Polydata

@aekghas

#3,022,16023

0xb2a3623364c33561d8312e1edb79eb941c798510

126d· 23 markets · 750 tradesVol: $16,140,2432026-07-15T02:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 54%12/20
Profit Factor 0.57x0/15
HHI 22171/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 179%0/10

Summary

Trader aekghas is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, having conducted 750 trades across 23 markets over 138 days. Despite a substantial total trading volume exceeding $16 million, aekghas currently ranks low at #3,022,160 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net loss of over $1 million. Their portfolio value stands at zero, reflecting the significant unrealized or realized losses incurred during their activity.

aekghas shows a preference for steady, manual trading, as indicated by a low Bot Score and a below-average Smart Score of 23/100. The trader demonstrates a 100% win rate but with a profit factor of zero and a negative Sharpe ratio, suggesting that wins may be small or offset by larger losses. Their strategy appears focused on long-held positions with minimal selling (only 12%), and no exposure to weather markets. The trader’s equity trend is clearly downward, and they hold badges for dollar-cost averaging and hedging, hinting at a risk-managed but ultimately unprofitable approach.

The key strength of aekghas lies in their high trade consistency and disciplined approach, as shown by their badges and consistent win streaks. However, the large net losses and declining equity trend highlight significant risks in their trading style. The lack of profitable outcomes despite high volume and trade count suggests potential issues with position sizing or market selection, which could be areas of concern for traders analyzing aekghas on Polymarket.

Badges

6
DCA Master
avg 28.7 entries/market
Hedger
avg 4.6 brackets/event
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$9,174,223
Consistent
9/12 days
High Roller
$66,480/day

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,465$-1,003,437Vol: $11,772,550
SPORTS#1,849,319$-79,995Vol: $4,367,693

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,083,433
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,140,243
Total Redeem
$7,526,644
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
661B / 89S
Daily Volume
$66,480
Account Age
126d
since Mar 10, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-50,033
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,083,433
Vol: $16,140,243

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
3W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$1,444,072
Win Rate
100%
12W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$120,345
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,253,192 (86.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$929,408
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$177,474
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$146,310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$99,596
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$24,652
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$16,176
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March $14,782
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$11,911
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$11,640
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$8,176

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.120
Sortino
-0.069
HHI
2217
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.429
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.7%
Top-5 markets
87.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.2m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — typical for humanSize CV 3.57 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.92 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
7 entries
<=5
10 entries
<=10
13 entries
<=20
15 entries
<=50
17 entries
>50
6 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)96.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 1.6%

Other$1,444,145

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
4.6
Events covered
5

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
0 brackets
<=2
3 brackets
<=3
3 brackets
<=4
3 brackets
<=5
3 brackets
<=8
4 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/10/2026, 12:07:05 PM17 trades$67,63930 min
3/10/2026, 12:55:09 PM1 trades$2660 min
3/10/2026, 1:05:37 PM1 trades$1660 min
3/10/2026, 1:11:21 PM11 trades$35,35311 min
3/10/2026, 1:27:45 PM3 trades$9344 min
3/10/2026, 1:38:23 PM70 trades$13,61751 min
3/10/2026, 2:34:39 PM41 trades$11,29227 min
3/10/2026, 3:10:25 PM1 trades$2,4860 min
3/10/2026, 3:20:29 PM1 trades$1100 min
3/10/2026, 4:03:43 PM13 trades$1,02615 min
3/10/2026, 4:24:37 PM2 trades$2,4460 min
3/10/2026, 4:32:17 PM45 trades$2476 min
3/10/2026, 4:44:51 PM1 trades$270 min
3/10/2026, 5:00:07 PM1 trades$1990 min
3/10/2026, 5:09:21 PM9 trades$12,43212 min
3/10/2026, 5:26:21 PM5 trades$3191 min
3/10/2026, 7:17:33 PM1 trades$3940 min
3/10/2026, 7:24:01 PM1 trades$200 min
3/10/2026, 7:44:21 PM14 trades$7,59717 min
3/10/2026, 8:11:45 PM2 trades$2013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-31
04-30
05-26
06-07
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.7/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 4.6 br/event