Polydata

@Wonderful-Patio

#40288

0xfc0847fe2ea938d6e2624650eb29ef8d8142a137

131d· 775 markets · 7644 tradesVol: $9,387,7142026-07-06T12:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 29.68x15/15
Sharpe 0.1863/15
Sortino 8.85910/10
EV $+58.84610/10
HHI 11510/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Wonderful-Patio is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #402 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $468,551.89. Over 136 days, they executed 7,644 trades across 294 markets, generating a total volume of $9.39 million. Their Smart Score of 88/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong performance and consistency. Despite a flat equity trend and a Sharpe ratio of 0.19, Wonderful-Patio maintains a profit factor of 10.16, indicating high profitability relative to losses.

The trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in many markets but avoids weather-related predictions entirely. With a high win rate of 81.9% and a sell percentage of 66%, Wonderful-Patio demonstrates a preference for realizing gains rather than holding positions long-term. Their trading style incorporates automated strategies, evidenced by a Bot Score of 75/100 and badges like "Bot" and "DCA Master," suggesting disciplined averaging down tactics and timely entries typical of a sniper-like approach.

Wonderful-Patio’s key strengths lie in their ability to consistently capture profits with low drawdown duration and a stable portfolio value, despite the absence of ongoing equity growth. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio signals moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the flat equity trend may point to limited capital appreciation. Polymarket traders observing Wonderful-Patio should note their skill in automated, high-frequency trading but remain cautious of potential stagnation in portfolio growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+468,552
DCA Master
avg 8.9 entries/market
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Whale
$1,467,864
Consistent
107/115 days
High Roller
$10,793/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
SPORTS#224$468,315Vol: $9,373,904
🏛️ POLITICS#1,500,511$-102Vol: $7,959

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$468,552
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,387,714
Total Redeem
$270,743
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
775
total markets
Trades
2602B / 5042S
Daily Volume
$10,793
Account Age
131d
since Feb 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $81,304
Month
$-12,448
Vol: $379,335
All Time
$468,552
Vol: $9,387,714

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
221W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$521,976
Win Rate
82%
167W / 37L
Profit Factor
10.16x
Avg Win
$2,702
Avg Loss
$-1,200

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $258,433 (63.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$137,868
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$98,980
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$21,585
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$17,769
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$10,078
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays$6,583
Canadiens vs. Sabres$5,733
Ducks vs. Golden Knights$5,131
Canadiens vs. Sabres$4,983
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$4,581

Top Losers

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels$-9,717
Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,628
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,841
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,107
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-3,741
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?$-3,337
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,949
Stars vs. Wild$-1,633
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-1,027
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays$-966

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.186
Sortino
8.859
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$58.846
Kelly %
70.7%
Half-Kelly
35.4%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
87.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
9s
between trades
Avg Gap
15.6m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 3.40 — diverse, typical for human45% at night — bot never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.45 — human randomness88 trades/day — mass trading353 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.9
Active DCA
<=1
39 entries
<=2
72 entries
<=5
133 entries
<=10
204 entries
<=20
264 entries
<=50
293 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)44.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.8%

Other$344,430
Toronto$25,676
Houston$11,689
Chicago$11,178
Miami$8,104
Atlanta$7,272
San Francisco$1,030
Seattle$949
Los Angeles$-3,552

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
254

Single bracket

<=1
236 brackets
<=2
244 brackets
<=3
252 brackets
<=4
253 brackets
<=5
253 brackets
<=8
253 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 7:21:59 PM44 trades$22012 min
4/9/2026, 7:40:01 PM9 trades$922 min
4/12/2026, 9:48:59 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/12/2026, 10:41:45 PM1 trades$500 min
4/12/2026, 11:33:55 PM14 trades$6,8213 min
4/13/2026, 12:12:05 AM9 trades$4,7587 min
4/13/2026, 2:51:23 AM1 trades$1,2520 min
4/13/2026, 11:24:19 PM2 trades$551 min
4/13/2026, 11:37:13 PM7 trades$2,6701 min
4/14/2026, 12:30:17 AM3 trades$761 min
4/14/2026, 2:57:57 AM4 trades$1411 min
4/14/2026, 3:14:53 AM4 trades$8041 min
4/14/2026, 3:25:43 AM4 trades$9610 min
4/14/2026, 3:35:39 AM5 trades$3409 min
4/14/2026, 4:05:25 AM33 trades$6,43611 min
4/14/2026, 5:31:21 AM1 trades$1,9540 min
4/14/2026, 10:13:26 PM5 trades$262 min
4/15/2026, 2:11:28 AM11 trades$2393 min
4/15/2026, 3:48:02 AM6 trades$2764 min
4/15/2026, 4:04:08 AM8 trades$3,3323 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-28
04-19
05-09
06-04
06-23
07-06
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event