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@Zesty-Inevitable

#6,33873

0xe9ce3189cc3fa8b767c2b9ebf2a564887cd19811

344d· 204 markets · 1645 tradesVol: $772,3072026-05-14T15:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 77%20/20
Profit Factor 1.62x10/15
Sharpe 0.3016/15
Sortino 0.1281/10
EV $+4.19810/10
HHI 11810/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 43%5/10

Summary

Zesty-Inevitable is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #6338 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $20,192.12. Over 349 days, they have executed 1,645 trades across 204 markets, generating a total trading volume of $772,307. Their smart score of 73/100 indicates strong overall performance, supported by an 85.9% win rate and a profit factor of 1.53. Despite a solid equity growth trend, their Sharpe ratio of 0.30 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Zesty-Inevitable favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets without exposure to weather-related events. Their 40% sell rate and badges like "Sniper" and "DCA Master" imply a balanced mix of precise entries and dollar-cost averaging strategies. The trader appears to maintain a relatively low drawdown duration, indicating swift recovery from losses, and their activity suggests a preference for steady, consistent gains rather than high-risk, high-reward plays.

Zesty-Inevitable’s strengths lie in their high win rate and ability to sustain profitability over a large number of trades, reflecting disciplined risk management and market selection. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio highlights some volatility in returns, and their portfolio currently holds no open positions, which may indicate a cautious stance or a temporary pause in trading. Overall, Zesty-Inevitable demonstrates a reliable performance on Polymarket but should be mindful of balancing risk and return in future trades.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+20,192
DCA Master
avg 5.1 entries/market
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
Whale
$430,134
Consistent
45/49 days
High Roller
$1,232/day

Categories

1
🎭 CULTURE#264$27,539Vol: $699,358

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,192
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$772,307
Total Redeem
$232,271
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
204
total markets
Trades
989B / 656S
Daily Volume
$1,232
Account Age
344d
since Jun 11, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$4
Vol: $2,838
Month
$1,477
Vol: $15,278
All Time
$20,192
Vol: $772,307

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
93W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$25,007
Win Rate
86%
165W / 27L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$221
Avg Loss
$-882

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,711 (37.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m$1,877
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150$1,420
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?$1,414
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m$1,391
Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m?$1,091
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less th$1,084
Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less th$1,047
Will "Nobody 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $11m?$900
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $65m?$696
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be bet$664

Top Losers

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1$-8,209
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m$-3,464
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23m a$-3,265
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be bet$-2,047
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be mor$-1,559
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 4$-978
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?$-795
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between $-771
Will "David" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 28m?$-517
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater $-467

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.301
Sortino
0.128
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.198
Kelly %
45.3%
Half-Kelly
22.6%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
13.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 434s — typical for humanSize CV 2.39 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.09 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.1
Active DCA
<=1
59 entries
<=2
85 entries
<=5
134 entries
<=10
172 entries
<=20
188 entries
<=50
192 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)87.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 26.9%

Other$12,632

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
104

Moderate coverage

<=1
43 brackets
<=2
78 brackets
<=3
96 brackets
<=4
103 brackets
<=5
103 brackets
<=8
103 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/12/2025, 8:50:59 PM2 trades$1,6421 min
6/13/2025, 4:48:46 AM1 trades$6530 min
6/13/2025, 4:58:00 AM1 trades$1470 min
6/13/2025, 1:38:24 PM1 trades$3760 min
6/13/2025, 3:05:10 PM2 trades$1,2141 min
6/13/2025, 10:20:23 PM1 trades$2850 min
6/14/2025, 1:47:21 AM4 trades$4606 min
6/14/2025, 2:50:47 AM1 trades$4910 min
6/14/2025, 3:23:45 AM1 trades$30 min
6/14/2025, 11:00:05 AM1 trades$6200 min
6/14/2025, 4:09:24 PM1 trades$2800 min
6/14/2025, 9:40:22 PM1 trades$1020 min
6/14/2025, 9:52:16 PM1 trades$390 min
6/14/2025, 10:00:50 PM1 trades$750 min
6/14/2025, 10:26:16 PM2 trades$6440 min
6/15/2025, 9:52:01 AM1 trades$1,2960 min
6/15/2025, 1:43:41 PM6 trades$6573 min
6/16/2025, 5:57:55 AM1 trades$1,4990 min
6/19/2025, 2:54:39 AM1 trades$1,9970 min
6/20/2025, 7:40:31 AM1 trades$2530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
08-16
10-06
12-22
01-26
03-16
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event