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@Vibrant-Paperback

#2,809,11312

0xbeaa8b0144cb915b617bdaacfcf78795f481efeb

209d· 3816 markets · 4153 tradesVol: $620,5652026-07-18T03:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 20%0/20
Profit Factor 0.94x2/15
HHI 8310/10
Profit Days 22%0/10
DD/Peak 122%0/10

Summary

Vibrant-Paperback is a highly active trader on Polymarket with over 4,000 trades across more than 1,500 markets. Despite this volume, they rank low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,809,113, reflecting a net loss of $491.43 over 206 days of activity. Their portfolio value has declined to $15.72, and the Smart Score of 12/100 indicates a beginner level of trading sophistication.

The trader’s style appears high-frequency and semi-automated, as suggested by a bot score of 55/100. Vibrant-Paperback does not specialize in any particular market segment, with zero exposure to weather markets and a 25% sell ratio. Their win rate is listed at 100%, but the profit factor of 0.00 and negative Sharpe ratio (-0.02) suggest that winning trades may be very small or offset by larger losses, highlighting a risky and possibly inconsistent approach.

Key strengths for Vibrant-Paperback include a strong win streak and contrarian trading badge, indicating a willingness to challenge consensus. However, the downward equity trend, low Smart Score, and negative PnL raise concerns about the sustainability of their strategy. Their mixed manual and bot-assisted trading may need refinement to improve performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Contrarian
80% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
33 wins in a row

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,561,142$-427Vol: $615,668
🎭 CULTURE#737,910$-32Vol: $2,518
📈 ECONOMICS#636,161$-46Vol: $926
🏛️ POLITICS#190,862$7Vol: $788
💰 FINANCE#70,018$5Vol: $665

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$620,565
Total Redeem
$226
Portfolio
$16
Predictions
3816
total markets
Trades
3111B / 1042S
Daily Volume
$181
Account Age
209d
since Dec 24, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $69
Week
$19
Vol: $12,128
Month
$-82
Vol: $16,440
All Time
$-491
Vol: $620,565

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
20%
347W / 1368L events
Realized PnL
$17,951
Win Rate
100%
33W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,659 (73.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$900
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?$625
Ethereum Up or Down on February 11?$134
Ethereum Up or Down on February 4?$128
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 25?$88
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4?$66
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 23?$66
Ethereum Up or Down on January 18?$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9PM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$38

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.7
Active
Markets / Day
8.6
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.4m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 376s — typical for humanSize CV 2.10 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.85 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high1799 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry
<=1
792 entries
<=2
1219 entries
<=5
1537 entries
<=10
1571 entries
<=20
1578 entries
<=50
1578 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)62.5%
High (>55c)8.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.2%

Other$2,050
Up or Down$220

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1522

Single bracket

<=1
1478 brackets
<=2
1513 brackets
<=3
1520 brackets
<=4
1522 brackets
<=5
1522 brackets
<=8
1522 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 11:23:56 PM2 trades$1502 min
1/15/2026, 11:55:34 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/16/2026, 2:09:52 AM3 trades$201 min
1/16/2026, 2:30:24 AM1 trades$160 min
1/16/2026, 3:07:14 AM1 trades$150 min
1/16/2026, 3:13:52 AM1 trades$10 min
1/16/2026, 4:43:34 AM1 trades$30 min
1/16/2026, 5:45:12 AM1 trades$500 min
1/16/2026, 6:14:02 AM1 trades$560 min
1/16/2026, 6:48:24 AM3 trades$1146 min
1/16/2026, 7:03:50 AM1 trades$100 min
1/16/2026, 8:15:40 AM3 trades$1305 min
1/16/2026, 8:37:14 AM15 trades$13616 min
1/16/2026, 8:59:06 AM1 trades$30 min
1/16/2026, 9:17:14 AM1 trades$1480 min
1/16/2026, 9:51:34 AM5 trades$227 min
1/16/2026, 10:04:24 AM1 trades$500 min
1/16/2026, 11:20:54 AM5 trades$1579 min
1/16/2026, 12:48:36 PM1 trades$690 min
1/16/2026, 12:55:36 PM1 trades$460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-24
01-31
03-03
04-04
05-12
06-15
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event