Polydata
alpha.chen

@alpha.chen

#3,043,28241

0xe11ab7e675ffc7136bb065ac13d0d9ba2247c40b

~196d· 462 markets · 4263 tradesVol: $436,745 @chenzhikuo2026-07-31 15:30:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (310/426)20/20
0.84x (win $35,468 / loss $42,146)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8490/15
Sortino -0.9260/10
$-0.0245 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 95 (426 markets)10/10
115/162 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 255% of peak ($12,671 / $4,964)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 73%
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Whale
$272,155 invested
Consistent
115/162 profitable days
High Roller
$1,375/day
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,315$-7,130Vol: $227,149
💰 FINANCE#896$6,165Vol: $121,949
📈 ECONOMICS#682,184$-3,206Vol: $57,191
SPORTS#126,739$91Vol: $18,187
CRYPTO#1,636,320$-1,692Vol: $4,702
🎭 CULTURE#20,782$99Vol: $3,570
📢 MENTIONS#173,961$-728Vol: $2,470
💻 TECH#5,204$128Vol: $1,517

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,274
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$436,745
Total Redeem
$13,549
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
462
total markets
Trades
3078B / 1185S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~196d

Periods

#2
Today
$245
Vol: $1,447
Week
$72
Vol: $9,818
Month
$-1,637
Vol: $57,037
All Time
$-6,274
Vol: $436,745

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
73%
310W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$-6,385
Win Rate
73%
310W / 116L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$114
Avg Loss
$-376

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,701 (0.7361509597073268% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$1,877
Will Eli Lilly and Co (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?$1,440
Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?$1,384
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$1,157
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$946
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?$792
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$732
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$700
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$652
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) beat quarterly earnings?$633

Top Losers

Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-7,069
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,998
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$-1,909
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-1,872
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-1,735
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?$-1,556
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 31?$-1,478
Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings?$-1,266
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$-1,245
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,123

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.029
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
13.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1148s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock22 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.9%
Mid (20-55c)3.7%
High (>55c)94.4%

Sessions

#12
4/14/2026, 1:03:19 PM2 trades$5,2080 min
4/24/2026, 11:12:04 PM33 trades$3,17112 min
6/15/2026, 2:13:55 PM4 trades$3,0301 min
5/2/2026, 3:32:46 AM15 trades$2,9822 min
5/27/2026, 6:30:33 AM8 trades$2,8586 min
4/13/2026, 3:06:09 PM10 trades$2,8046 min
7/14/2026, 1:10:41 AM7 trades$2,5603 min
5/3/2026, 7:19:50 AM28 trades$2,5047 min
6/7/2026, 8:06:57 AM4 trades$2,0730 min
6/12/2026, 1:32:51 AM4 trades$2,0001 min
5/2/2026, 1:55:20 AM10 trades$1,9090 min
1/23/2026, 3:53:04 PM4 trades$1,7678 min
3/13/2026, 3:29:09 PM9 trades$1,7649 min
4/30/2026, 3:04:12 AM2 trades$1,7600 min
4/28/2026, 2:57:22 PM13 trades$1,70314 min
4/12/2026, 11:42:45 PM10 trades$1,7028 min
4/21/2026, 4:02:30 PM12 trades$1,6914 min
3/19/2026, 1:11:47 PM1 trades$1,6730 min
3/18/2026, 12:27:11 PM2 trades$1,6563 min
7/27/2026, 6:32:58 AM1 trades$1,5980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-16
03-17
04-17
05-17
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 83 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.9 / M3.7 / H94.4