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@Worldly-Nudge

#2,273,45322

0x669e4c507bccd96f25d0cf52a56666ce6c03dc84

123d· 119 markets · 2025 tradesVol: $2,3692026-07-20T16:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.59x0/15
HHI 20110/10
Profit Days 20%0/10

Summary

Worldly-Nudge is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 2,025 trades across 119 markets over 54 days. Despite a relatively high volume of $2,369 traded, their overall net profit and loss stands at negative $40.42, placing them at rank 2,273,453 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their smart score is 22 out of 100, indicating below-average performance compared to other traders.

This trader appears to favor short-term, high-frequency trading with a strong sell bias, as evidenced by a 94% sell percentage. Their win rate is just under 50%, and their profit factor of 0.59 suggests losses outweigh gains. Worldly-Nudge does not engage in weather markets, and their portfolio value is currently zero, reflecting an equity trend that is declining. The negative Sharpe ratio of -1.03 points to a risk profile that is not well managed, with returns failing to compensate for volatility.

Worldly-Nudge’s strengths lie in consistent market participation and a high trade count, which could provide valuable data for refining strategy. However, the persistent losses, poor profit factor, and downward equity trend highlight significant risks. Without adjustments to timing, market selection, or risk controls, their current approach may continue to produce unfavorable results on Polymarket.

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,261,164$-21Vol: $2,312
SPORTS#1,446,628$-19Vol: $57

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,369
Total Redeem
$137
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
119B / 1906S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
123d
since Mar 27, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
64W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$-38
Win Rate
50%
59W / 60L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$9
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$5
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$3
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$3
XRP Up or Down - February 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2

Top Losers

Will England win on 2026-03-31?$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-10
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$-10
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - February 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$-5
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderab$-4
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$-3
Solana Up or Down - February 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.031
Sortino
-1.201
HHI
201
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
14.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
42.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
81.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.19 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.27 — human randomness43 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
119 entries
<=2
119 entries
<=5
119 entries
<=10
119 entries
<=20
119 entries
<=50
119 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)47.9%
High (>55c)47.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.6%

Other$-43

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
119

Single bracket

<=1
119 brackets
<=2
119 brackets
<=3
119 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
119 brackets
<=8
119 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 6:56:59 AM10 trades$231 min
2/14/2026, 7:37:37 AM462 trades$20459 min
2/14/2026, 9:00:11 AM153 trades$6516 min
2/14/2026, 9:25:11 AM45 trades$454 min
2/14/2026, 9:40:29 AM3 trades$302 min
2/14/2026, 9:54:11 AM36 trades$417 min
2/14/2026, 10:25:11 AM7 trades$123 min
2/14/2026, 10:56:07 AM529 trades$48106 min
2/14/2026, 1:03:19 PM62 trades$711 min
2/14/2026, 1:28:19 PM30 trades$417 min
2/14/2026, 2:07:53 PM19 trades$36 min
2/14/2026, 2:28:05 PM20 trades$32 min
2/14/2026, 2:52:47 PM46 trades$45 min
2/14/2026, 3:03:39 PM13 trades$36 min
2/14/2026, 10:15:09 PM75 trades$1224 min
2/14/2026, 10:45:09 PM365 trades$3172 min
2/15/2026, 5:49:01 AM23 trades$38 min
2/15/2026, 8:24:17 PM14 trades$53 min
2/15/2026, 8:35:37 PM29 trades$36 min
2/17/2026, 8:58:35 PM10 trades$11 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
02-15
02-17
03-31
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
94.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event