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@cab3fe42

#2,371,161100

0xcab3fe42ad7ddb0b8fba9c182a17e9ff1e324289

~21d· 377 markets · 606 tradesVol: $10,8632026-06-24T20:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 11.82x15/15
Sharpe 1.01315/15
Sortino 39447.58410/10
EV $+0.24310/10
HHI 6410/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Trader cab3fe42 is a moderately active participant on Polymarket, having engaged in 606 trades across 296 markets over 23 days. Despite a net loss of $82.29, cab3fe42 holds an elite Smart Score of 100/100, reflecting strong trading acumen. The trader ranks #2,371,161 globally on the PnL leaderboard, with a total volume of $10,862 and a Sharpe ratio of 1.01, indicating a balanced risk-adjusted performance. The portfolio value is currently zero, suggesting all positions are closed.

Cab3fe42 demonstrates a high win rate of 93.2% and a profit factor of 11.82, pointing to a careful and consistent trading style. The trader does not engage in weather markets and sells 36% of positions, indicating selective exit strategies. With a bot score of 40/100, cab3fe42 likely employs a semi-automated approach mixing manual decisions with algorithmic assistance. The absence of drawdown duration and an upward equity trend suggest disciplined timing and risk management.

The main strengths of cab3fe42 lie in their consistency, precision, and strong win streaks, as reflected by badges earned on Polymarket. However, the overall negative PnL and relatively low rank signal potential issues in capital allocation or market selection. The semi-bot strategy may provide efficiency but also introduces risks related to algorithmic execution and timing under volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
50 wins in a row
Consistent
16/16 days

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,277,125$-32Vol: $10,214
🏛️ POLITICS#1,429,844$-48Vol: $445
📈 ECONOMICS#515,285$-2Vol: $203

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-82
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,863
Total Redeem
$1,584
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
377
total markets
Trades
390B / 216S
Daily Volume
$137
Account Age
~21d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
242W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$764
Win Rate
93%
234W / 17L
Profit Factor
11.82x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $88 (13.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April$44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$10

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$-8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.013
Sortino
inf
HHI
64
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.243
Kelly %
87.7%
Half-Kelly
43.8%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.8
Active
Markets / Day
13.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
30.4m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 166s — typical for humanSize CV 1.00 — diverse, typical for human10% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.66 — semi-mechanical27 trades/day — suspiciously high13 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
213 entries
<=2
287 entries
<=5
296 entries
<=10
296 entries
<=20
296 entries
<=50
296 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)24.4%
High (>55c)74.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 50.5%

Other$631

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
291

Single bracket

<=1
289 brackets
<=2
289 brackets
<=3
290 brackets
<=4
291 brackets
<=5
291 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 6:44:51 PM3 trades$167 min
4/14/2026, 7:45:11 AM1 trades$10 min
4/14/2026, 7:49:50 PM2 trades$231 min
4/15/2026, 4:04:24 PM1 trades$210 min
4/15/2026, 6:48:18 PM1 trades$120 min
4/16/2026, 7:40:32 AM1 trades$120 min
4/16/2026, 9:37:28 AM1 trades$70 min
4/16/2026, 3:54:46 PM1 trades$110 min
4/16/2026, 7:12:16 PM1 trades$80 min
4/17/2026, 3:31:12 AM1 trades$80 min
4/17/2026, 12:26:28 PM3 trades$677 min
4/17/2026, 12:50:28 PM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 1:00:06 PM1 trades$110 min
4/17/2026, 1:19:10 PM4 trades$728 min
4/17/2026, 2:14:32 PM1 trades$10 min
4/17/2026, 2:48:02 PM1 trades$620 min
4/17/2026, 8:12:44 PM1 trades$220 min
4/17/2026, 8:48:04 PM1 trades$230 min
4/17/2026, 9:40:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2026, 9:52:54 PM2 trades$180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-13
04-17
04-19
04-21
04-27
04-30
05-02
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event