Polydata

@Well-Off-String

#2,976,64333

0x6b36973dcfbb4a1e4c6fadfe35b755eee99c0d4b

156d· 24519 markets · 10134 tradesVol: $5,927,4052026-07-06T09:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 21%0/20
Profit Factor 1.15x4/15
Sharpe 0.0872/15
Sortino 0.1031/10
EV $+0.25610/10
HHI 7410/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 63%1/10

Summary

Well-Off-String is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2,976,643 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 274 days, they executed 10,134 trades across 1,441 markets, generating a total volume of nearly six million dollars. Despite a high win rate of 76.7% and a profit factor of 7.36, Well-Off-String has an overall net loss of $45,098.76 and a portfolio value of $6,697.21. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.09 signals minimal risk-adjusted returns, while their equity trend remains flat.

The trader’s strategy appears to rely heavily on automated trading, indicated by a bot score of 75/100 and badges like “Bot” and “DCA Master.” Well-Off-String shows a preference for contrarian and lottery-style markets, engaging in a diverse range with only 3% in weather markets. Their sell percentage is low at 12%, suggesting a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging approach. The trader’s risk profile is somewhat conservative in terms of drawdown, showing no prolonged losses, but their overall negative PnL indicates challenges in market timing or position sizing.

Well-Off-String’s strengths lie in their disciplined execution and high trade volume, which supports consistent engagement and potential for long-term gains. However, the below-average smart score and sustained net losses raise concerns about strategy effectiveness and adaptability. While automated trading may offer speed and precision, the negative PnL and low risk-adjusted returns highlight potential weaknesses in market selection or exit timing that could limit profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Lottery Player
41% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
79% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 6.2 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$144,734

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,627,072$-67,773Vol: $3,705,609
SPORTS#2,270$23,588Vol: $2,066,705
📈 ECONOMICS#656,298$-232Vol: $60,149
🌤️ WEATHER#286,565$-554Vol: $32,066
💰 FINANCE#613,281$-72Vol: $15,644
🏛️ POLITICS#775,010$-0Vol: $4,102
🎭 CULTURE#102,694$3Vol: $1,210
📢 MENTIONS#70,136$-0Vol: $43
💻 TECH#131,284$-0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-45,099
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,927,405
Total Redeem
$13,153
Portfolio
$6,697
Predictions
24519
total markets
Trades
8959B / 1175S
Daily Volume
$528
Account Age
156d
since Jan 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,744
Vol: $80,499
Week
$1,093
Vol: $230,880
Month
$-5,931
Vol: $972,635
All Time
$-45,099
Vol: $5,927,405

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
26%
243W / 696L events
Realized PnL
$119,358
Win Rate
77%
102W / 31L
Profit Factor
7.36x
Avg Win
$113
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,243 (52.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win on 2026-07-05?$2,472
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$2,188
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$583
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?$549
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$493
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$466
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$415
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$321
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$274
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$265

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-278
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-177
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$-161
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-144
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-136
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-73
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-58
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-56

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.087
Sortino
0.103
HHI
74
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.256
Kelly %
66.5%
Half-Kelly
33.3%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.3
Very active
Markets / Day
11.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
10.8m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 65s — typical for humanSize CV 4.03 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness77 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage1450 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.2
Active DCA
<=1
707 entries
<=2
959 entries
<=5
1158 entries
<=10
1233 entries
<=20
1309 entries
<=50
1415 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.4%
Mid (20-55c)43%
High (>55c)15.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 87.7%

Other$9,956
Hong Kong$0
Seoul$0
Amsterdam$0
Miami$0
Shanghai$0
Madrid$0
Milan$0
Chongqing$0
Wuhan$0
Paris$0
Taipei$0
Shenzhen$0
Chengdu$0
London$0
Up or Down$0
Beijing$0
Guangzhou$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
1004

Single bracket

<=1
816 brackets
<=2
924 brackets
<=3
954 brackets
<=4
967 brackets
<=5
975 brackets
<=8
997 brackets
>8
7 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 7:37:10 AM1 trades$200 min
3/2/2026, 4:31:35 PM1 trades$210 min
3/3/2026, 2:13:47 AM1 trades$10 min
3/5/2026, 8:31:09 AM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 3:59:11 AM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 4:31:15 AM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 4:25:13 PM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 4:34:55 PM1 trades$10 min
3/10/2026, 2:45:51 AM6 trades$62 min
3/27/2026, 2:53:41 AM6 trades$63 min
4/1/2026, 5:40:09 PM1 trades$10 min
4/1/2026, 10:00:13 PM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 2:34:21 AM1 trades$10 min
4/2/2026, 6:36:17 PM5 trades$54 min
4/6/2026, 2:00:23 AM2 trades$1251 min
4/7/2026, 1:30:33 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 1:37:21 AM1 trades$10 min
4/7/2026, 3:23:33 PM2 trades$42 min
4/9/2026, 9:02:17 AM2 trades$171 min
4/10/2026, 10:16:15 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-22
05-13
06-01
06-20
07-06
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
3.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event