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car

@car

#10598

0x7c3db723f1d4d8cb9c550095203b686cb11e5c6b

880d· 7199 markets · 32937 tradesVol: $171,698,158 @CarOnPolymarket2026-07-02T05:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 26.15x15/15
Sharpe 0.66913/15
Sortino 119.98710/10
EV $+2.95010/10
HHI 26310/10
Profit Days 94%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Car is an elite trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #105 globally by net PnL. With a net profit exceeding $1.46 million and nearly 33,000 trades executed across 369 markets, car demonstrates high activity and significant market engagement. Over 931 days of trading, car has maintained a solid presence with a portfolio value nearing $595,000 and an upward equity trend.

Car’s trading strategy appears diversified with no specific focus on weather markets, favoring a broad range of opportunities. The trader’s win rate hovers just below 50%, reflecting a balanced risk approach. The profit factor of 0.09 suggests tight margins per trade, possibly relying on volume and frequent trades rather than large individual gains. Car’s semi-automated style, indicated by a bot score of 55, combines manual insight with algorithmic assistance, supporting consistent decision timing and execution.

Key strengths of car include a high Smart Score of 98, strong risk management with zero days of max drawdown duration, and a steady upward equity curve. However, the relatively low profit factor and a Sharpe ratio of 0.67 indicate moderate risk-adjusted returns. Car’s approach may face challenges if market volatility increases or if profit margins tighten further, but the trader’s diversified and disciplined style remains a notable asset on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+1,461,068
DCA Master
avg 52.4 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$14,422,786
Consistent
83/88 days
High Roller
$15,492/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#33$1,051,978Vol: $113,391,176
🎭 CULTURE#70$86,504Vol: $18,889,457
CRYPTO#202$140,480Vol: $14,865,729
💻 TECH#15$54,773Vol: $6,591,992
📈 ECONOMICS#145$43,965Vol: $6,215,881
💰 FINANCE#95$37,803Vol: $5,242,990
SPORTS#39,054$878Vol: $3,226,667
📢 MENTIONS#67$30,129Vol: $1,659,541
🌤️ WEATHER#1,535$974Vol: $414,712

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,461,068
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$171,698,158
Total Redeem
$1,326,747
Portfolio
$594,918
Predictions
7199
total markets
Trades
18986B / 13951S
Daily Volume
$15,492
Account Age
880d
since Feb 9, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$120
Vol: $6,798
Week
$2,482
Vol: $769,185
Month
$5,177
Vol: $429,728
All Time
$1,461,068
Vol: $171,698,158

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
87%
246W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$1,754,186
Win Rate
50%
103W / 105L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$3,930
Avg Loss
$-43,801

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$52,424
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$38,091
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$32,131
Trump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$30,145
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$29,331
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$25,852
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$25,585
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$15,202
Will the US strike Somalia next?$12,640
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$10,165

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-527,826
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-421,894
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-293,580
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-275,944
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-242,903
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$-240,198
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$-219,034
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 3$-165,169
Will the US strike Iran next?$-157,608
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-145,169

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.669
Sortino
119.987
HHI
263
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.950
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
27.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.4m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 6.05 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness60 trades/day — mass trading360 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
71 entries
<=2
100 entries
<=5
137 entries
<=10
168 entries
<=20
209 entries
<=50
267 entries
>50
95 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)53.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 64.4%

Lebanon$32,131
Los Angeles$1,595
Miami$-17,986
Other$-4,210,036

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
258

Single bracket

<=1
209 brackets
<=2
235 brackets
<=3
242 brackets
<=4
250 brackets
<=5
253 brackets
<=8
258 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/2/2025, 8:26:28 AM1 trades$20 min
1/2/2025, 10:50:12 PM1 trades$20 min
1/5/2025, 12:58:56 AM1 trades$1,3670 min
1/5/2025, 1:11:30 AM1 trades$00 min
1/5/2025, 4:26:42 AM1 trades$00 min
1/5/2025, 5:07:55 AM1 trades$20 min
1/5/2025, 8:25:31 AM1 trades$150 min
1/5/2025, 9:49:03 AM1 trades$20 min
1/5/2025, 10:12:11 AM1 trades$380 min
1/5/2025, 10:48:21 AM1 trades$00 min
1/5/2025, 11:01:41 AM1 trades$3330 min
1/5/2025, 11:10:21 AM2 trades$44 min
1/5/2025, 11:42:39 AM1 trades$00 min
1/5/2025, 11:58:29 AM1 trades$10 min
1/5/2025, 12:22:23 PM2 trades$42 min
1/5/2025, 12:31:35 PM1 trades$670 min
1/5/2025, 12:49:21 PM1 trades$10 min
1/5/2025, 1:27:43 PM1 trades$20 min
1/5/2025, 1:40:19 PM3 trades$203 min
1/5/2025, 3:39:43 PM1 trades$30 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-28
07-25
12-31
04-10
06-16
11-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event