Polydata

@Valid-Equivalent

#2,006,03827

0x3d3fa04191339380bfcdf2a2d95ccca80e171d8d

51d· 47 markets · 77 tradesVol: $2,4302026-05-21T01:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 0.85x1/15
HHI 47910/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 5443%0/10

Summary

Valid-Equivalent is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 77 trades across 47 markets over 435 days. Currently ranked #2,006,038 globally, they have a net loss of $30.45 and a total trading volume of $2,430. Their portfolio value stands at $4.11, with a below-average Smart Score of 27 out of 100, indicating room for improvement in overall performance.

The trader shows a balanced but slightly cautious approach, with a win rate just under 49% and a profit factor of 0.85, suggesting losses have outweighed gains. Valid-Equivalent does not engage with weather-related markets and has a sell percentage of 31%, hinting at some willingness to cut losses or take profits. Their Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.07, reflecting limited risk-adjusted returns, and their trading appears to be manual, as indicated by a low Bot Score.

Valid-Equivalent’s key strength is consistent engagement over a long period, demonstrated by a steady upward equity trend despite negative returns. However, their below-average Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio highlight challenges in achieving profitability. The lack of specialization in market types and modest trading volume may also limit growth potential, presenting risks if trading discipline or strategy refinement is not improved.

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,343,247$-24Vol: $1,823
🎭 CULTURE#509,101$-1Vol: $500
CRYPTO#999,946$-6Vol: $77
💰 FINANCE#124,677$1Vol: $11
🏛️ POLITICS#276,936$2Vol: $11
📈 ECONOMICS#464,395$-1Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,430
Total Redeem
$44
Portfolio
$4
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
53B / 24S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
51d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $1,675
Month
$-21
Vol: $2,283
All Time
$-30
Vol: $2,430

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
22W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-13
Win Rate
49%
22W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-9

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Grou$28
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovace$24
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$23
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$22
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - TCL Playoffs$16
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)$16
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TYLOO (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group$9
Counter-Strike: paiN vs M80 (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A$7
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5

Top Losers

LoL: CCG Esports vs Winthrop University (BO3) - North American Ch$-47
Valorant: Beşiktaş Esports vs CGN Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group$-45
LoL: PCIFIC vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner$-20
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NIP (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6AM ET$-11
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$-10
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-10
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$-7
Dota 2: Nix Team vs Recrent Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle$-7
Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.100
HHI
479
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
9.7%
Half-Kelly
4.8%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
38.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1413s — typical for humanSize CV 1.21 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?21/24 hours — extended day

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
41 entries
<=2
47 entries
<=5
47 entries
<=10
47 entries
<=20
47 entries
<=50
47 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.5%
Mid (20-55c)67.9%
High (>55c)24.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 65.5%

Los Angeles$23
San Francisco$22
Chicago$4
Madrid$-5
Other$-76

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
44

Single bracket

<=1
41 brackets
<=2
44 brackets
<=3
44 brackets
<=4
44 brackets
<=5
44 brackets
<=8
44 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/22/2025, 9:56:24 AM2 trades$21 min
10/23/2025, 12:43:23 AM1 trades$10 min
10/23/2025, 5:04:25 AM2 trades$20 min
10/23/2025, 7:54:25 AM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2026, 10:38:18 AM1 trades$20 min
1/12/2026, 9:12:44 AM1 trades$40 min
1/27/2026, 11:13:33 AM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 1:55:27 PM1 trades$20 min
1/28/2026, 4:13:49 AM1 trades$10 min
1/29/2026, 7:27:46 AM1 trades$20 min
2/2/2026, 6:30:58 AM1 trades$20 min
2/2/2026, 7:04:14 AM1 trades$100 min
2/3/2026, 11:44:04 AM1 trades$110 min
4/10/2026, 1:49:53 PM3 trades$44 min
4/22/2026, 2:57:44 PM2 trades$111 min
4/23/2026, 7:13:40 AM1 trades$70 min
4/23/2026, 8:33:02 AM2 trades$40 min
4/24/2026, 10:41:46 AM2 trades$101 min
5/4/2026, 10:17:20 PM1 trades$40 min
5/5/2026, 5:40:10 AM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-22
01-13
02-03
04-24
05-04
05-15
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event