Vol: $118
🏛️ POLITICS#898,958$-1Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,983
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,148,611
Total Redeem
$78,661
Portfolio
$6
Predictions
509
total markets
Trades
7716B / 147S
Daily Volume
$1,751
Account Age
202d
since Oct 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-21
Vol: $0
Week
$-100
Vol: $891
Month
$-100
Vol: $891
All Time
$-8,983
Vol: $1,148,611

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
247W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$122,303
Win Rate
32%
86W / 186L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$578
Avg Loss
$-561

Top Winners

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$3,406
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$3,284
Rockets vs. Lakers$3,269
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$2,770
Magic vs. 76ers$2,254
Knicks vs. Hawks$2,100
Hawks vs. Cavaliers$2,004
Nets vs. Bucks$1,795
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$1,605
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$1,462

Top Losers

Cavaliers vs. Warriors$-4,738
Bucks vs. Nets$-3,385
Hornets vs. Celtics$-2,209
Pistons vs. 76ers$-2,121
Suns vs. Hornets$-2,021
Spurs vs. Clippers$-2,000
Magic vs. Hawks$-1,654
Lakers vs. Heat$-1,612
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-04?$-1,505
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Starodubtseva$-1,473

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.884
Sortino
129.472
HHI
90
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.249
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
67.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.0m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 0.92 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.24 — human randomness68 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
22.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
47 entries
<=2
66 entries
<=5
116 entries
<=10
160 entries
<=20
219 entries
<=50
295 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)47.8%
High (>55c)42.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 64.3%

Los Angeles$2,896
Chicago$675
Atlanta$397
San Francisco$302
Seattle$96
Miami$0
Paris$0
Milan$-314
Houston$-856
Other$-57,804

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
319

Single bracket

<=1
304 brackets
<=2
315 brackets
<=3
319 brackets
<=4
319 brackets
<=5
319 brackets
<=8
319 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/19/2026, 3:25:50 PM17 trades$985 min
1/19/2026, 3:46:00 PM1 trades$30 min
1/19/2026, 4:09:22 PM1 trades$30 min
1/19/2026, 7:24:02 PM1 trades$40 min
1/20/2026, 10:20:34 PM22 trades$1855 min
1/20/2026, 10:31:04 PM11 trades$3292 min
1/20/2026, 10:46:06 PM17 trades$3312 min
1/20/2026, 11:56:10 PM1 trades$180 min
1/21/2026, 12:06:14 AM8 trades$6369 min
1/21/2026, 9:54:14 PM42 trades$1,6859 min
1/21/2026, 11:27:32 PM12 trades$1,1205 min
1/22/2026, 11:00:46 PM39 trades$9082 min
1/22/2026, 11:11:08 PM2 trades$282 min
1/22/2026, 11:18:40 PM1 trades$310 min
1/22/2026, 11:44:14 PM11 trades$4441 min
1/22/2026, 11:54:48 PM1 trades$8000 min
1/23/2026, 12:01:46 AM18 trades$3516 min
1/23/2026, 10:58:10 PM4 trades$1640 min
1/23/2026, 11:05:08 PM2 trades$820 min
1/23/2026, 11:12:12 PM4 trades$1640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-08
02-04
03-15
03-29
04-10
04-22
05-21
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 22.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event