Polydata

@Utter-Ebook

#3,013,75599

0xe499c847d9687e85bcfcf9acc7422dd688e2d5c2

134d· 1111 markets · 1909 tradesVol: $307,1082026-07-17T20:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

99
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 4.40x15/15
Sharpe 0.72114/15
Sortino 3.08510/10
EV $+0.37010/10
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Utter-Ebook is an active trader on Polymarket with 1,909 trades across 875 markets over 44 days. Despite a high trading volume of $307,108 and an elite smart score of 99/100, their net profit and loss stands at -$8,426.02, placing them at rank #3,013,755 globally. Their portfolio value is currently zero, indicating no open positions at this time.

This trader shows a preference for high-frequency trading, as reflected by a short max drawdown duration and a large number of trades in a relatively brief period. Utter-Ebook’s win rate is remarkably strong at 92.3%, supported by a profit factor of 4.40, suggesting a conservative and risk-managed approach. Their 29% sell rate and a semi-bot trading style imply a blend of automated and manual decision-making. The Sharpe ratio of 0.72 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, with an equity trend noted as upward, signaling growth in trading skill or capital over time.

Key strengths for Utter-Ebook include consistent profitability, a strong win streak, and the ability to maintain low drawdowns, making them a resilient trader on Polymarket. However, the negative net PnL and zero current portfolio value raise questions about recent performance or possible capital withdrawal. The semi-bot strategy may also introduce risks related to automation errors or overreliance on algorithms in volatile market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
157 wins in a row
Whale
$98,423
Consistent
21/24 days
High Roller
$2,226/day
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,645,713$-7,172Vol: $274,524
⚽ SPORTS#55,764$510Vol: $20,430
🏛️ POLITICS#1,278,102$-11Vol: $198
🎭 CULTURE#680,988$-10Vol: $28

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,426
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$307,108
Total Redeem
$34,893
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1111
total markets
Trades
1350B / 559S
Daily Volume
$2,226
Account Age
134d
since Mar 5, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$31,734
Win Rate
92%
398W / 33L
Profit Factor
4.4x
Avg Win
$80
Avg Loss
$-218

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,150 (12.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1,144
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$1,129
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$877
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$731
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$619
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$591
Avalanche vs. Kings$591
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8AM ET$457
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$448
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner$436

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$-1,033
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 8PM ET$-700
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-611
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-583
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-342
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 5AM ET$-319
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7AM ET$-306
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12PM ET$-300
Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 2AM ET$-300
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 9AM ET$-300

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.721
Sortino
3.085
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.370
Kelly %
82.0%
Half-Kelly
41.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
43.2
Active
Markets / Day
19.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 274s — typical for humanSize CV 2.12 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high20 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
710 entries
<=2
786 entries
<=5
851 entries
<=10
867 entries
<=20
872 entries
<=50
875 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)56.7%
High (>55c)39.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44%

Other$24,484
Los Angeles$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
872

Single bracket

<=1
869 brackets
<=2
872 brackets
<=3
872 brackets
<=4
872 brackets
<=5
872 brackets
<=8
872 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 10:51:40 AM4 trades$8015 min
2/24/2026, 11:04:38 AM1 trades$9690 min
2/24/2026, 11:33:36 AM4 trades$2029 min
2/24/2026, 12:10:42 PM1 trades$3140 min
2/24/2026, 1:22:40 PM2 trades$1014 min
2/24/2026, 1:35:00 PM1 trades$2000 min
2/24/2026, 1:42:14 PM1 trades$3000 min
2/24/2026, 2:00:12 PM1 trades$8040 min
2/24/2026, 3:28:26 PM2 trades$2011 min
2/24/2026, 3:39:44 PM1 trades$4000 min
2/24/2026, 3:55:42 PM2 trades$2,6711 min
2/24/2026, 11:10:26 PM1 trades$10 min
2/24/2026, 11:55:06 PM4 trades$1,0061 min
2/25/2026, 12:26:20 AM1 trades$1,1200 min
2/25/2026, 3:31:34 AM1 trades$10 min
2/25/2026, 3:38:58 AM3 trades$1,1461 min
2/25/2026, 4:01:06 AM2 trades$403 min
2/25/2026, 4:13:38 AM92 trades$2791 min
2/25/2026, 4:24:14 AM3 trades$30 min
2/25/2026, 4:53:16 AM1 trades$3000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
02-28
03-04
03-08
03-12
04-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event