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Useful-Silver

@Useful-Silver

#2,831,26861

0x40ad96e319aa54200c539b1c25a2d098a7518a94

224d· 715 markets · 2970 tradesVol: $83,701 @immutablelina2026-07-02T06:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 28%0/20
Profit Factor 1.91x14/15
Sharpe 0.2875/15
Sortino 0.9389/10
EV $+1.07410/10
HHI 4310/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 26%9/10

Summary

Useful-Silver is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,970 trades across 619 markets over 212 days. Despite a high total volume of $83,701, their net PnL stands at -$1,140.13, placing them at rank #2,831,268 on the global profit leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 61/100 indicates a good level of trading skill, although their portfolio value remains near the initial capital at $100.83, reflecting limited growth.

The trader shows a preference for diverse markets, avoiding weather-related ones entirely, and maintaining a very low sell percentage of 2%, suggesting a long-hold approach consistent with their "Diamond Hands" badge. Useful-Silver exhibits a contrarian style, indicated by their "Contrarian" badge, and a relatively low win rate of 30%, but compensates with a strong profit factor of 3.93, implying profitable trades outweigh losses in magnitude. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.29 and flat equity trend suggest low volatility and stable performance over time, with no prolonged drawdowns.

Useful-Silver’s key strengths include disciplined risk management and a calm trading demeanor, as reflected by badges like "Cool Head" and "Win Streak." However, their low win rate and negative net PnL highlight challenges in consistently generating profits. The low bot score indicates manual trading, which can be advantageous for adaptive decision-making but may also limit scalability. Overall, Useful-Silver demonstrates persistence and strategic patience but faces risks related to profitability and trade efficiency.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Lottery Player
96% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 26%

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,569,749$-1,163Vol: $82,533
SPORTS#226,018$18Vol: $968
🏛️ POLITICS#215,016$5Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,140
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$83,701
Total Redeem
$253
Portfolio
$101
Predictions
715
total markets
Trades
2902B / 68S
Daily Volume
$14
Account Age
224d
since Nov 30, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
28%
138W / 352L events
Realized PnL
$1,674
Win Rate
30%
45W / 105L
Profit Factor
3.93x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $199 (46.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$95
Solana Up or Down - February 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$53
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$52
Solana Up or Down - November 30, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$44
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$31
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$26
Solana Up or Down - January 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$26
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$24
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$22
Solana Up or Down - December 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$17

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - December 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - December 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - December 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - January 18, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - February 3, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.287
Sortino
0.938
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.4%
Top-5 markets
6.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 1.58 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.32 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active518 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.7
Moderate DCA
<=1
166 entries
<=2
277 entries
<=5
434 entries
<=10
550 entries
<=20
607 entries
<=50
619 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)96.5%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.4%

Other$428
Milan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
608

Single bracket

<=1
599 brackets
<=2
606 brackets
<=3
608 brackets
<=4
608 brackets
<=5
608 brackets
<=8
608 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/30/2025, 11:25:58 AM3 trades$141 min
11/30/2025, 11:32:46 AM2 trades$173 min
11/30/2025, 11:43:32 AM1 trades$40 min
11/30/2025, 12:26:38 PM2 trades$73 min
11/30/2025, 1:13:22 PM1 trades$50 min
11/30/2025, 1:20:40 PM5 trades$167 min
11/30/2025, 2:17:28 PM4 trades$215 min
11/30/2025, 2:36:08 PM4 trades$275 min
11/30/2025, 2:58:02 PM4 trades$286 min
11/30/2025, 4:58:52 PM1 trades$40 min
11/30/2025, 5:05:34 PM2 trades$53 min
11/30/2025, 5:35:06 PM4 trades$1094 min
11/30/2025, 6:24:32 PM11 trades$423 min
11/30/2025, 6:42:30 PM4 trades$71 min
11/30/2025, 8:50:14 PM1 trades$250 min
11/30/2025, 8:56:12 PM7 trades$101 min
11/30/2025, 9:20:02 PM8 trades$243 min
12/1/2025, 7:49:26 AM2 trades$210 min
12/1/2025, 12:03:42 PM2 trades$170 min
12/1/2025, 12:33:18 PM5 trades$557 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-27
02-07
02-21
04-03
05-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event