Polydata

@blackwall

#4351

0xac44cb78be973ec7d91b69678c4bdfa7009afbd7

107d· 8 markets · 1908 tradesVol: $14,869,4342026-05-20T23:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 62%16/20
Profit Factor 1.79x12/15
Sharpe 0.1743/15
Sortino 0.3784/10
EV $+0.79110/10
HHI 32990/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 71%0/10

Summary

Blackwall is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking 43rd on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $2.3 million. Despite only 10 days of activity, blackwall has executed 1,908 trades across 8 different markets, totaling nearly $15 million in volume. Their win rate is a perfect 100%, contributing to an upward equity trend, though their portfolio value currently stands at zero.

Blackwall’s trading style reflects a blend of automated and manual strategies, indicated by a semi-bot score of 45/100, with a preference for disciplined, high-frequency trading. They avoid selling positions, suggesting a long-only or hold approach, and demonstrate strong risk control with no drawdown duration. Markets traded exclude weather, hinting at a focus on more liquid or predictable categories. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.17 points to modest risk-adjusted returns despite significant profits.

The key strength of blackwall lies in consistent profitability and a perfect win rate, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, signaling precision and patience. However, the short active period and zero portfolio value raise questions about sustainability and capital deployment. Additionally, the zero profit factor may indicate nuances in how PnL is calculated or reported, warranting closer examination for potential risks.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+2,310,858
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 238.5 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Whale
$8,007,343
High Roller
$777,904/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#25$2,310,858Vol: $14,869,434

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,310,858
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,869,434
Total Redeem
$10,369,962
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
1908B / 0S
Daily Volume
$777,904
Account Age
107d
since Feb 2, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
5W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$5,231,235
Win Rate
100%
5W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,049,172
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,080,145 (96.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?$4,548,397
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-02-14?$310,179
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-18?$221,569
Will AZ win on 2026-02-08?$103,387
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-02-14?$62,330

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.174
Sortino
0.378
HHI
3299
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.791
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
49.9%
Top-5 markets
96.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
185.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.9m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
23
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
83.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 6.05 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern7/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.87 — human randomness185 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
238.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
0 entries
<=10
0 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
3 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)42.3%
High (>55c)57.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 68.9%

Other$5,245,862

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
8

Single bracket

<=1
8 brackets
<=2
8 brackets
<=3
8 brackets
<=4
8 brackets
<=5
8 brackets
<=8
8 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 12:57:49 PM104 trades$38,01719 min
2/8/2026, 1:21:59 PM229 trades$114,1078 min
2/9/2026, 7:37:21 PM3 trades$5,6203 min
2/9/2026, 7:50:17 PM32 trades$31,0440 min
2/9/2026, 7:58:11 PM73 trades$44,3392 min
2/14/2026, 2:17:41 PM45 trades$43,51912 min
2/14/2026, 3:31:05 PM11 trades$20,8355 min
2/14/2026, 3:42:43 PM52 trades$79,9253 min
2/14/2026, 3:55:35 PM60 trades$231,0761 min
2/15/2026, 12:01:41 PM3 trades$41,5312 min
2/15/2026, 12:11:43 PM2 trades$17,6631 min
2/15/2026, 12:18:17 PM3 trades$33,7375 min
2/15/2026, 12:30:03 PM232 trades$343,6892 min
2/15/2026, 12:39:35 PM468 trades$1,570,19021 min
2/17/2026, 7:24:47 PM4 trades$594,8246 min
2/17/2026, 7:38:51 PM528 trades$3,404,51722 min
2/18/2026, 5:01:18 PM3 trades$33,6503 min
2/18/2026, 5:12:36 PM1 trades$9,8850 min
2/18/2026, 5:37:48 PM4 trades$141,3250 min
2/18/2026, 5:44:10 PM4 trades$412,4211 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-08
02-09
02-14
02-15
02-17
02-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 238.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event