Polydata

@a4b1eac9

#4563

0xa4b1eac99a65ed70e3d560126febe1086e6c5143

~8d· 12 markets · 3424 tradesVol: $14,458,0122026-06-24T16:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 2.35x15/15
Sharpe 0.2595/15
Sortino 2.63210/10
EV $+1.36110/10
HHI 15335/10
Profit Days 20%0/10
DD/Peak 30%8/10

Summary

Trader a4b1eac9 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, with 3,424 trades executed across 12 markets over just 8 days. Holding the #45 position on the global PnL leaderboard, they have amassed a notable net profit of approximately $2.69 million from a total trading volume exceeding $14.4 million. Their Smart Score of 63/100 reflects solid trading acumen, supported by an 83.3% win rate and an impressive profit factor of 9.30, indicating strong profitability relative to losses.

This trader displays a distinctive strategy characterized by contrarian and dollar-cost averaging (DCA) techniques, as suggested by their badges and a bot score of 45/100, indicating a hybrid of automated and manual trading. They avoid weather markets entirely and do not engage in selling positions, suggesting a commitment to diamond hands—holding through volatility. Their risk profile appears moderate, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.26 and zero days of drawdown duration, pointing to effective risk management and timely entry and exit points within short trading windows.

The strengths of a4b1eac9 lie in their consistent upward equity trend, high win rate, and ability to sustain profitability through a disciplined, long-hold approach paired with strategic averaging. However, their zero sell percentage and semi-bot reliance could expose them to risks if market conditions shift abruptly. Overall, their performance on Polymarket demonstrates both skill and resilience but may warrant monitoring for potential overexposure in certain market scenarios.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+2,690,757
Contrarian
67% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 285.2 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$6,496,736
High Roller
$812,092/day
Cool Head
DD 30%

Categories

1
SPORTS#27$2,690,757Vol: $14,458,012

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,690,757
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,458,012
Total Redeem
$8,597,877
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
3423B / 1S
Daily Volume
$812,092
Account Age
~8d

Periods

#2
Week
$3,640,420
Vol: $13,558,013
Month
$2,690,757
Vol: $14,458,012
All Time
$2,690,757
Vol: $14,458,012

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
55%
6W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$4,667,333
Win Rate
83%
5W / 1L
Profit Factor
9.3x
Avg Win
$852,756
Avg Loss
$-458,568

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,695,876 (97.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: France (-2.5)$1,461,450
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$1,316,569
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)$917,858
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$426,727
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$141,176

Top Losers

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$-458,568

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.259
Sortino
2.631
HHI
1533
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.361
Kelly %
66.4%
Half-Kelly
33.2%
Top-1 market
30.6%
Top-5 markets
72.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
436.7
Very active
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
10.22
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
201.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
43% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 10.22 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern13/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.76 — human randomness437 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
285.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
3 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
5 entries
>50
7 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)73.6%
High (>55c)26.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 98.9%

Other$3,805,212

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
11

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
11 brackets
<=3
11 brackets
<=4
11 brackets
<=5
11 brackets
<=8
11 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 3:36:52 AM318 trades$257,14520 min
6/15/2026, 4:37:40 AM1 trades$110,0000 min
6/16/2026, 12:23:13 AM1 trades$108,0000 min
6/21/2026, 1:22:16 PM2 trades$140,6490 min
6/21/2026, 2:00:41 PM229 trades$317,91962 min
6/21/2026, 6:57:17 PM654 trades$881,64828 min
6/21/2026, 8:40:05 PM1 trades$9790 min
6/21/2026, 10:38:53 PM44 trades$23,3635 min
6/21/2026, 11:30:13 PM14 trades$479,9992 min
6/22/2026, 12:13:02 AM32 trades$469,9967 min
6/22/2026, 12:26:26 AM3 trades$249,9996 min
6/22/2026, 2:24:25 PM4 trades$449,9991 min
6/22/2026, 2:36:56 PM2 trades$100,0000 min
6/22/2026, 5:12:50 PM564 trades$596,0824 min
6/22/2026, 7:25:28 PM577 trades$1,087,18115 min
6/22/2026, 8:33:59 PM152 trades$930,79159 min
6/22/2026, 9:38:55 PM826 trades$293,965127 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-15
06-16
06-21
06-22
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 285.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event