Polydata

@Villainous-Dog

#4,04275

0xb877962274938a85e9d08b83062badd330b64601

592d· 1225 markets · 10947 tradesVol: $1,770,3552026-06-19T17:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 0.18x0/15
Sharpe 1.14115/15
Sortino 6.12510/10
HHI 10910/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Villainous-Dog is an active trader on Polymarket with 10,947 trades across 348 markets over 87 days. They hold a global PnL leaderboard rank of #4042, reflecting a net profit of $38,219.47 on a total trading volume exceeding $1.7 million. Their overall portfolio value remains modest at $183.67, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 1.14, indicating a reasonable risk-adjusted return. The trader maintains a Smart Score of 75, signaling very good trading acumen, though their Profit Factor of 0.18 suggests challenges in balancing wins against losses.

Villainous-Dog’s trading style appears to be moderately contrarian and selective, as indicated by badges like Contrarian and Sniper. They rarely sell, with only 7% of trades involving selling, and show a preference for holding positions, earning the Diamond Hands badge. Their win rate is relatively low at 33.3%, but they maintain a stable equity trend and benefit from short max drawdown durations, suggesting disciplined risk management. The absence of weather markets and a semi-bot score of 45/100 hints at a blend of automated and manual strategies focused on timing and market selection.

Strengths for Villainous-Dog include steady performance with limited drawdown and the ability to maintain profits through disciplined holding patterns. However, the low profit factor and modest portfolio size highlight potential risks in trade efficiency and capital allocation. Their contrarian approach may yield inconsistent short-term outcomes despite long-term stability. Overall, Villainous-Dog demonstrates a solid foundation on Polymarket with room to improve trade profitability and scaling.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+38,219
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$335,152
Consistent
58/61 days
High Roller
$3,852/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,586,629$-155Vol: $11,591
🏛️ POLITICS#1,511,399$-148Vol: $7,491
🎭 CULTURE#620,998$-4Vol: $2,502
📈 ECONOMICS#429,730$-1Vol: $353

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,219
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,770,355
Total Redeem
$44,677
Portfolio
$184
Predictions
1225
total markets
Trades
10147B / 800S
Daily Volume
$3,852
Account Age
592d
since Nov 5, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$5,575
Vol: $21,508
Week
$12,730
Vol: $120,106
Month
$17,044
Vol: $357,261
All Time
$38,219
Vol: $1,770,355

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
91%
184W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$102,862
Win Rate
33%
109W / 218L
Profit Factor
0.18x
Avg Win
$267
Avg Loss
$-758

Top Winners

LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Pl$2,430
Dota 2: Flame Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Gro$2,360
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner$2,065
Dota 2: Yangon Galacticos vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - The $1,799
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$1,152
Dota 2: Spirit Academy vs Hive (BO3) - European Pro League Playof$937
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - The International So$918
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner$867
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - A$729
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Game Master (BO3) - The International $722

Top Losers

LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascen$-9,562
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Esports World Cup North Americ$-9,355
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-4,536
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$-4,156
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner$-4,151
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-3,609
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs$-3,499
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA$-3,212
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Divis$-3,195
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$-3,153

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.141
Sortino
6.125
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.409
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
178.4
Very active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
17s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.9m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 17s — typical for humanSize CV 2.09 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness178 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
19 entries
<=2
25 entries
<=5
52 entries
<=10
100 entries
<=20
160 entries
<=50
289 entries
>50
59 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)48.5%
High (>55c)41%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$-136,055

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
210

Single bracket

<=1
129 brackets
<=2
173 brackets
<=3
193 brackets
<=4
207 brackets
<=5
210 brackets
<=8
210 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 8:16:38 AM85 trades$4,74539 min
4/19/2026, 9:16:16 AM53 trades$4,98028 min
4/19/2026, 9:51:26 AM7 trades$1,4334 min
4/19/2026, 10:19:22 AM20 trades$1,42513 min
4/19/2026, 10:47:46 AM1 trades$3760 min
4/19/2026, 11:29:52 AM10 trades$5913 min
4/19/2026, 11:41:20 AM6 trades$3703 min
4/19/2026, 11:50:58 AM1 trades$380 min
4/19/2026, 12:24:46 PM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 12:31:10 PM2 trades$753 min
4/19/2026, 12:39:48 PM3 trades$820 min
4/19/2026, 12:45:08 PM30 trades$2,5698 min
4/19/2026, 7:08:56 PM28 trades$2,36526 min
4/19/2026, 7:56:38 PM33 trades$1,60024 min
4/21/2026, 7:04:14 PM6 trades$1,2462 min
4/21/2026, 7:13:30 PM33 trades$2,63126 min
4/21/2026, 7:45:16 PM3 trades$2,2124 min
4/21/2026, 8:15:04 PM22 trades$1,1955 min
4/21/2026, 8:24:56 PM61 trades$3,36720 min
4/21/2026, 8:50:58 PM8 trades$3,0912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-22
05-09
05-20
05-31
06-10
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event