Polydata

@cryptoaxel

#3,87172

0xf29ff5f7b92d821e631ab37ad240a2dabf945cca

~357d· 389 markets · 3349 tradesVol: $4,833,6832026-07-31 23:28:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (331/376)20/20
1.30x (win $203,820 / loss $157,384)6.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.01515/15
Sortino 1.24510/10
$+0.0133 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 127 (376 markets)10/10
182/214 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 71% of peak ($38,543 / $54,184)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+44,856
DCA Master
Avg 7.9 entries/market
Whale
$3,488,512 invested
Consistent
182/214 profitable days
High Roller
$5,434/day
Win Streak
30 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,162$36,036Vol: $3,145,781
🏛️ POLITICS#1,679$27,868Vol: $1,160,432
🎭 CULTURE#540$14,983Vol: $250,972
📈 ECONOMICS#681,878$-35,221Vol: $162,362
SPORTS#8,168$5,755Vol: $42,506
💰 FINANCE#654,013$-1,540Vol: $41,847
💻 TECH#877$1,915Vol: $15,058
📢 MENTIONS#176,252$-4,601Vol: $14,725

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$45,197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,833,683
Total Redeem
$7,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
389
total markets
Trades
2552B / 797S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~357d

Periods

#2
Today
$330
Vol: $719
Week
$65
Vol: $868
Month
$1,943
Vol: $133,415
All Time
$45,197
Vol: $4,833,683

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
331W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$44,856
Win Rate
88%
331W / 45L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$616
Avg Loss
$-3,497

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39,845 (0.8882929036889403% of PnL)

Top Winners

Trump cryptocurrency executive order in first week?$17,507
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$11,300
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$11,038
Will XRP reach $3.50 in March?$8,907
US military action against Iran before July?$8,781
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$8,460
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?$5,375
FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $5,218
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$5,090
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$4,650

Top Losers

Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during the May meeting?$-30,700
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?$-26,920
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?$-17,247
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-15,630
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 1-7?$-9,461
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 9?$-9,291
Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October?$-7,488
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?$-4,350
Will Jerome Powell say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the March meeting?$-4,224
700+ Measles cases in U.S. before May?$-3,440

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.029
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
16.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 456s — normal for humanCV 3.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)85.7%

Sessions

#12
5/18/2025, 10:10:49 PM1 trades$98,5000 min
4/9/2025, 12:40:03 PM15 trades$73,56728 min
5/1/2025, 7:40:29 AM4 trades$65,4116 min
11/2/2024, 11:03:18 PM1 trades$60,9460 min
7/2/2025, 2:58:37 PM1 trades$58,4400 min
4/9/2025, 12:29:23 PM2 trades$58,4123 min
4/9/2025, 5:25:03 PM9 trades$57,38414 min
4/9/2025, 11:45:15 AM4 trades$56,5082 min
10/28/2024, 4:06:14 PM3 trades$49,9094 min
7/7/2025, 11:58:23 PM1 trades$48,6500 min
10/6/2025, 5:36:40 PM1 trades$45,1110 min
5/1/2025, 9:56:29 AM1 trades$39,8000 min
5/19/2025, 7:04:41 AM2 trades$39,4401 min
1/29/2026, 4:50:32 PM1 trades$38,7490 min
5/6/2025, 8:45:30 PM1 trades$37,9930 min
6/15/2026, 2:26:18 AM2 trades$36,8292 min
3/26/2026, 2:01:49 PM3 trades$32,1291 min
3/2/2025, 3:40:20 PM12 trades$31,5794 min
5/10/2025, 2:27:53 PM1 trades$25,5620 min
4/7/2025, 7:08:37 AM78 trades$25,4852 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
02-17
04-21
06-24
10-21
02-07
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 88 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M10.5 / H85.7