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Yellow-Consul

@Yellow-Consul

#2,729,60685

0x062c1ff86b0d8592bae17b6930fc6b248e8b48e7

143d· 377 markets · 634 tradesVol: $32,918 @coincies2026-06-18T12:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 4.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.4969/15
Sortino 2.81110/10
EV $+5.72910/10
HHI 7510/10
Profit Days 66%9/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Yellow-Consul is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 634 trades across 373 markets over 267 days. Despite a high Smart Score of 85/100 indicating skilled trading, Yellow-Consul currently holds a net loss of $850.71 and ranks #2,729,606 globally by PnL. Their portfolio value remains low at $76.68, reflecting limited capital growth. The trader’s overall volume of nearly $33,000 suggests consistent engagement, with a win rate of 56.5% and a profit factor of 5.35 demonstrating effective trade selection.

Yellow-Consul appears to favor a contrarian trading style, as indicated by their badges, with a cool-headed approach and consistent execution. They avoid weather markets entirely and tend to hold positions with a 21% sell rate rather than frequent flipping. The Sharpe ratio of 0.50 and zero-day max drawdown duration suggest moderate risk tolerance and stable equity trends. Their strategy likely involves patience and careful timing rather than quick scalping or high-frequency trades.

Strengths for Yellow-Consul include a disciplined approach and a strong profit factor, which points to winning trades being significantly more profitable than losing ones. However, the persistent net loss and low portfolio value highlight risk management or capital allocation challenges. The human/manual trading style may limit scalability but supports steadiness. Overall, Yellow-Consul’s Polymarket activity shows promise but also underscores the difficulty of turning consistent activity into positive net gains.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Lottery Player
30% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Consistent
44/67 days
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,524,354$-741Vol: $23,959
SPORTS#1,268,064$-10Vol: $3,966
💰 FINANCE#569,083$-17Vol: $1,976
🏛️ POLITICS#1,413,658$-42Vol: $1,185
📈 ECONOMICS#553,086$-5Vol: $1,000
🌤️ WEATHER#250,790$-24Vol: $812
📢 MENTIONS#126,456$-12Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-851
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$32,918
Total Redeem
$899
Portfolio
$77
Predictions
377
total markets
Trades
499B / 135S
Daily Volume
$13
Account Age
143d
since Feb 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $282
Month
$-4
Vol: $282
All Time
$-851
Vol: $32,918

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
55%
135W / 109L events
Realized PnL
$1,020
Win Rate
56%
131W / 99L
Profit Factor
5.35x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $293 (30.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$121
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$98
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$74
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$73
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$69
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$40
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to Score$38
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-07?$32
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$27

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-9
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$-3
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.496
Sortino
2.811
HHI
75
Diversified
EV per $1
$5.729
Kelly %
37.8%
Half-Kelly
18.9%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 338s — typical for humanSize CV 1.34 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
306 entries
<=2
351 entries
<=5
365 entries
<=10
369 entries
<=20
371 entries
<=50
371 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.5%
Mid (20-55c)55.7%
High (>55c)13.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.2%

Other$932
Paris$35
Madrid$0
Seoul$0
Seattle$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
372

Single bracket

<=1
371 brackets
<=2
372 brackets
<=3
372 brackets
<=4
372 brackets
<=5
372 brackets
<=8
372 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/9/2026, 3:52:03 PM1 trades$250 min
2/10/2026, 4:42:43 PM1 trades$200 min
2/10/2026, 6:26:15 PM1 trades$200 min
2/13/2026, 1:16:13 PM2 trades$201 min
2/13/2026, 1:23:11 PM2 trades$294 min
2/14/2026, 8:55:45 PM4 trades$547 min
2/14/2026, 9:12:51 PM1 trades$250 min
2/15/2026, 2:37:55 PM1 trades$60 min
2/15/2026, 2:45:03 PM1 trades$130 min
2/16/2026, 9:43:39 AM1 trades$50 min
2/16/2026, 10:14:29 AM1 trades$50 min
2/16/2026, 11:13:07 AM1 trades$30 min
2/16/2026, 11:18:43 AM2 trades$63 min
2/16/2026, 12:17:51 PM5 trades$269 min
2/26/2026, 1:27:14 PM6 trades$2012 min
2/26/2026, 1:44:32 PM1 trades$10 min
2/27/2026, 5:01:15 PM1 trades$20 min
2/27/2026, 7:06:03 PM8 trades$2313 min
2/27/2026, 8:46:27 PM1 trades$30 min
3/1/2026, 1:17:09 PM2 trades$35 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-09
03-09
03-21
04-03
04-28
05-14
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event