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avenger

@avenger

#1,49866

0xd4f904ecac0ff22ac6601de6b972d4f8b6b4f619

890d· 989 markets · 7788 tradesVol: $9,602,0142026-05-16T12:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.36x0/15
Sharpe 0.3406/15
Sortino 6034757.30110/10
HHI 6409/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Avenger is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with over 1,000 days of activity and nearly 7,800 trades executed across 329 markets. Ranked #1498 on the global PnL leaderboard, avenger has accumulated a net profit of approximately $99,800, supported by a substantial total volume of $9.6 million. Despite a healthy portfolio value of around $30,500, avenger’s overall performance metrics reflect a steady but cautious approach, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.34 and a stable equity trend.

Avenger’s trading style leans toward consistency rather than high-risk speculation. With a win rate under 40% and a profit factor of 0.36, this trader appears to accept frequent small losses balanced by occasional larger gains. The relatively low bot score suggests manual, human-driven decisions with a quick interface but limited automation. Avenger’s preference for diverse markets without exposure to weather events and a sell percentage of 24% indicates a selective exit strategy, possibly focusing on timing trades to maximize favorable outcomes.

The strengths of avenger’s approach include disciplined risk management and consistent engagement, as highlighted by badges such as “Sniper” and “Consistent.” However, the low profit factor and modest Sharpe ratio point to limited upside relative to risk taken, posing a concern for long-term scalability. The flat equity trend and short drawdown duration suggest resilience but also potential challenges in sustaining significant growth on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+99,818
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Whale
$2,961,131
Consistent
88/88 days
High Roller
$2,732/day

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,511,185$-34,266Vol: $4,725,163
SPORTS#1,646,686$-40,915Vol: $2,307,092
🏛️ POLITICS#258$176,002Vol: $912,129
🎭 CULTURE#773,461$-36,910Vol: $891,144
💻 TECH#30$35,538Vol: $560,691
📈 ECONOMICS#613,719$-75Vol: $200,225
💰 FINANCE#565,148$-41Vol: $2,809
📢 MENTIONS#2,154$486Vol: $2,761

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$99,818
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,602,014
Total Redeem
$89,961
Portfolio
$30,486
Predictions
989
total markets
Trades
5953B / 1835S
Daily Volume
$2,732
Account Age
890d
since Dec 13, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$337
Vol: $200
Week
$2,672
Vol: $102,224
Month
$-49,577
Vol: $273,681
All Time
$99,818
Vol: $9,602,014

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
188W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$523,027
Win Rate
40%
112W / 171L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$3,704
Avg Loss
$-6,785

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$268,622
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$75,211
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year$11,927
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$10,281
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$5,803
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%?$5,348
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$4,979
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Nemesis (BO3)$3,092
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils$2,919
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Y$2,586

Top Losers

Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of $-164,533
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 2$-61,053
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5$-50,656
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$-42,470
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$-35,762
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 2$-33,459
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Yakutou Brothers (BO3)$-31,770
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner$-28,745
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Bublik$-24,251
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$-22,629

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.340
Sortino
inf
HHI
640
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.261
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.5%
Top-5 markets
47.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.1m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 4.98 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness38 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
26 entries
<=2
52 entries
<=5
116 entries
<=10
192 entries
<=20
252 entries
<=50
308 entries
>50
21 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.2%
High (>55c)65.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 23.5%

Paris$1,936
Milan$-859
Madrid$-1,043
Netanyahu$-10,597
Up or Down$-18,860
New York City$-21,120
Other$-694,787

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
237

Single bracket

<=1
180 brackets
<=2
213 brackets
<=3
232 brackets
<=4
234 brackets
<=5
236 brackets
<=8
237 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/19/2025, 2:59:05 PM1 trades$1860 min
10/20/2025, 1:57:11 PM1 trades$4,7000 min
10/21/2025, 5:24:04 AM1 trades$1,8600 min
10/21/2025, 7:15:36 AM1 trades$2760 min
10/21/2025, 8:39:58 AM1 trades$1,8600 min
11/2/2025, 3:45:38 AM1 trades$960 min
11/2/2025, 4:01:22 AM2 trades$1061 min
11/2/2025, 4:09:22 AM1 trades$00 min
11/2/2025, 4:29:30 AM2 trades$9381 min
11/2/2025, 4:50:38 AM2 trades$755 min
11/2/2025, 5:18:56 AM1 trades$100 min
11/2/2025, 6:34:49 AM5 trades$63 min
11/2/2025, 6:59:43 AM1 trades$30 min
11/2/2025, 7:30:53 AM1 trades$40 min
11/2/2025, 7:46:19 AM1 trades$740 min
11/2/2025, 7:59:21 AM2 trades$1454 min
11/2/2025, 8:09:31 AM3 trades$5049 min
11/2/2025, 8:55:29 PM1 trades$1580 min
11/2/2025, 10:38:47 PM1 trades$7100 min
11/3/2025, 12:07:05 AM46 trades$9,32011 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-17
12-11
01-02
03-10
04-19
06-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event