Polydata

@Webbed-Peacock

#2,937,97315

0x068162f52e8534620c419c174be1aa5337dff713

584d· 534 markets · 48023 tradesVol: $11,882,4952026-06-28T22:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 32%1/20
Profit Factor 0.32x0/15
HHI 24210/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 3766%0/10

Summary

Webbed-Peacock is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 48,000 trades completed across 253 markets in 547 days. Despite this volume, the trader currently ranks very low at #2,937,973 globally, holding a net loss of approximately $521,000. Their portfolio value stands at around $7,800, reflecting a significant drawdown from previous levels. The Sharpe ratio of -0.36 and a profit factor of 1.15 indicate weak risk-adjusted returns, while a win rate below 50% shows frequent losses.

The trading style of Webbed-Peacock appears automated, with a Bot Score of 70 and badges suggesting reliance on dollar-cost averaging and contrarian positions. They engage almost exclusively in non-weather markets and rarely sell, implying a buy-and-hold or averaging down approach. The low sell percentage of 1% aligns with their “Diamond Hands” badge, indicating a high-risk tolerance and a strategy focused on long-term accumulation rather than quick profits or active repositioning.

Webbed-Peacock’s strengths include a robust trading volume and consistent market engagement, which might generate opportunities for learning and adjustment. However, the steep equity decline, negative Sharpe ratio, and large net losses highlight potential risks. Their contrarian and DCA approach may incur prolonged drawdowns, and the heavy dependence on automated strategies without evident improvement could further impact future performance on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 188.3 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Whale
$1,550,179
High Roller
$2,834/day

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,614,174$-579,709Vol: $9,698,549
💰 FINANCE#24$108,413Vol: $1,074,735
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,960$-29,744Vol: $876,436
🎭 CULTURE#802,325$-20,027Vol: $224,888
📈 ECONOMICS#661,822$-802Vol: $4,517
💻 TECH#1,961$562Vol: $3,003

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-521,357
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,882,495
Total Redeem
$41,619
Portfolio
$7,808
Predictions
534
total markets
Trades
47630B / 393S
Daily Volume
$2,834
Account Age
584d
since Nov 21, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-81,327
Vol: $1,674,121
Week
$-64,531
Vol: $1,674,121
Month
$-459,818
Vol: $10,198,347
All Time
$-521,357
Vol: $11,882,495

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
35%
104W / 197L events
Realized PnL
$532,672
Win Rate
47%
7W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$4,567
Avg Loss
$-3,478

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $24,379 (588.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$11,193
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$9,345
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$3,840
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$3,696
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$3,396
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$251
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$243

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-6,983
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$-5,700
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-4,024
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-2,928
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-2,576
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-2,534
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-1,650
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-1,429

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.356
Sortino
-0.308
HHI
242
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.681
Kelly %
25.1%
Half-Kelly
12.5%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
25.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
120.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.2

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.61 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.65 — human randomness120 trades/day — automation492 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
188.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
4 entries
<=2
7 entries
<=5
19 entries
<=10
28 entries
<=20
37 entries
<=50
75 entries
>50
178 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.4%
Mid (20-55c)59.1%
High (>55c)15.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.6%

Other$4,142

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
216

Single bracket

<=1
201 brackets
<=2
205 brackets
<=3
210 brackets
<=4
214 brackets
<=5
215 brackets
<=8
216 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/25/2025, 11:22:48 PM2 trades$5920 min
6/5/2025, 12:00:43 PM1 trades$9180 min
6/5/2025, 12:11:09 PM4 trades$6503 min
6/5/2025, 3:40:24 PM1 trades$130 min
6/5/2025, 3:45:50 PM3 trades$916 min
5/14/2026, 11:28:12 AM40 trades$1,28717 min
5/14/2026, 11:54:59 AM57 trades$2,09730 min
5/14/2026, 12:30:23 PM152 trades$1,97739 min
5/14/2026, 1:15:38 PM59 trades$1,27617 min
5/14/2026, 1:50:04 PM1 trades$430 min
5/14/2026, 2:22:27 PM1 trades$00 min
5/14/2026, 2:37:09 PM2 trades$53 min
5/14/2026, 2:58:54 PM1 trades$2050 min
5/15/2026, 10:47:27 AM2 trades$4024 min
5/15/2026, 10:57:11 AM2 trades$01 min
5/15/2026, 11:20:35 AM1 trades$20 min
5/15/2026, 11:28:55 AM8 trades$19013 min
5/15/2026, 12:14:59 PM1 trades$40 min
5/15/2026, 12:30:24 PM2 trades$103 min
5/15/2026, 12:52:27 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
01-31
05-31
05-19
06-05
06-17
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 188.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event