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@beachboy4

#2441

0xc2e7800b5af46e6093872b177b7a5e7f0563be51

213d· 184 markets · 6606 tradesVol: $222,153,2092026-06-28T02:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 1.09x4/15
Sharpe 0.0421/15
Sortino 0.0490/10
EV $+461.98510/10
HHI 15510/10
Profit Days 49%5/10
DD/Peak 147%0/10

Summary

Beachboy4 is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked 24th on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of approximately $4.67 million over 186 days. They have executed 6,606 trades across 184 markets, resulting in a significant total trading volume of over $222 million. Despite this impressive scale, beachboy4 maintains a modest portfolio value of just under $5,000 and holds an average Smart Score of 41 out of 100, indicating moderate analytical depth.

The trading strategy employed by beachboy4 appears to focus on volume and frequent market participation rather than high win rates, as their win rate stands at 22% with a profit factor of 0.23. This suggests a high-risk profile where gains likely come from a few large successful trades amid many losses. Their Sharpe ratio is low at 0.04, reflecting limited risk-adjusted returns, but the consistent upward equity trend and zero max drawdown days point to effective risk management in terms of drawdown duration. They do not engage in weather markets and do not sell positions, indicating a preference for holding rather than shorting or flipping.

Beachboy4’s key strengths include substantial capital deployment and an ability to generate large absolute profits, supported by notable badges such as Whale and High Roller, highlighting their influence on Polymarket. However, the low win rate and profit factor raise concerns about sustainability and potential volatility in returns. Additionally, the average Smart Score and Bot Score suggest reliance on human decision-making with moderate analytical rigor, which may introduce behavioral risks in fast-moving markets. Overall, beachboy4 demonstrates strong market presence but operates with a risky and high-variance style.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+4,674,050
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$120,636,067
High Roller
$648,581/day

Categories

2
SPORTS#12$4,679,247Vol: $221,904,376
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,766$-5,197Vol: $248,833

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,674,050
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$222,153,209
Total Redeem
$51,297,428
Portfolio
$4,918
Predictions
184
total markets
Trades
6600B / 6S
Daily Volume
$648,581
Account Age
213d
since Nov 30, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$-485
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,674,050
Vol: $222,153,209

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
55%
88W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$4,678,025
Win Rate
22%
40W / 142L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$504,164
Avg Loss
$-627,430

Top Winners

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?$3,082,778
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-25?$2,022,684
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?$1,688,223
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-08?$1,283,051
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?$1,050,959
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-29?$797,286
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$763,999
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?$702,462
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves$691,792
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?$613,943

Top Losers

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?$-4,206,373
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?$-3,790,391
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-20?$-3,766,849
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-21?$-3,458,395
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?$-3,322,488
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-01-18?$-3,132,882
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-21?$-2,962,729
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24?$-2,759,899
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-18?$-2,364,732
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-01-20?$-2,011,524

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.049
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$461.985
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.8m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
57% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.48 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.11 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
15 entries
<=2
32 entries
<=5
67 entries
<=10
99 entries
<=20
126 entries
<=50
161 entries
>50
23 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.2%
Mid (20-55c)76.7%
High (>55c)23.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 92.2%

Miami$274,368
Milan$-35,528
Madrid$-4,200,894
Paris$-6,326,642
Other$-58,639,809

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
159

Single bracket

<=1
135 brackets
<=2
158 brackets
<=3
159 brackets
<=4
159 brackets
<=5
159 brackets
<=8
159 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/30/2025, 10:46:06 PM5 trades$205,0008 min
12/1/2025, 11:42:56 PM4 trades$320,0007 min
12/2/2025, 12:13:24 AM5 trades$510,0009 min
12/4/2025, 12:17:23 AM1 trades$25,0000 min
12/4/2025, 12:24:53 AM2 trades$133,0001 min
12/4/2025, 11:58:41 PM1 trades$20,0000 min
12/6/2025, 12:46:25 AM2 trades$338,0005 min
12/6/2025, 11:25:19 PM3 trades$80,0002 min
12/6/2025, 11:41:51 PM2 trades$96,0001 min
12/7/2025, 9:06:55 PM4 trades$136,0004 min
12/12/2025, 12:54:38 AM2 trades$262,0001 min
12/13/2025, 11:43:15 PM5 trades$30,2508 min
12/14/2025, 1:56:05 AM1 trades$525,0000 min
12/14/2025, 7:40:15 PM2 trades$179,0002 min
12/14/2025, 7:50:03 PM1 trades$5000 min
12/14/2025, 10:40:07 PM3 trades$695,0001 min
12/14/2025, 11:30:33 PM4 trades$372,8006 min
12/16/2025, 2:13:05 AM3 trades$525,0005 min
12/19/2025, 12:57:29 AM4 trades$588,0006 min
12/19/2025, 1:43:43 AM7 trades$501,00010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-23
01-08
01-21
02-08
04-04
05-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event