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@Well-Informed-Clause

#2,540,98631

0x5a39ac1737d1a9578e444df95c94e6ded19a8380

138d· 11908 markets · 4038 tradesVol: $309,9732026-06-27T06:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.75x0/15
HHI 1910/10
Profit Days 33%1/10
DD/Peak 1464%0/10

Summary

Well-Informed-Clause is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 4,038 trades across 1,286 markets over 115 days. Despite a sizable total volume of nearly $310,000, the trader currently holds a net loss of $157.50 and ranks #2,540,986 globally in terms of profit and loss. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 31 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.10, suggest challenges in consistently generating profits.

This trader appears to favor a high-frequency approach with a focus on a broad range of markets, as indicated by the large number of markets traded. The 71.8% win rate and a 12% sell percentage imply that Well-Informed-Clause tends to hold positions rather than taking quick profits, aligning with a semi-automated strategy (Bot Score 45) that mixes manual and algorithmic trading. The relatively low profit factor of 0.75 points to a risk profile where losses occasionally outweigh gains. Timing-wise, the trader maintains an upward equity trend and zero days of max drawdown duration, indicating resilience in position management.

Well-Informed-Clause’s key strengths include a high win rate and an upward equity trend, supported by badges like “Sniper” and “Win Streak,” which reflect precision and consistency in entries. However, the negative net PnL, below-average risk-adjusted returns, and semi-bot trading style introduce potential concerns about long-term profitability and strategy robustness. The absence of weather market exposure suggests a focused but possibly limited market scope within Polymarket’s ecosystem.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
586 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,457,146$-158Vol: $309,973

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-158
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$309,973
Total Redeem
$13,637
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11908
total markets
Trades
3556B / 482S
Daily Volume
$201
Account Age
138d
since Mar 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$352
Vol: $844
Week
$-7
Vol: $6,657
Month
$829
Vol: $52,510
All Time
$-158
Vol: $309,973

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$8,640
Win Rate
72%
597W / 235L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-35

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET$581
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$46
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$39

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-87
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$-79
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-77
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-69
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-64
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$-64
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$-61
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-58

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.114
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.109
Kelly %
30.1%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
4.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.2
Active
Markets / Day
11.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 0.99 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high11 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
489 entries
<=2
974 entries
<=5
1217 entries
<=10
1258 entries
<=20
1271 entries
<=50
1280 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.3%
Mid (20-55c)60.6%
High (>55c)36.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.8%

Other$-2,032

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1286

Single bracket

<=1
1286 brackets
<=2
1286 brackets
<=3
1286 brackets
<=4
1286 brackets
<=5
1286 brackets
<=8
1286 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/4/2026, 10:54:53 AM98 trades$9166 min
3/4/2026, 11:37:21 AM1 trades$20 min
3/4/2026, 11:44:35 AM54 trades$16316 min
3/4/2026, 12:11:17 PM68 trades$16813 min
3/4/2026, 12:30:17 PM33 trades$657 min
3/4/2026, 1:23:55 PM217 trades$98436 min
3/5/2026, 12:29:11 AM14 trades$517 min
3/5/2026, 12:42:01 AM2 trades$21 min
3/5/2026, 12:51:57 AM1 trades$50 min
3/5/2026, 1:01:23 AM6 trades$247 min
3/5/2026, 2:11:41 PM54 trades$18719 min
3/5/2026, 3:29:59 PM359 trades$1,14530 min
3/5/2026, 4:30:05 PM1 trades$20 min
3/5/2026, 4:40:55 PM1 trades$20 min
3/5/2026, 4:46:55 PM94 trades$26511 min
3/5/2026, 5:31:03 PM85 trades$37112 min
3/6/2026, 1:24:41 PM128 trades$33521 min
3/6/2026, 5:00:15 PM36 trades$755 min
3/7/2026, 2:30:17 PM7 trades$22210 min
3/10/2026, 5:17:39 AM2 trades$194 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
03-24
04-16
05-03
05-27
06-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event