Polydata

@Velvety-Mask

#65459

0xb5fd86fb9d64714f5158e13cada4b7103c958c6d

201d· 116 markets · 2722 tradesVol: $3,444,5932026-07-09T15:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 58%14/20
Profit Factor 1.47x8/15
Sharpe 0.1823/15
Sortino 0.2913/10
EV $+5.96510/10
HHI 18610/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 45%5/10

Summary

Velvety-Mask is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #654 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $299,017.61. Over 126 days, they executed 2,722 trades across 116 markets, generating a total volume of over $3.4 million. Their smart score of 59/100 indicates solid trading performance, while their win rate of 58.8% and profit factor of 1.64 reflect consistent profitability. Despite a relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.18, Velvety-Mask maintains an upward equity trend and has not experienced significant drawdowns.

Velvety-Mask exhibits a contrarian and diamond hands style, favoring a disciplined approach without engaging in selling trades, as indicated by a 0% sell rate. Their trading activity suggests a preference for dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies and a tendency to hold positions through market fluctuations. This approach points to a moderate risk profile, focusing on steady gains rather than rapid, high-risk speculation. Their absence from weather markets and the lack of automated bot characteristics suggest a human-driven, thoughtful trading pattern on Polymarket.

The key strength of Velvety-Mask lies in their consistent profitability and disciplined execution, supported by a 58.8% win rate and a profit factor well above 1. However, the low Sharpe ratio and the zero max drawdown duration may indicate limited exposure to volatility or conservative risk-taking, which could cap upside potential. Additionally, the absence of portfolio holdings at the time of analysis could suggest a temporary pause or a strategy of quick turnover. Overall, Velvety-Mask demonstrates a sound and sustainable trading approach with manageable risk.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+299,018
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 23.4 entries/market
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Whale
$1,658,236
High Roller
$13,151/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#320$299,545Vol: $3,442,747
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,717$-527Vol: $1,846

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$299,018
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,444,593
Total Redeem
$1,938,299
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
2719B / 3S
Daily Volume
$13,151
Account Age
201d
since Dec 20, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
66W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$347,937
Win Rate
59%
67W / 47L
Profit Factor
1.64x
Avg Win
$13,910
Avg Loss
$-12,102

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $181,949 (50.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5$72,303
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5$54,835
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?$54,811
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18?$51,267
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-13?$42,071
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?$42,066
Levante UD vs. Girona FC: O/U 2.5$41,021
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$38,308
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-04-22?$35,291
Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-03-15?$34,204

Top Losers

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?$-62,604
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?$-38,722
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5$-35,233
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-20?$-31,502
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$-26,839
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?$-26,492
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5$-25,950
FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5$-24,187
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?$-23,554
Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-14?$-22,329

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.182
Sortino
0.291
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.965
Kelly %
14.6%
Half-Kelly
7.3%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.1m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 4.95 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.37 — human randomness22 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
20 entries
<=2
32 entries
<=5
47 entries
<=10
63 entries
<=20
82 entries
<=50
98 entries
>50
18 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)78.3%
High (>55c)21.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.1%

Other$242,077
Madrid$103,370
Atlanta$35,291
Milan$7,418
Paris$-24,974

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
111

Single bracket

<=1
107 brackets
<=2
110 brackets
<=3
111 brackets
<=4
111 brackets
<=5
111 brackets
<=8
111 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/20/2025, 6:28:27 PM1 trades$5,8680 min
12/20/2025, 7:13:05 PM1 trades$5,7660 min
1/2/2026, 1:20:33 PM1 trades$15,0000 min
1/2/2026, 1:44:25 PM1 trades$2,3000 min
1/3/2026, 12:20:45 PM1 trades$18,6340 min
1/9/2026, 7:04:40 PM1 trades$18,7000 min
1/9/2026, 7:15:04 PM83 trades$4,3979 min
1/9/2026, 8:48:24 PM9 trades$9,8495 min
1/9/2026, 9:28:06 PM2 trades$10,3511 min
1/10/2026, 1:56:22 PM1 trades$9,4870 min
1/10/2026, 9:02:58 PM19 trades$4753 min
1/10/2026, 9:11:28 PM125 trades$1,09826 min
1/13/2026, 8:03:38 PM54 trades$88010 min
1/13/2026, 9:01:02 PM1 trades$1,7370 min
1/13/2026, 9:26:54 PM1 trades$40 min
1/13/2026, 9:38:30 PM1 trades$50 min
1/13/2026, 9:48:46 PM1 trades$1,2780 min
1/13/2026, 10:12:46 PM2 trades$300 min
1/13/2026, 10:22:54 PM1 trades$20 min
1/13/2026, 10:30:04 PM25 trades$9373 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
01-24
02-20
03-13
03-31
04-11
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event