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@anon1933

#2,724,32116

0x1d04d5b13ba31ca6f3b9526ded9cfe43519ced05

850d· 80 markets · 3137 tradesVol: $13,312,3372026-05-16T02:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 49%9/20
Profit Factor 0.63x0/15
HHI 19653/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 194%0/10

Summary

The trader anon1933 is a highly active participant on Polymarket, having executed 3,137 trades across 80 markets over 937 days. Despite substantial engagement with a total trading volume exceeding $13 million, anon1933 ranks very low on the global PnL leaderboard at #2,724,321, reflecting a net loss of $558,527.06. Their portfolio currently holds no value, and their overall performance metrics, including a Sharpe Ratio of -0.07 and a profit factor of 0.69, indicate significant underperformance.

Analyzing anon1933’s trading style reveals a contrarian and high-volume approach with a relatively low win rate of 45.6%. They appear to favor a dollar-cost averaging strategy, as suggested by their badge, and tend to avoid weather markets entirely. The sell percentage of 28% implies a moderate inclination to hold positions rather than frequently taking profits or cutting losses. Their trading behavior is consistent with a beginner level, given their Smart Score of 16/100, and they exhibit a downward equity trend, signaling persistent challenges in timing or market selection.

The key strengths of anon1933 include their consistent market engagement and willingness to diversify across many markets, which could provide learning opportunities. However, their large net losses, low profit factor, and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight substantial risks, including poor risk management and potential overexposure. The absence of drawdown duration suggests losses may be sustained rather than episodic. Overall, anon1933’s profile on Polymarket shows the traits of a high-activity but struggling trader with considerable room for improvement.

Badges

6
Lottery Player
54% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
83% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 28.7 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$2,422,068
High Roller
$2,585/day

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,804$-759,435Vol: $9,391,316
CRYPTO#1,510,953$-91,744Vol: $2,095,470
🎭 CULTURE#6$282,882Vol: $1,688,371
💰 FINANCE#237$16,636Vol: $76,499
SPORTS#36,062$890Vol: $15,500

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-558,527
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,312,337
Total Redeem
$894,017
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
2264B / 873S
Daily Volume
$2,585
Account Age
850d
since Jan 21, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
29W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-416,890
Win Rate
46%
36W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.69x
Avg Win
$25,969
Avg Loss
$-31,627

Top Winners

Biden drops out of presidential race?$249,764
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$174,693
Biden wins the Popular Vote?$111,686
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nominatio$85,791
Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$85,122
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$64,883
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$31,238
Will $BTC reach 70k in July?$30,002
Will $BTC hit $50k or $70k first?$25,000
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15,066

Top Losers

Will Biden finish his term?$-1,018,367
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?$-100,835
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-53,248
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?$-26,840
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154$-21,433
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+$-19,218
Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$-17,257
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$-17,216
Was JFK assassination an inside job?$-14,945
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$-10,139

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.057
HHI
1965
Moderate
EV per $1
$-3.943
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42%
Top-5 markets
64.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.6m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — typical for humanSize CV 4.81 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.83 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
19 entries
<=2
21 entries
<=5
34 entries
<=10
47 entries
<=20
56 entries
<=50
68 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.8%
Mid (20-55c)37.3%
High (>55c)8.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 30%

Other$-425,071

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
59

Single bracket

<=1
48 brackets
<=2
54 brackets
<=3
55 brackets
<=4
58 brackets
<=5
59 brackets
<=8
59 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/15/2022, 7:13:23 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
5/1/2023, 4:28:57 PM1 trades$5740 min
12/16/2023, 3:37:27 AM3 trades$2,0153 min
12/16/2023, 3:47:56 AM2 trades$540 min
12/16/2023, 3:54:44 AM4 trades$2344 min
12/16/2023, 5:18:31 AM2 trades$4971 min
12/17/2023, 2:43:30 AM1 trades$170 min
12/17/2023, 3:19:06 AM1 trades$90 min
12/17/2023, 3:26:49 AM1 trades$330 min
12/17/2023, 4:12:03 AM1 trades$3280 min
12/17/2023, 11:26:47 PM1 trades$4900 min
12/27/2023, 6:59:32 PM4 trades$1,8109 min
12/28/2023, 11:26:01 PM1 trades$00 min
12/30/2023, 1:40:46 AM1 trades$2320 min
12/31/2023, 5:50:02 PM1 trades$650 min
1/20/2024, 4:23:48 AM2 trades$5,1055 min
1/21/2024, 8:04:37 PM2 trades$8,3102 min
1/21/2024, 8:17:02 PM1 trades$5,5400 min
1/24/2024, 1:05:02 AM1 trades$1,6980 min
1/24/2024, 1:15:24 AM1 trades$1,6980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
12-17
03-31
07-18
08-21
11-04
04-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event