Polydata

@alexmulti

#1758

0xd0c042c08f755ff940249f62745e82d356345565

566d· 6 markets · 1414 tradesVol: $9,949,0692026-05-20T15:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%18/20
Profit Factor 1341.57x15/15
EV $+3.20110/10
HHI 32470/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Alexmulti is a highly successful and active Polymarket trader ranked #17 on the global PnL leaderboard. With a net profit and loss of over $4.8 million from approximately $10 million in total volume, alexmulti has executed 1,414 trades across 6 different markets. Despite only being active for 3 days, the trader has demonstrated strong performance with a win rate of 66.7% and a profit factor exceeding 1300.

The trading style of alexmulti appears focused and precise, as suggested by badges like "Sniper" and "DCA Master." The trader exhibits a moderate risk profile, maintaining zero sell percentage and no exposure in weather markets. The combination of semi-automated and manual trading methods, indicated by a bot score of 50, suggests a hybrid approach that may allow for timely entries and exits. Alexmulti’s quick turnaround within just a few days of activity points to a strategy favoring short-term, high-conviction trades.

Key strengths of alexmulti include an exceptional profit factor and a high win rate, which highlight effective risk management and trade selection. However, the very short active duration and zero portfolio value raise questions about sustainability and consistency over time. Additionally, the absence of a Sharpe ratio and max drawdown may indicate limited data for assessing volatility and risk-adjusted returns fully. Overall, alexmulti’s performance on Polymarket is impressive but warrants further observation for long-term reliability.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+4,804,856
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 235.7 entries/market
Whale
$2,364,824
High Roller
$788,275/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#10$4,804,856Vol: $9,949,069

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,804,856
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,949,069
Total Redeem
$9,933,469
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6
total markets
Trades
1414B / 0S
Daily Volume
$788,275
Account Age
566d
since Oct 31, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
75%
3W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$4,804,856
Win Rate
67%
4W / 2L
Profit Factor
1341.57x
Avg Win
$1,893,573
Avg Loss
$-2,823

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,197,483 (95.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$4,928,767
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,689,558
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$579,158
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $376,807

Top Losers

Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $-4,536
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,110

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
3247
Concentrated
EV per $1
$3.200
Kelly %
56.3%
Half-Kelly
28.1%
Top-1 market
43%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1378.5
Very active
Markets / Day
5.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
42% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 7.33 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.47 — human randomness1379 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
235.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
2 entries
<=20
2 entries
<=50
3 entries
>50
3 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)70.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57%

Other$7,568,645

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
4

Single bracket

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
4 brackets
<=3
4 brackets
<=4
4 brackets
<=5
4 brackets
<=8
4 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/31/2024, 4:43:37 PM20 trades$167,30216 min
10/31/2024, 5:56:12 PM7 trades$115,0504 min
10/31/2024, 6:04:48 PM2 trades$37,8000 min
10/31/2024, 8:50:05 PM186 trades$830,23341 min
10/31/2024, 9:43:19 PM5 trades$31,6772 min
10/31/2024, 10:02:19 PM88 trades$149,14025 min
11/1/2024, 12:01:54 AM1 trades$1800 min
11/1/2024, 1:07:09 AM2 trades$964 min
11/1/2024, 2:27:02 AM1 trades$450 min
11/1/2024, 3:05:20 AM2 trades$112 min
11/1/2024, 3:18:54 AM2 trades$2094 min
11/1/2024, 3:51:44 AM1 trades$20 min
11/1/2024, 3:59:36 AM29 trades$7,82925 min
11/1/2024, 4:30:38 AM13 trades$4,95417 min
11/1/2024, 4:53:40 AM38 trades$60329 min
11/1/2024, 5:29:02 AM2 trades$8,5431 min
11/1/2024, 5:37:09 AM2 trades$3,7412 min
11/1/2024, 8:42:45 AM50 trades$225,98117 min
11/1/2024, 9:05:09 AM13 trades$137,2012 min
11/1/2024, 9:47:11 AM33 trades$43,72611 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
11-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 235.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event