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bakermckenzie

@bakermckenzie

#89793

0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc

101d· 51 markets · 6934 tradesVol: $93,617,7582026-06-30T21:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 28.84x15/15
Sharpe 0.58611/15
Sortino 11126364.93310/10
EV $+1261.17110/10
HHI 11647/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bakermckenzie is an elite Polymarket trader ranked #897 globally with a net profit of $211,400.94. Over 92 days, they executed 6,934 trades across 51 markets, demonstrating high activity and a substantial total volume of $93.6 million. Despite a portfolio value of zero at the time of analysis, bakermckenzie's Sharpe ratio of 0.59 and a 70% win rate indicate consistent profitability, reflected in a positive equity trend without prolonged drawdowns.

The trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in various markets with a preference for low sell rates (2%) and no exposure to weather-related markets. Their strategy appears balanced between manual and automated techniques, supported by a bot score of 55. Bakermckenzie’s trading style exhibits patience and precision, earning badges like Sniper and DCA Master, suggesting disciplined position scaling and timing. The high win rate and profit factor of 0.21 point to a risk-moderate profile focused on steady gains rather than aggressive speculation.

Bakermckenzie’s strengths lie in disciplined execution and an upward equity trajectory, supported by elite smart scoring and a strong win streak. However, the relatively low profit factor coupled with a zero portfolio value may indicate periods of cashing out or capital rotation, which could introduce liquidity risks or reduce compounding potential. Overall, bakermckenzie stands out as a reliable Polymarket trader with a solid track record and methodical strategy.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Profitable
PnL $+211,401
Diamond Hands
2% sell
DCA Master
avg 133.0 entries/market
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$71,022,248
Consistent
18/19 days
High Roller
$771,981/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#353$142,462Vol: $77,511,526
📢 MENTIONS#237$7,879Vol: $6,322,155
CRYPTO#1,056$37,012Vol: $5,527,538
📈 ECONOMICS#310$21,690Vol: $3,128,154
🎭 CULTURE#4,603$1,111Vol: $1,111,111
SPORTS#31,065$1,213Vol: $16,581

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$211,401
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,617,758
Total Redeem
$35,802,622
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
6781B / 153S
Daily Volume
$771,981
Account Age
101d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$43,281
Vol: $6,254,573
All Time
$211,401
Vol: $93,617,758

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
33W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$211,569
Win Rate
70%
35W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$221,099
Avg Loss
$-2,511,815

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3,673,591
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2,534,751
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$629,398
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$477,823
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$161,631
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$93,225
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 20$55,219
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$36,657
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$24,818
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$22,074

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-18,272,055
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-8,364,975
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-3,971,651
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-2,519,941
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social$-1,536,233
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-1,105,562
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$-980,518
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$-739,784
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-152,509
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$-17,059

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.587
Sortino
inf
HHI
1164
Moderate
EV per $1
$1261.171
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.7%
Top-5 markets
64.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
82.8
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — typical for humanSize CV 7.62 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.93 — human randomness83 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
133
Heavy DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
4 entries
<=5
9 entries
<=10
13 entries
<=20
16 entries
<=50
25 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.5%
High (>55c)99.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.5%

Shenzhen$0
Other$-29,938,748

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
34

Single bracket

<=1
27 brackets
<=2
29 brackets
<=3
31 brackets
<=4
33 brackets
<=5
33 brackets
<=8
34 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 11:22:07 PM1 trades$5,000,7470 min
4/1/2026, 4:34:43 AM7 trades$1,029,0961 min
4/1/2026, 2:00:35 PM1 trades$1380 min
4/1/2026, 2:53:27 PM26 trades$149,40013 min
4/1/2026, 3:15:17 PM1 trades$3,1090 min
4/1/2026, 3:41:05 PM1 trades$4790 min
4/3/2026, 1:53:21 PM1 trades$6420 min
4/5/2026, 1:57:59 AM1 trades$2040 min
4/5/2026, 4:11:53 AM2 trades$2040 min
4/6/2026, 12:11:17 PM8 trades$2552 min
4/6/2026, 5:59:47 PM104 trades$1,280,97434 min
4/6/2026, 8:09:41 PM47 trades$180,35920 min
4/6/2026, 9:19:17 PM4 trades$37,5363 min
4/6/2026, 10:02:03 PM2 trades$399,5600 min
4/7/2026, 10:29:45 AM1 trades$246,2360 min
4/7/2026, 1:43:43 PM23 trades$498,0006 min
4/7/2026, 4:04:57 PM9 trades$9,3635 min
4/7/2026, 4:25:01 PM9 trades$47,2016 min
4/7/2026, 4:47:09 PM2 trades$3,8900 min
4/7/2026, 5:10:33 PM24 trades$238,3469 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-07
04-15
04-29
05-28
06-07
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 133/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event