Polydata

@Worldly-Nudge

#2,148,03222

0x669e4c507bccd96f25d0cf52a56666ce6c03dc84

78d· 119 markets · 2025 tradesVol: $2,3762026-06-13T20:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.57x0/15
HHI 20110/10
Profit Days 20%0/10

Summary

Worldly-Nudge is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 2,025 trades across 119 markets over 54 days. Despite this volume, the trader currently holds a net loss of $40.42 and ranks #2,148,032 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Their overall smart score is 22/100, indicating below-average performance, and their portfolio value stands at zero, reflecting an absence of open positions.

The trading style of Worldly-Nudge appears to be high-frequency with a strong preference for selling positions, as 94% of trades are sells. They maintain a nearly even win rate of 49.6%, but a low profit factor of 0.57 suggests losses outweigh gains. The trader does not engage in weather markets, focusing instead on other event types. The negative Sharpe ratio (-1.03) and a quick max drawdown recovery imply exposure to consistent downside risk without prolonged recovery periods.

Worldly-Nudge’s key strength is their experience, demonstrated by a high trade count and diverse market participation. However, their declining equity trend and negative profitability metrics highlight significant risks. The below-average smart and bot scores indicate potential inefficiencies or suboptimal decision-making, which could limit their effectiveness in the competitive Polymarket environment.

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,205,904$-21Vol: $2,319
SPORTS#1,340,369$-19Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,376
Total Redeem
$137
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
119B / 1906S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
78d
since Mar 27, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
64W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
50%
59W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$8
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$3
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-03-31?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-10
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderab$-4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.031
Sortino
-1.201
HHI
201
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
81.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.18 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.27 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
119 entries
<=2
119 entries
<=5
119 entries
<=10
119 entries
<=20
119 entries
<=50
119 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)47.9%
High (>55c)47.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.6%

Other$-47

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
119

Single bracket

<=1
119 brackets
<=2
119 brackets
<=3
119 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
119 brackets
<=8
119 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 6:56:59 AM10 trades$241 min
2/14/2026, 7:37:37 AM462 trades$20559 min
2/14/2026, 9:00:11 AM153 trades$6616 min
2/14/2026, 9:25:11 AM45 trades$454 min
2/14/2026, 9:40:29 AM3 trades$302 min
2/14/2026, 9:54:11 AM36 trades$417 min
2/14/2026, 10:25:11 AM7 trades$123 min
2/14/2026, 10:56:07 AM529 trades$49106 min
2/14/2026, 1:03:19 PM62 trades$711 min
2/14/2026, 1:28:19 PM30 trades$517 min
2/14/2026, 2:07:53 PM19 trades$36 min
2/14/2026, 2:28:05 PM20 trades$32 min
2/14/2026, 2:52:47 PM46 trades$45 min
2/14/2026, 3:03:39 PM13 trades$36 min
2/14/2026, 10:15:09 PM75 trades$1224 min
2/14/2026, 10:45:09 PM365 trades$3272 min
2/15/2026, 5:49:01 AM23 trades$38 min
2/15/2026, 8:24:17 PM14 trades$53 min
2/15/2026, 8:35:37 PM29 trades$36 min
2/17/2026, 8:58:35 PM10 trades$11 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-15
02-17
03-31
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
94.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event