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@blackwall

#5951

0xac44cb78be973ec7d91b69678c4bdfa7009afbd7

153d· 8 markets · 1908 tradesVol: $14,869,4342026-06-29T16:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 62%16/20
Profit Factor 1.79x12/15
Sharpe 0.1743/15
Sortino 0.3784/10
EV $+0.79110/10
HHI 32990/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 71%0/10

Summary

Blackwall is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #59 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $2.3 million. In just 10 days, blackwall executed 1,908 trades across 8 different markets, accumulating nearly $15 million in total volume. Their win rate stands at a perfect 100%, reflecting consistent success, though their portfolio value currently reads zero, likely due to closed positions or withdrawals.

The trader’s style favors quick, precision entries, as indicated by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, suggesting a disciplined approach to dollar-cost averaging combined with well-timed trades. Blackwall appears to avoid selling positions prematurely, maintaining a 0% sell rate and showing a very short max drawdown duration of zero days. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.17 hints at modest risk-adjusted returns, while the Bot Score of 45/100 indicates a semi-automated strategy mixing manual and algorithmic components.

Blackwall’s strengths include exceptional timing, perfect win rate, and strong profit accumulation over a brief period, supported by an upward equity trend. However, the unusually high profit factor of 0.00 and zero sell percentage raise questions about data anomalies or strategy sustainability. The reliance on a semi-bot approach carries inherent risks from potential automation errors, making ongoing performance monitoring essential for interpreting blackwall’s activity on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+2,310,858
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 238.5 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$8,007,343
High Roller
$777,904/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#37$2,310,858Vol: $14,869,434

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,310,858
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,869,434
Total Redeem
$10,369,962
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
1908B / 0S
Daily Volume
$777,904
Account Age
153d
since Feb 2, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
5W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$5,231,235
Win Rate
100%
5W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,049,172
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,080,145 (96.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$4,548,397
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?$310,179
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?$221,569
Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?$103,387
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?$62,330

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
0.378
HHI
3299
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.791
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
49.9%
Top-5 markets
96.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
185.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
83.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 6.05 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.87 — human randomness185 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
238.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
3 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)57.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 68.9%

Other$5,245,862

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
8

Single bracket

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
8 brackets
<=3
8 brackets
<=4
8 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
8 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 12:57:49 PM104 trades$38,01719 min
2/8/2026, 1:21:59 PM229 trades$114,1078 min
2/9/2026, 7:37:21 PM3 trades$5,6203 min
2/9/2026, 7:50:17 PM32 trades$31,0440 min
2/9/2026, 7:58:11 PM73 trades$44,3392 min
2/14/2026, 2:17:41 PM45 trades$43,51912 min
2/14/2026, 3:31:05 PM11 trades$20,8355 min
2/14/2026, 3:42:43 PM52 trades$79,9253 min
2/14/2026, 3:55:35 PM60 trades$231,0761 min
2/15/2026, 12:01:41 PM3 trades$41,5312 min
2/15/2026, 12:11:43 PM2 trades$17,6631 min
2/15/2026, 12:18:17 PM3 trades$33,7375 min
2/15/2026, 12:30:03 PM232 trades$343,6892 min
2/15/2026, 12:39:35 PM468 trades$1,570,19021 min
2/17/2026, 7:24:47 PM4 trades$594,8246 min
2/17/2026, 7:38:51 PM528 trades$3,404,51722 min
2/18/2026, 5:01:18 PM3 trades$33,6503 min
2/18/2026, 5:12:36 PM1 trades$9,8850 min
2/18/2026, 5:37:48 PM4 trades$141,3250 min
2/18/2026, 5:44:10 PM4 trades$412,4211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-09
02-14
02-15
02-17
02-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 238.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event