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Wooden-Breath

@Wooden-Breath

#2,925,63185

0x26f8af9d49328e5fdae2c24e62e5c523bebd3452

199d· 1147 markets · 8262 tradesVol: $15,787,1892026-06-27T11:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 2.35x15/15
Sharpe 0.3396/15
Sortino 0.3834/10
EV $+0.32810/10
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Wooden-Breath is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 8,262 trades executed across 407 markets over 182 days. Despite a high volume of $15.8 million, their net PnL stands at -$80,188.30, placing them at rank #2,925,631 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains stable around $3,522, reflecting consistent but unprofitable trading activity. The trader holds a strong Smart Score of 85/100, indicating good decision-making quality, alongside a semi-automated trading style with a Bot Score of 65/100.

Wooden-Breath’s strategy focuses on high-frequency trading with a strong emphasis on consistency and risk management. Their win rate of 80.2% and profit factor of 2.35 suggest a preference for low-risk, high-probability trades, often scaling positions gradually as noted by the “DCA Master” badge. The trader’s low sell percentage of 18% implies they hold many positions to maturity, and the absence of weather market participation points to a focus on more predictable or less volatile markets. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.34 and flat equity trend indicate limited reward relative to risk and little overall portfolio growth.

The key strength of Wooden-Breath lies in their disciplined approach and high win rate, supported by strong risk controls and a semi-automated execution style. However, their substantial net losses and low portfolio growth highlight potential concerns regarding trade sizing or exposure management. The flat equity trend and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest that despite consistent wins, profitability remains elusive, posing risks for long-term capital appreciation. Traders observing Wooden-Breath on Polymarket should note the balance between consistency and actual profitability in their performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
DCA Master
avg 16.7 entries/market
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
Whale
$2,697,409
Consistent
96/117 days
High Roller
$14,821/day
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,367$40,041Vol: $6,381,921
CRYPTO#1,602,884$-4,570Vol: $168,919
🏛️ POLITICS#14,678$1,350Vol: $23,799
🎭 CULTURE#711,172$-20Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-80,188
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,787,189
Total Redeem
$22,703
Portfolio
$3,523
Predictions
1147
total markets
Trades
6816B / 1446S
Daily Volume
$14,821
Account Age
199d
since Dec 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $32,251
Week
$29,877
Vol: $246,490
Month
$27,307
Vol: $560,656
All Time
$-80,188
Vol: $15,787,189

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
241W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$1,762,230
Win Rate
80%
211W / 52L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$6,480
Avg Loss
$-11,193

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $156,503 (19.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels$63,702
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner$50,657
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$42,143
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wong$34,428
Avalanche vs. Oilers$33,851
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers $25,984
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner$25,968
Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs Sentinels - Map 2 Winner$23,112
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner$22,107
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$21,390

Top Losers

Stars vs. Wild$-80,696
Hornets vs. Celtics$-36,462
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner$-34,397
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG - Map 2 Winner$-29,337
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lio$-27,706
Sharks vs. Jets$-27,552
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$-24,593
Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Shimane Susanoo Magic$-24,200
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-22,162
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner$-20,199

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.339
Sortino
0.383
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.328
Kelly %
55.0%
Half-Kelly
27.5%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.1
Very active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
28.6m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 4.67 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.26 — human randomness50 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
96 entries
<=2
123 entries
<=5
172 entries
<=10
230 entries
<=20
305 entries
<=50
373 entries
>50
34 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)40.5%
High (>55c)55.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.3%

Other$648,016
Los Angeles$85,018
Seattle$25,080
Chicago$10,917
San Francisco$7,957
Dallas$5,690
Milan$5,236
Miami$2,742
Houston$2,408
Seoul$2,002
Toronto$0
London$0
Atlanta$-9,815

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
385

Single bracket

<=1
365 brackets
<=2
383 brackets
<=3
385 brackets
<=4
385 brackets
<=5
385 brackets
<=8
385 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/13/2026, 3:30:51 PM37 trades$3,4564 min
1/13/2026, 3:42:07 PM3 trades$5,6090 min
1/13/2026, 7:37:48 PM3 trades$591 min
1/13/2026, 7:43:38 PM5 trades$6,0510 min
1/13/2026, 8:29:12 PM1 trades$9,2480 min
1/13/2026, 9:34:26 PM1 trades$2480 min
1/13/2026, 9:42:20 PM20 trades$3,70111 min
1/13/2026, 9:58:44 PM1 trades$4240 min
1/17/2026, 12:16:02 AM1 trades$1,7000 min
1/17/2026, 1:09:10 AM5 trades$1,0221 min
1/17/2026, 1:31:10 AM1 trades$1220 min
1/17/2026, 1:37:10 AM7 trades$2,7791 min
1/17/2026, 3:11:24 PM1 trades$5,6920 min
1/17/2026, 3:58:58 PM1 trades$9,2660 min
1/17/2026, 6:45:26 PM1 trades$3,4290 min
1/17/2026, 7:26:06 PM1 trades$6,1540 min
1/18/2026, 1:42:36 AM1 trades$6,1310 min
1/18/2026, 3:00:40 AM1 trades$10,7380 min
1/19/2026, 6:22:16 PM1 trades$10,5580 min
1/19/2026, 8:32:06 PM8 trades$18,2083 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
02-10
03-19
04-11
05-01
05-26
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event