Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...
bakermckenzie

@bakermckenzie

#96871

0xd99f3bec8e060ada0aef0c4057695dd5bc22fcdc

50d· 36 markets · 5192 tradesVol: $82,327,0552026-05-16T09:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 90%20/20
Profit Factor 1.14x4/15
Sharpe 0.52310/15
Sortino 10539328.78010/10
EV $+0.0452/10
HHI 15235/10
Profit Days 93%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bakermckenzie is an experienced and active trader on Polymarket, holding the global rank of #968 with a net profit of $158,089.93. Over 91 days, they executed 5,192 trades across 36 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $82 million. Their Smart Score of 71/100 indicates very good trading performance, supported by a portfolio value of over $3.4 million and a consistent equity trend.

The trader’s style reflects a balanced approach with a high win rate of 77.1% but a modest profit factor of 0.48, suggesting frequent smaller wins rather than large payoffs. Bakermckenzie’s low sell percentage (3%) and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master imply a preference for holding positions and employing dollar-cost averaging. The bot score of 60/100 indicates a semi-automated strategy combining manual input and algorithmic elements. They avoid weather markets entirely, focusing instead on higher-conviction opportunities.

Bakermckenzie’s key strengths include a strong win rate, stable portfolio growth, and disciplined risk management with no recorded drawdown duration. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.52 and profit factor below 1 indicate potential exposure to smaller incremental gains rather than outsized returns, which could limit scalability. Overall, their consistent execution and measured risk profile make them a reliable trader within the Polymarket ecosystem.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+158,090
Diamond Hands
3% sell
DCA Master
avg 140.1 entries/market
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
Whale
$60,196,334
Consistent
14/15 days
High Roller
$661,498/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#328$133,400Vol: $75,617,987
📢 MENTIONS#402$4,022Vol: $3,886,957
📈 ECONOMICS#297$20,667Vol: $2,822,111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$158,090
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,327,055
Total Redeem
$38,619,516
Portfolio
$3,481,315
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
5043B / 149S
Daily Volume
$661,498
Account Age
50d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$2,784
Vol: $1,734,021
Month
$20,993
Vol: $5,211,109
All Time
$158,090
Vol: $82,327,055

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
22W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$157,922
Win Rate
77%
27W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$567,958
Avg Loss
$-3,983,559

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$6,368,946
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$3,673,591
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$2,534,751
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$1,333,484
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$629,398
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$477,823
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$161,631
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$79,971
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social$36,081
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$24,818

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-18,272,055
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-8,364,975
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-3,971,651
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-1,105,562
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-152,509
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,079
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation$-616
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-24

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.523
Sortino
inf
HHI
1523
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
42.5%
Half-Kelly
21.3%
Top-1 market
30.4%
Top-5 markets
72.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
121.6
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.9m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
22 min
Avg Trades / Session
41.0

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — typical for humanSize CV 7.38 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness122 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
140.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
5 entries
<=10
8 entries
<=20
11 entries
<=50
18 entries
>50
18 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0.6%
High (>55c)99.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.8%

Other$-16,533,613

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
22

Single bracket

<=1
16 brackets
<=2
19 brackets
<=3
19 brackets
<=4
21 brackets
<=5
21 brackets
<=8
22 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 11:22:07 PM1 trades$5,000,7470 min
4/1/2026, 4:34:43 AM7 trades$1,029,0961 min
4/1/2026, 2:00:35 PM1 trades$1380 min
4/1/2026, 2:53:27 PM26 trades$149,40013 min
4/1/2026, 3:15:17 PM1 trades$3,1090 min
4/1/2026, 3:41:05 PM1 trades$4790 min
4/3/2026, 1:53:21 PM1 trades$6420 min
4/5/2026, 1:57:59 AM1 trades$2040 min
4/5/2026, 4:11:53 AM2 trades$2040 min
4/6/2026, 12:11:17 PM8 trades$2552 min
4/6/2026, 5:59:47 PM104 trades$1,280,97434 min
4/6/2026, 8:09:41 PM47 trades$180,35920 min
4/6/2026, 9:19:17 PM4 trades$37,5363 min
4/6/2026, 10:02:03 PM2 trades$399,5600 min
4/7/2026, 10:29:45 AM1 trades$246,2360 min
4/7/2026, 1:43:43 PM23 trades$498,0006 min
4/7/2026, 4:04:57 PM9 trades$9,3635 min
4/7/2026, 4:25:01 PM9 trades$47,2016 min
4/7/2026, 4:47:09 PM2 trades$3,8900 min
4/7/2026, 5:10:33 PM24 trades$238,3469 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-01
04-11
04-15
04-21
04-30
05-31
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 140.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event