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@Wretched-Hermit

#2,783,58568

0xa261c5428b4012af27614301c62215a62d242505

152d· 23512 markets · 1854 tradesVol: $128,9012026-06-24T23:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 2.06x15/15
Sharpe 0.1823/15
Sortino 1.36410/10
EV $+0.34910/10
HHI 710/10
Profit Days 27%0/10
DD/Peak 87%0/10

Summary

Wretched-Hermit is an active Polymarket trader with 1,854 trades across 1,584 markets over 53 days. Despite a net loss of $1,063.99, they maintain a strong win rate of 75% and a profit factor of 2.06, indicating profitable trades outweigh losses. Currently ranked #2,783,585 on the global PnL leaderboard, Wretched-Hermit holds a Smart Score of 68, reflecting good decision-making, though their portfolio value stands at zero.

This trader favors a high-volume, diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets without a specific focus on weather events. Wretched-Hermit exhibits a low-risk profile with an upward equity trend and no recorded drawdown duration, suggesting disciplined position management. Their 0% sell percentage and badges like Diamond Hands imply a tendency to hold positions rather than frequent exiting, while the semi-automated trading style (Bot Score 45) indicates a blend of manual and algorithmic strategies.

Wretched-Hermit's strengths lie in consistency and disciplined trade execution, supported by a solid profit factor and win streak badges. However, the negative net PnL and modest Sharpe ratio of 0.18 highlight challenges in converting winning trades into overall profitability. Their semi-bot trading style may offer efficiency but also risks reduced adaptability in rapidly changing markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
636 wins in a row

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#1,552,517$-1,064Vol: $128,901

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,064
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,901
Total Redeem
$4,236
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23512
total markets
Trades
1854B / 0S
Daily Volume
$100
Account Age
152d
since Feb 15, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
250W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,300
Win Rate
75%
636W / 212L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16 (1.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$5

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - April 1, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.182
Sortino
1.364
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.349
Kelly %
50.3%
Half-Kelly
25.1%
Top-1 market
0.1%
Top-5 markets
0.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
34.8
Active
Markets / Day
29.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 106s — typical for humanSize CV 0.50 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high30 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
1359 entries
<=2
1546 entries
<=5
1584 entries
<=10
1584 entries
<=20
1584 entries
<=50
1584 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)100%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 28%

Other$1,048

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1584

Single bracket

<=1
1584 brackets
<=2
1584 brackets
<=3
1584 brackets
<=4
1584 brackets
<=5
1584 brackets
<=8
1584 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/13/2026, 6:47:25 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 7:00:07 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 7:05:17 AM11 trades$2310 min
3/13/2026, 7:25:15 AM2 trades$95 min
3/13/2026, 7:55:07 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 8:35:05 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 8:55:07 AM1 trades$50 min
3/13/2026, 9:10:09 AM1 trades$50 min
3/28/2026, 3:11:07 AM7 trades$137 min
4/1/2026, 9:12:25 AM1 trades$40 min
4/1/2026, 10:42:03 AM2 trades$53 min
4/22/2026, 3:26:58 AM2 trades$105 min
4/22/2026, 5:17:00 AM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 8:52:06 AM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 9:32:00 AM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 1:32:02 PM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 1:47:06 PM2 trades$95 min
4/22/2026, 2:07:04 PM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 3:12:00 PM1 trades$50 min
4/22/2026, 3:27:02 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
04-01
04-23
04-25
04-27
04-29
05-01
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event