Polydata

@aekghas

#14484

0xb2a3623364c33561d8312e1edb79eb941c798510

81d· 15 markets · 704 tradesVol: $7,762,8372026-05-29T13:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.53310/15
Sortino 83939067.57310/10
EV $+0.1719/10
HHI 32070/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

The Polymarket trader aekghas ranks #144 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $927,664.26 from a total trading volume of $7,762,837 across 704 trades and 15 markets in 138 active days. Their portfolio value stands at nearly $4 million, reflecting consistent growth. With a perfect win rate of 100% and a Smart Score of 84/100, aekghas demonstrates strong performance and reliability. The trader operates manually, as indicated by a low Bot Score of 15/100.

aekghas prefers a selective approach, focusing on a limited set of markets with a low sell percentage of 13%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than frequent flipping. The trader's Sharpe Ratio of 0.53 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the max drawdown duration of zero days highlights effective risk management. Their badges, such as Sniper and DCA Master, suggest precise entries and dollar-cost averaging strategies, likely contributing to their steady upward equity trend.

Key strengths of aekghas include disciplined trade execution, a flawless win rate, and an upward portfolio trajectory, which imply strong market insight and timing on Polymarket. Potential concerns could stem from the relatively low Sharpe Ratio, indicating some volatility in returns, and the limited diversification across only 15 markets. Nonetheless, aekghas’s consistent profitability and risk controls position them as a skilled trader in the Polymarket ecosystem.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+927,664
DCA Master
avg 41.0 entries/market
Hedger
avg 3.8 brackets/event
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$5,569,590
Consistent
11/11 days
High Roller
$40,359/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#34$927,664Vol: $7,762,837

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$927,664
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,762,837
Total Redeem
$1,961,903
Portfolio
$3,966,898
Predictions
15
total markets
Trades
615B / 89S
Daily Volume
$40,359
Account Age
81d
since Mar 10, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$96,742
Vol: $0
Week
$648,667
Vol: $2,222,667
Month
$761,383
Vol: $5,830,922
All Time
$927,664
Vol: $7,762,837

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
4W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$368,441
Win Rate
100%
10W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$36,843
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $301,723 (81.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$177,474
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$99,596
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?$24,652
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$16,176
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March $14,782
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$11,911
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$11,640
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$8,176
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$2,337
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March $1,684

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.533
Sortino
inf
HHI
3207
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.171
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
53.5%
Top-5 markets
88.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.8m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 96s — typical for humanSize CV 4.21 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.92 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
41
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
4 entries
<=10
6 entries
<=20
8 entries
<=50
10 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)98.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 1.1%

Other$368,427

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.8
Events covered
4

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
0 brackets
<=2
3 brackets
<=3
3 brackets
<=4
3 brackets
<=5
3 brackets
<=8
3 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/10/2026, 12:07:05 PM17 trades$67,63930 min
3/10/2026, 12:55:09 PM1 trades$2660 min
3/10/2026, 1:05:37 PM1 trades$1660 min
3/10/2026, 1:11:21 PM11 trades$35,35311 min
3/10/2026, 1:27:45 PM3 trades$9344 min
3/10/2026, 1:38:23 PM70 trades$13,61751 min
3/10/2026, 2:34:39 PM41 trades$11,29227 min
3/10/2026, 3:10:25 PM1 trades$2,4860 min
3/10/2026, 3:20:29 PM1 trades$1100 min
3/10/2026, 4:03:43 PM13 trades$1,02615 min
3/10/2026, 4:24:37 PM2 trades$2,4460 min
3/10/2026, 4:32:17 PM45 trades$2476 min
3/10/2026, 4:44:51 PM1 trades$270 min
3/10/2026, 5:00:07 PM1 trades$1990 min
3/10/2026, 5:09:21 PM9 trades$12,43212 min
3/10/2026, 5:26:21 PM5 trades$3191 min
3/10/2026, 7:17:33 PM1 trades$3940 min
3/10/2026, 7:24:01 PM1 trades$200 min
3/10/2026, 7:44:21 PM14 trades$7,59717 min
3/10/2026, 8:11:45 PM2 trades$2013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-15
03-31
04-22
04-30
05-22
05-26
05-31
06-07
06-15
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 41/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.8 br/event