Polydata

@ab30e5d4

#2,633,46121

0xab30e5d4d5479cababa337adb40f38dc9f0616e7

~7d· 209 markets · 307 tradesVol: $5,4702026-07-16T19:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 41%5/20
Profit Factor 0.83x0/15
HHI 18610/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 753%0/10

Summary

Trader ab30e5d4 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, having executed 307 trades across 209 markets in just 8 days. Despite this activity, their overall performance ranks them at #2,633,461 globally, with a net loss of $163 and a portfolio value of $50.03. Their Smart Score of 21/100 and a profit factor of 0.79 indicate below-average profitability, while their Sharpe Ratio of -0.58 points to a risk-adjusted return that is negative.

Ab30e5d4 appears to favor a broad range of markets rather than specializing, given the high number of markets traded compared to trades. Their win rate of 40.8% suggests a somewhat conservative or risk-averse approach, though the low sell percentage (4%) and badges like Diamond Hands imply a tendency to hold positions longer. The short active period and absence of weather market exposure show limited diversification in terms of market types. Timing-wise, the lack of drawdown duration suggests they may cut losses quickly or exit trades promptly.

The key strengths for ab30e5d4 include consistent engagement and a demonstrated willingness to hold positions, as indicated by the Diamond Hands badge and a short max drawdown duration. However, the negative PnL, below-average Smart Score, and low profit factor highlight potential weaknesses in their strategy's effectiveness. Their limited trading history and portfolio size also pose risks regarding the sustainability of their current approach on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Diamond Hands
4% sell
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,499,533$-170Vol: $5,363
💰 FINANCE#494,890$-2Vol: $74
SPORTS#290,209$9Vol: $33

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-163
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,470
Total Redeem
$1,964
Portfolio
$50
Predictions
209
total markets
Trades
296B / 11S
Daily Volume
$295
Account Age
~7d

Periods

#2
Today
$-26
Vol: $224
Week
$-26
Vol: $224
Month
$-163
Vol: $5,470
All Time
$-163
Vol: $5,470

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
41%
85W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$-150
Win Rate
41%
84W / 122L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-6

Top Winners

Solana Up or Down - July 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$41
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$33
XRP Up or Down - July 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$19
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$18
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$17
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$16

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-58
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$-56
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$-55
XRP Up or Down - July 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$-45
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-29
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$-28
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-25
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.583
Sortino
-1.680
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$-2.862
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
18.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.7
Active
Markets / Day
27.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.7m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 1.74 — diverse, typical for human17% at night — different timezone?16/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.03 — human randomness40 trades/day — suspiciously high27 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
158 entries
<=2
188 entries
<=5
207 entries
<=10
209 entries
<=20
209 entries
<=50
209 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)40.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.9%

Atlanta$3
Los Angeles$-2
Other$-151

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
207

Single bracket

<=1
206 brackets
<=2
206 brackets
<=3
207 brackets
<=4
207 brackets
<=5
207 brackets
<=8
207 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 1:41:41 AM3 trades$30 min
7/9/2026, 3:35:56 AM5 trades$58 min
7/9/2026, 4:44:07 AM5 trades$53 min
7/9/2026, 7:13:29 AM11 trades$2120 min
7/9/2026, 7:38:59 AM45 trades$5141 min
7/9/2026, 7:59:58 PM8 trades$147 min
7/9/2026, 8:12:01 PM4 trades$274 min
7/9/2026, 8:29:07 PM20 trades$9330 min
7/9/2026, 9:05:16 PM4 trades$292 min
7/9/2026, 9:13:28 PM19 trades$20927 min
7/9/2026, 9:47:13 PM5 trades$827 min
7/9/2026, 10:00:20 PM20 trades$25517 min
7/9/2026, 10:26:28 PM4 trades$634 min
7/9/2026, 10:39:59 PM12 trades$24716 min
7/9/2026, 11:06:08 PM12 trades$25514 min
7/9/2026, 11:25:28 PM3 trades$353 min
7/10/2026, 12:44:14 AM3 trades$1045 min
7/10/2026, 12:56:13 AM13 trades$24918 min
7/10/2026, 1:20:38 AM1 trades$10 min
7/10/2026, 1:25:44 AM10 trades$1715 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-09
07-10
07-11
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event