Polydata
Wobbly-Tooth

@Wobbly-Tooth

#5,14840

0x0b652d3e55be0e1d50c2f7be39358585c415293e

181d· 721 markets · 4086 tradesVol: $1,940,1612026-06-07T20:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 0.13x0/15
HHI 10910/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 6557%0/10

Summary

Wobbly-Tooth is a moderately active Polymarket trader with a total of 4,086 trades spread across 385 markets over 457 days. Ranked #5148 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have achieved a net profit of $27,617.20 on a total volume of nearly $2 million. Despite a positive win rate of 68.4%, their overall Smart Score is below average at 40/100, and their portfolio value currently stands at $30,813.86. The trader’s Sharpe ratio is negative at -0.25, indicating returns have not compensated well for risk taken.

Wobbly-Tooth tends to engage in a diverse range of markets but shows a particular preference for strategies involving dollar-cost averaging, as suggested by the "DCA Master" badge. Their trading style appears to be opportunistic with a relatively low sell percentage of 14%, indicating a tendency to hold positions longer. The trader’s profit factor is low at 0.13, implying that losses may outweigh gains when adjusted for trade size. They are likely human-operated, given the bot score of 35/100, and their activity includes a focus on maintaining winning streaks and sniping high-probability trades.

The strengths of Wobbly-Tooth include a solid win rate and a substantial trading volume, which demonstrate experience and market engagement. However, the declining equity trend and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks such as inefficient risk management and potential exposure to drawdowns. Their low profit factor raises concerns about the overall profitability per trade. Continued monitoring is advisable to assess whether Wobbly-Tooth can improve consistency and adapt their strategy within Polymarket’s dynamic environment.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+27,617
DCA Master
avg 9.1 entries/market
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Whale
$956,424
Consistent
51/73 days
High Roller
$2,093/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,688$26,330Vol: $1,616,785
🎭 CULTURE#4,493$1,124Vol: $106,182
🌤️ WEATHER#273,509$-671Vol: $105,793
CRYPTO#54,248$254Vol: $43,874
📢 MENTIONS#4,374$163Vol: $24,926
💰 FINANCE#578,487$-34Vol: $13,856
💻 TECH#6,263$78Vol: $13,000
📈 ECONOMICS#7,646$187Vol: $11,071
SPORTS#82,984$186Vol: $4,675

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$27,617
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,940,161
Total Redeem
$393,422
Portfolio
$30,814
Predictions
721
total markets
Trades
3522B / 564S
Daily Volume
$2,093
Account Age
181d
since Dec 8, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$121
Vol: $3,542
Week
$926
Vol: $3,542
Month
$926
Vol: $86,507
All Time
$27,617
Vol: $1,940,161

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
191W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$42,286
Win Rate
68%
238W / 110L
Profit Factor
0.13x
Avg Win
$234
Avg Loss
$-3,881

Top Winners

Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$6,537
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$3,061
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$2,170
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?$2,009
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9,$1,851
Will "The Romantic" by Bruno Mars be the Billboard 200 #1 album f$1,835
Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31?$1,702
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?$1,673
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?$1,462
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 9, 2$1,429

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 17?$-29,969
US government shutdown Saturday?$-18,443
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 24, 2026?$-18,362
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-17,617
Will the US strike Iran next?$-15,967
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-15,850
Will the US strike Iran next?$-13,653
Will Russia capture Zaliznychne by February 28?$-11,268
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 11?$-10,213
Will Russia enter Kurylivka by February 28?$-9,889

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.251
Sortino
-0.154
HHI
109
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.414
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.0m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 536s — typical for humanSize CV 3.47 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness27 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.1
Active DCA
<=1
65 entries
<=2
109 entries
<=5
209 entries
<=10
282 entries
<=20
342 entries
<=50
378 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.4%
High (>55c)94.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.9%

Greater Beirut$1,851
Tel Aviv$750
Gaza$5
Seoul$-4,533
Atlanta$-6,776
New York City$-13,542
London$-29,969
Other$-319,095

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
235

Single bracket

<=1
167 brackets
<=2
204 brackets
<=3
219 brackets
<=4
226 brackets
<=5
228 brackets
<=8
231 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/7/2026, 12:11:41 PM1 trades$1520 min
1/8/2026, 5:46:19 AM1 trades$10 min
1/8/2026, 8:52:37 AM1 trades$1130 min
1/8/2026, 10:06:03 AM1 trades$1400 min
1/8/2026, 12:12:59 PM1 trades$3500 min
1/8/2026, 4:26:12 PM1 trades$4580 min
1/8/2026, 4:35:34 PM1 trades$1960 min
1/8/2026, 6:49:52 PM1 trades$20 min
1/8/2026, 10:03:04 PM1 trades$4200 min
1/8/2026, 10:22:38 PM1 trades$1230 min
1/8/2026, 11:35:56 PM6 trades$4052 min
1/8/2026, 11:54:16 PM1 trades$9690 min
1/9/2026, 2:39:28 PM1 trades$4250 min
1/10/2026, 8:39:10 AM1 trades$460 min
1/10/2026, 10:06:30 AM1 trades$980 min
1/10/2026, 4:40:04 PM1 trades$150 min
1/10/2026, 7:06:14 PM1 trades$4000 min
1/10/2026, 7:53:16 PM1 trades$80 min
1/10/2026, 8:11:54 PM1 trades$9770 min
1/10/2026, 8:54:20 PM1 trades$350 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-26
03-20
04-06
04-25
05-22
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event