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Windy-Finance

@Windy-Finance

#1,04876

0x25e28169faea17421fcd4cc361f6436d1e449a09

265d· 81 markets · 729 tradesVol: $2,287,7402026-06-27T02:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 75%20/20
Profit Factor 2.10x15/15
Sharpe 0.2435/15
Sortino 0.2012/10
EV $+0.1387/10
HHI 34410/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 33%7/10

Summary

Windy-Finance is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #1048 globally with a net PnL of $176,445.01 over 170 days and 729 trades. They have traded in 81 different markets, generating a total volume of $2,287,740. Despite a solid win rate of 75.3% and a profit factor of 2.10, their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their equity trend is declining.

The trader’s strategy appears focused on selective, high-probability bets rather than frequent selling, as evidenced by a low sell percentage of 5%. Windy-Finance demonstrates a risk profile that balances steady gains with limited drawdown, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.24 and zero max drawdown duration. Their badges such as Sniper and DCA Master suggest precision timing and dollar-cost averaging tactics. However, their activity avoids weather markets entirely, indicating a preference for other categories.

Windy-Finance’s strengths include consistent profitability, a strong win streak, and disciplined entry points, which contribute to a high Smart Score of 76. Potential concerns lie in the downward equity trend and a relatively low Sharpe ratio, implying moderate risk-adjusted returns. The Bot Score of 30 suggests the trader is likely human, relying on fast interface actions rather than automated algorithms.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 75%
Profitable
PnL $+176,445
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.5 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$1,331,624
Consistent
39/47 days
High Roller
$7,833/day

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$176,445
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,287,740
Total Redeem
$1,011,960
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
691B / 38S
Daily Volume
$7,833
Account Age
265d
since Oct 25, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
78%
60W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$176,386
Win Rate
75%
61W / 19L
Profit Factor
2.1x
Avg Win
$5,768
Avg Loss
$-8,822

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $96,476 (52.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$62,180
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group $17,490
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode$16,806
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance$14,275
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$14,007
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A$11,780
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Ameri$11,560
Valorant: DetonatioN FocusMe vs T1 (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Pl$11,486
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchare$10,693
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$9,232

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta$-50,618
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S$-34,966
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$-20,482
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play$-12,450
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playof$-11,923
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-11,796
Valorant: All Gamers vs XLG Gaming (BO5) - VCT China Kickoff Play$-10,279
Counter-Strike: Unsettled Resentment vs TYLOO (BO3) - GangKui Cup$-4,945
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs RED Canids (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-3,629
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs VP.Prodigy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A$-2,822

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.243
Sortino
0.201
HHI
344
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
27.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.2m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — typical for humanSize CV 4.19 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.5
Active DCA
<=1
31 entries
<=2
40 entries
<=5
53 entries
<=10
60 entries
<=20
73 entries
<=50
78 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)92.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$171,930
Atlanta$12,290

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
77

Single bracket

<=1
74 brackets
<=2
76 brackets
<=3
77 brackets
<=4
77 brackets
<=5
77 brackets
<=8
77 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 7:30:37 AM3 trades$994 min
10/25/2025, 8:02:57 AM1 trades$1810 min
10/25/2025, 8:21:21 AM1 trades$440 min
10/25/2025, 8:51:15 AM2 trades$972 min
10/25/2025, 9:35:37 AM1 trades$1370 min
10/29/2025, 7:46:49 AM1 trades$590 min
10/29/2025, 7:57:43 AM1 trades$810 min
10/29/2025, 8:41:47 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/29/2025, 9:22:51 AM1 trades$1000 min
10/31/2025, 7:44:00 AM1 trades$300 min
10/31/2025, 8:46:58 AM1 trades$420 min
11/2/2025, 8:37:29 AM2 trades$660 min
11/2/2025, 10:02:33 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/9/2025, 7:45:09 AM1 trades$500 min
11/9/2025, 8:12:01 AM2 trades$484 min
11/9/2025, 10:31:07 AM1 trades$640 min
1/19/2026, 5:35:56 PM2 trades$19,1924 min
1/19/2026, 9:27:10 PM1 trades$25,3830 min
1/19/2026, 9:33:10 PM5 trades$11,6126 min
1/19/2026, 10:15:14 PM1 trades$130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
01-22
01-29
02-12
03-03
03-28
04-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event