Polydata
Wobbly-Tooth

@Wobbly-Tooth

#4,96038

0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e

227d· 841 markets · 4520 tradesVol: $2,147,2712026-07-23T14:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 0.08x0/15
HHI 10810/10
Profit Days 60%8/10

Summary

Wobbly-Tooth is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #4960 globally by net profit and holding a net PnL of $33,535.49 over 457 days. With 4,520 trades across 379 markets and a total volume exceeding $2.1 million, Wobbly-Tooth has demonstrated consistent engagement but ranks below average with a Smart Score of 38/100. The trader’s portfolio value stands at $43,853.02, although recent equity trends indicate a decline.

This trader favors a diversified approach, participating in a wide variety of markets but notably avoids weather-related ones. With a win rate of 64.7% and a profit factor of 0.08, Wobbly-Tooth appears to take frequent, lower-risk trades but may encounter challenges in capitalizing on larger gains. The sell percentage is relatively low at 15%, suggesting a preference for holding positions longer or using dollar-cost averaging, as hinted by the DCA Master badge. The negative Sharpe ratio (-0.28) and below-average Smart Score reflect potential issues with timing or risk-adjusted returns.

Wobbly-Tooth’s strengths lie in persistence and a high trade count, which supports experience and adaptability in Polymarket’s dynamic environment. However, the declining equity trend and negative risk metrics could pose concerns for sustainability. Their low profit factor indicates that losses may outweigh gains on a per-trade basis, requiring careful monitoring of position sizing and market selection to improve overall performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+33,535
DCA Master
avg 10.1 entries/market
Win Streak
88 wins in a row
Whale
$898,604
Consistent
47/78 days
High Roller
$1,966/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,466$32,419Vol: $1,813,145
🎭 CULTURE#4,703$1,093Vol: $107,890
🌤️ WEATHER#292,651$-547Vol: $106,793
CRYPTO#57,591$254Vol: $43,874
📢 MENTIONS#3,843$211Vol: $25,326
💻 TECH#250,465$-270Vol: $19,930
💰 FINANCE#597,911$-26Vol: $13,967
📈 ECONOMICS#8,022$187Vol: $11,071
SPORTS#84,447$215Vol: $5,275

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33,535
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,147,271
Total Redeem
$253,980
Portfolio
$43,853
Predictions
841
total markets
Trades
3843B / 677S
Daily Volume
$1,966
Account Age
227d
since Dec 8, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$70
Vol: $753
Week
$-28
Vol: $3,106
Month
$1,877
Vol: $68,259
All Time
$33,535
Vol: $2,147,271

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
205W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$47,847
Win Rate
65%
222W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.08x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-3,928

Top Winners

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$2,170
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?$2,037
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$1,702
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?$1,673
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?$1,462
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?$1,357
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$1,251
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$1,147
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$1,118
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?$1,060

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?$-36,661
US government shutdown Saturday?$-18,443
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?$-18,362
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-17,617
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-16,846
Will the US strike Iran next?$-15,967
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-15,850
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$-14,872
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?$-14,823
Will the US strike Iran next?$-13,653

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.278
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.520
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 530s — typical for humanSize CV 3.09 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.96 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
64 entries
<=2
110 entries
<=5
200 entries
<=10
267 entries
<=20
329 entries
<=50
370 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)4%
High (>55c)94.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.3%

Greater Beirut$2
Seoul$0
Tel Aviv$-554
New York City$-11,268
Other$-425,775

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
240

Single bracket

<=1
167 brackets
<=2
207 brackets
<=3
226 brackets
<=4
234 brackets
<=5
235 brackets
<=8
238 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/8/2026, 5:46:19 AM1 trades$10 min
1/8/2026, 8:52:37 AM1 trades$1130 min
1/8/2026, 4:26:12 PM1 trades$4580 min
1/8/2026, 4:35:34 PM1 trades$1960 min
1/8/2026, 6:49:52 PM1 trades$20 min
1/8/2026, 10:03:04 PM1 trades$4200 min
1/8/2026, 10:22:38 PM1 trades$1230 min
1/8/2026, 11:35:56 PM6 trades$4052 min
1/8/2026, 11:54:16 PM1 trades$9690 min
1/9/2026, 2:39:28 PM1 trades$4250 min
1/10/2026, 4:40:04 PM1 trades$150 min
1/10/2026, 7:06:14 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/10/2026, 7:53:16 PM1 trades$80 min
1/10/2026, 8:11:54 PM1 trades$9770 min
1/10/2026, 8:54:20 PM1 trades$350 min
1/10/2026, 10:41:36 PM1 trades$4460 min
1/11/2026, 2:10:30 AM1 trades$1710 min
1/11/2026, 2:07:34 PM1 trades$2900 min
1/11/2026, 5:17:58 PM1 trades$160 min
1/11/2026, 6:45:28 PM1 trades$1130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-06
04-21
05-15
06-07
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event