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Vain-Loincloth

@Vain-Loincloth

#131,24736

0xd230e99ff8bfcb19e9626dc32193c714858602db

47d· 1029 markets · 3173 tradesVol: $111,349 @borj6792026-05-17T19:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.35x0/15
HHI 6810/10
Profit Days 53%6/10

Summary

Vain-Loincloth is an active trader on Polymarket with 3,173 trades across 538 markets over 43 days. Their net profit stands at $289.50, placing them at rank #131,247 globally. Despite a high trading volume of $111,349, their overall profitability metrics are below average, with a Smart Score of 36/100 and a profit factor of 0.35. The trader’s portfolio value is currently zero, and the Sharpe Ratio is negative at -0.37, indicating risk-adjusted returns have been unfavorable.

The trading style of Vain-Loincloth appears mixed, with a semi-automated approach suggested by a Bot Score of 55/100. They show a preference for frequent, smaller bets given their high trade count and low sell percentage of 7%. The trader maintains a relatively low-risk profile evidenced by minimal exposure to weather markets (1%) and a max drawdown duration of zero days, implying quick recovery from losses. Timing-wise, the presence of badges like Sniper and Win Streak suggests moments of precision and short-term momentum trading.

Vain-Loincloth’s strengths include a steady upward equity trend and resilience, as indicated by their Diamond Hands badge and zero drawdown duration. However, their below-average win rate of 44.4% and low profit factor highlight potential overtrading or suboptimal risk management. The negative Sharpe Ratio also signals that returns have not sufficiently compensated for risk, posing concerns about long-term sustainability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+290
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
22 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#36,347$584Vol: $100,901
SPORTS#1,542,871$-240Vol: $8,619
🌤️ WEATHER#240,187$-37Vol: $1,697
📢 MENTIONS#128,650$-17Vol: $132

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$290
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,349
Total Redeem
$9,981
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1029
total markets
Trades
2965B / 208S
Daily Volume
$545
Account Age
47d
since Apr 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-39
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $1,653
All Time
$290
Vol: $111,349

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
249W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$12,431
Win Rate
44%
178W / 223L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-43

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$223
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$218
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$172
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$113
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$91

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-218
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-202
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$-174
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-161
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-153
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-134
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-133
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-127
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-109
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$-105

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.369
Sortino
-0.311
HHI
69
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.298
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.8
Very active
Markets / Day
12.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.2m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 2.13 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.20 — human randomness74 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.5
Active DCA
<=1
120 entries
<=2
206 entries
<=5
359 entries
<=10
465 entries
<=20
520 entries
<=50
537 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)42.8%
High (>55c)45.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.3%

Tokyo$16
Jakarta$0
Shanghai$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Singapore$0
Other$-6,295

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
538

Single bracket

<=1
538 brackets
<=2
538 brackets
<=3
538 brackets
<=4
538 brackets
<=5
538 brackets
<=8
538 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 4:31:55 PM4 trades$183 min
4/3/2026, 5:43:23 PM4 trades$231 min
4/3/2026, 6:12:39 PM2 trades$181 min
4/3/2026, 6:20:39 PM12 trades$514 min
4/3/2026, 6:30:15 PM37 trades$20515 min
4/3/2026, 6:50:57 PM43 trades$29724 min
4/3/2026, 7:25:47 PM23 trades$18014 min
4/3/2026, 8:09:35 PM19 trades$1005 min
4/3/2026, 8:34:13 PM14 trades$10611 min
4/4/2026, 5:20:41 AM27 trades$1729 min
4/4/2026, 5:55:47 AM8 trades$973 min
4/4/2026, 6:09:29 AM5 trades$661 min
4/4/2026, 6:44:09 AM8 trades$771 min
4/4/2026, 7:05:19 AM5 trades$170 min
4/4/2026, 7:10:33 AM19 trades$1784 min
4/4/2026, 7:20:33 AM30 trades$1597 min
4/4/2026, 7:44:37 AM3 trades$171 min
4/4/2026, 7:50:21 AM16 trades$775 min
4/4/2026, 8:00:31 AM15 trades$13010 min
4/4/2026, 9:28:17 AM8 trades$431 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-05
04-09
04-11
04-13
04-16
05-02
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.9% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event