Polydata

@cd7ca7de

#2,388,49393

0xcd7ca7defa8fc1a6ac0fc9b6627030af041c8abc

~349d· 367 markets · 693 tradesVol: $6,3662026-06-17T19:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 69%19/20
Profit Factor 5.93x15/15
Sharpe 0.4739/15
Sortino 2.58710/10
EV $+15.18410/10
HHI 7210/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Trader cd7ca7de is an experienced and moderately active participant on Polymarket, with 693 trades across 361 markets over 349 days. Despite a negative net PnL of $-97.90, the trader maintains a high Smart Score of 93/100, placing them in the elite category, though their global PnL rank is relatively low at #2,388,493. Their portfolio value sits at $9.53 with a total traded volume exceeding $6,300, indicating consistent engagement.

Cd7ca7de prefers manual trading with a low sell percentage of 11%, signaling a buy-and-hold approach or selective selling. Their win rate of 68.3% combined with a profit factor of 6.44 suggests a strategy focused on high-probability trades and effective risk management. The trader’s Sharpe ratio of 0.47 and zero max drawdown duration imply moderate risk exposure and a steady equity growth trend. They do not engage in weather markets, indicating a preference for other market types.

The strengths of cd7ca7de include consistency and a cool-headed approach, as reflected by badges like Sniper and Contrarian, which suggest well-timed entries and the ability to capitalize on market trends. However, the negative net PnL and low portfolio value highlight potential risks in overall profitability and capital growth. Continued monitoring of their strategy’s scalability and adaptability on Polymarket is advisable.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 69%
Contrarian
52% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
Consistent
51/66 days
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,418,058$-31Vol: $3,404
CRYPTO#1,394,752$-100Vol: $1,056
📈 ECONOMICS#497,659$-2Vol: $1,031
🏛️ POLITICS#96,575$42Vol: $224
🎭 CULTURE#144,394$1Vol: $201
💰 FINANCE#126,281$1Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-98
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,366
Total Redeem
$886
Portfolio
$10
Predictions
367
total markets
Trades
618B / 75S
Daily Volume
$3
Account Age
~349d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $17
Month
$-13
Vol: $95
All Time
$-98
Vol: $6,366

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
151W / 69L events
Realized PnL
$409
Win Rate
68%
166W / 76L
Profit Factor
6.44x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $107 (26% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$57
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5$34
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 242.5$16
Spurs vs. Pistons$16
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5$13
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderi$13
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Stanford Cardinal$13
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$12
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$12
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5$11

Top Losers

Rangers vs. Islanders$-5
Ostrava Open: Alycia Parks vs Elina Avanesyan$-4
Predators vs. Capitals$-4
Baylor Bears vs. Arizona State Sun Devils$-2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2$-1
Sabres vs. Maple Leafs$-1
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards: O/U 232.5$-1
Stars vs. Golden Knights$-1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Zhizhen Zhan$-1
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.473
Sortino
2.587
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$15.184
Kelly %
41.9%
Half-Kelly
21.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
12.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 208s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human13% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
243 entries
<=2
291 entries
<=5
350 entries
<=10
357 entries
<=20
357 entries
<=50
358 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)49.7%
High (>55c)36.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.6%

Other$412
Austin$1
Denver$-1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
309

Single bracket

<=1
277 brackets
<=2
298 brackets
<=3
306 brackets
<=4
307 brackets
<=5
308 brackets
<=8
308 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/14/2026, 9:17:40 PM1 trades$10 min
1/15/2026, 2:41:50 PM1 trades$50 min
1/15/2026, 3:14:48 PM1 trades$50 min
1/15/2026, 6:52:00 PM1 trades$10 min
1/15/2026, 8:23:02 PM3 trades$31 min
1/21/2026, 4:30:06 PM4 trades$16 min
1/24/2026, 12:36:38 PM1 trades$00 min
1/25/2026, 12:10:42 AM1 trades$100 min
1/26/2026, 8:55:59 PM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 1:48:55 AM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 2:55:29 PM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 4:55:55 PM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 5:34:09 PM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 8:54:09 PM3 trades$32 min
1/27/2026, 9:30:39 PM2 trades$24 min
1/27/2026, 9:43:09 PM4 trades$48 min
1/27/2026, 9:59:59 PM2 trades$23 min
1/27/2026, 10:34:13 PM1 trades$10 min
1/27/2026, 11:21:05 PM1 trades$10 min
1/28/2026, 12:08:33 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-06
02-26
03-17
04-27
06-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event