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Vain-Loincloth

@Vain-Loincloth

#2,636,12837

0xd230e99ff8bfcb19e9626dc32193c714858602db

90d· 1073 markets · 3198 tradesVol: $139,167 @borj6792026-06-20T11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.41x0/15
HHI 10910/10
Profit Days 59%7/10

Summary

Vain-Loincloth is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 3,198 trades across 545 markets over 272 days. Despite a high total volume of $139,167, their net profit and loss stands at negative $333.47, placing them low on the global PnL leaderboard at rank #2,636,128. Their overall Smart Score of 37/100 and a portfolio value near zero highlight challenges in generating consistent profits.

The trader shows a preference for a wide variety of markets but with minimal exposure to weather-related markets (1%). Vain-Loincloth’s trading style appears to be aggressive given the high number of trades and relatively low sell percentage (8%), suggesting a tendency to hold positions longer. However, the win rate of 44% and profit factor of 0.41 indicate a higher risk profile with more losing trades than winning ones. The Sharpe ratio of -0.32 further reflects underperformance relative to risk taken, though the equity trend is upward, suggesting some recent improvement.

Vain-Loincloth’s key strengths include a substantial trading volume and a growing equity trend which may indicate learning or adaptation. Their badges such as Sniper and Win Streak imply occasional bursts of successful trades. However, the negative overall PnL, low profitability metrics, and below-average Smart and Bot scores suggest potential risks in sustaining gains. Traders on Polymarket should note that while Vain-Loincloth remains active, their strategy has yet to produce consistent positive returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Diamond Hands
8% sell
Win Streak
22 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,267,356$-31Vol: $126,426
🌤️ WEATHER#260,864$-45Vol: $3,990
SPORTS#1,606,221$-201Vol: $1,255
📢 MENTIONS#131,956$-17Vol: $132

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-333
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$139,167
Total Redeem
$11,336
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1073
total markets
Trades
2952B / 246S
Daily Volume
$107
Account Age
90d
since Apr 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-84
Vol: $13,224
All Time
$-333
Vol: $139,167

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$13,434
Win Rate
44%
175W / 223L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-44

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$359
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$223
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$223
Ethereum Up or Down - April 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$218
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$172
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$165
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$143
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$113
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$108

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$-218
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-202
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$-202
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$-174
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-161
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-153
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-134
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$-133
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-127
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$-109

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.320
Sortino
-0.269
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.229
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
17.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.6
Active
Markets / Day
8.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — typical for humanSize CV 3.51 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.4
Active DCA
<=1
122 entries
<=2
216 entries
<=5
371 entries
<=10
473 entries
<=20
527 entries
<=50
544 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)44.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 54.8%

Tokyo$16
Jakarta$0
Shanghai$0
Kuala Lumpur$0
Singapore$0
Other$-5,843

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
544

Single bracket

<=1
543 brackets
<=2
544 brackets
<=3
544 brackets
<=4
544 brackets
<=5
544 brackets
<=8
544 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 4:31:55 PM4 trades$183 min
4/3/2026, 5:43:23 PM4 trades$231 min
4/3/2026, 6:12:39 PM2 trades$181 min
4/3/2026, 6:20:39 PM12 trades$514 min
4/3/2026, 6:30:15 PM36 trades$19215 min
4/3/2026, 6:50:57 PM43 trades$29724 min
4/3/2026, 7:25:47 PM23 trades$18014 min
4/3/2026, 8:09:35 PM19 trades$1005 min
4/3/2026, 8:34:13 PM14 trades$10611 min
4/4/2026, 5:20:41 AM27 trades$1729 min
4/4/2026, 5:55:47 AM8 trades$973 min
4/4/2026, 6:09:29 AM5 trades$661 min
4/4/2026, 6:44:09 AM8 trades$771 min
4/4/2026, 7:05:19 AM5 trades$170 min
4/4/2026, 7:10:33 AM9 trades$834 min
4/4/2026, 7:20:33 AM30 trades$1597 min
4/4/2026, 7:44:37 AM3 trades$171 min
4/4/2026, 7:50:21 AM16 trades$775 min
4/4/2026, 8:00:31 AM15 trades$13010 min
4/4/2026, 9:28:17 AM8 trades$431 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-05
04-09
04-11
04-13
04-16
05-02
05-15
05-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.9% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event