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@b2d0

#2,30770

0xe9514aa0b925353ea0d5e32978d636ec25ebde18

383d· 11 markets · 2298 tradesVol: $1,286,8652026-06-26T21:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 58%14/20
Profit Factor 2.27x15/15
Sharpe 0.4028/15
Sortino 0.6316/10
EV $+0.1357/10
HHI 16904/10
Profit Days 60%7/10
DD/Peak 25%9/10

Summary

Trader b2d0 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 2,298 trades across 10 markets over 322 days. Ranked #2307 globally by net profit and holding a net PnL of $72,890.47, b2d0 has maintained a substantial portfolio value of $432,916.43. Their overall trading volume exceeds $1.28 million, reflecting significant market engagement. The Smart Score of 70/100 indicates good analytical skills, while the low Bot Score suggests human-driven trading activity.

b2d0 exhibits a high win rate of 87.5% and an impressive profit factor of 15.66, indicating a strong ability to generate profits relative to losses. Their trading style favors consistent, steady gains rather than high volatility plays, as seen in a Sharpe ratio of 0.40 and zero days of maximum drawdown duration, implying careful risk management. The absence of weather markets and a 0% sell rate suggest a preference for holding positions, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master, which point to a disciplined, long-term approach.

The main strength of b2d0 lies in their high win rate and profit factor, showcasing effective market timing and position sizing. However, the downward equity trend is a notable concern, possibly indicating recent challenges or a shift in market dynamics impacting their portfolio value. While b2d0 demonstrates solid fundamentals, ongoing monitoring is advisable to assess whether this decline is temporary or signals broader risks.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+72,890
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 229.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,142,246
High Roller
$3,547/day
Cool Head
DD 25%

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#80$79,319Vol: $1,265,867
₿ CRYPTO#1,604,394$-7,149Vol: $9,998
🎭 CULTURE#6,161$720Vol: $4,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$72,890
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,286,865
Total Redeem
$1,034,076
Portfolio
$432,916
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
2297B / 1S
Daily Volume
$3,547
Account Age
383d
since Jun 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3,392
Vol: $61,279
Week
$1,759
Vol: $61,279
Month
$-16,612
Vol: $266,721
All Time
$72,890
Vol: $1,286,865

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
6W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$82,104
Win Rate
88%
7W / 1L
Profit Factor
15.66x
Avg Win
$15,996
Avg Loss
$-7,149

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $76,616 (73.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$32,634
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$23,388
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026$20,594
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$13,791
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$13,676
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting$7,166
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$720

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?$-7,149

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.402
Sortino
0.631
HHI
1690
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
87.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 5.65 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
229.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
2 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
5 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 86.2%

Other$104,820

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
10

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
10 brackets
<=3
10 brackets
<=4
10 brackets
<=5
10 brackets
<=8
10 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
9/30/2025, 6:43:41 PM1 trades$24,2880 min
10/1/2025, 1:59:35 PM3 trades$3,2461 min
10/1/2025, 5:27:09 PM15 trades$15,55026 min
10/1/2025, 6:04:43 PM7 trades$8269 min
10/1/2025, 6:25:01 PM2 trades$4172 min
10/1/2025, 6:35:51 PM3 trades$1334 min
10/1/2025, 6:46:23 PM7 trades$2,9826 min
10/1/2025, 6:59:41 PM1 trades$5560 min
10/1/2025, 7:12:17 PM1 trades$1100 min
10/2/2025, 5:29:47 PM1 trades$1,8830 min
10/6/2025, 3:28:53 AM1 trades$20 min
11/10/2025, 4:32:30 PM17 trades$10,42916 min
11/10/2025, 6:20:58 PM1 trades$17,5000 min
11/12/2025, 2:30:01 AM2 trades$360 min
11/12/2025, 2:37:55 AM3 trades$29,1971 min
11/24/2025, 9:36:27 PM1 trades$4,0250 min
11/30/2025, 8:35:40 PM2 trades$832 min
11/30/2025, 8:42:44 PM5 trades$3512 min
11/30/2025, 9:05:08 PM7 trades$1515 min
11/30/2025, 9:26:42 PM2 trades$292 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-15
12-01
12-10
01-28
03-18
04-29
07-29
09-16
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 229.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event