Polydata

@devilbanker

#6,56227

0xef1bfe068ea3eb4c357d95805baf1050fd528697

1609d· 105 markets · 409 tradesVol: $1,620,6292026-05-15T22:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 37%4/20
Profit Factor 1.09x4/15
Sharpe 0.0511/15
Sortino 0.1151/10
EV $+0.1548/10
HHI 15410/10
Profit Days 31%0/10
DD/Peak 97%0/10

Summary

Devilbanker is an active trader on Polymarket with 414 days of trading history, holding a global PnL rank of 6562. They have executed 409 trades across 105 markets, accumulating a net profit of $19,487.32 on a total volume exceeding $1.6 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 27/100, devilbanker maintains a positive equity trend, with a portfolio value currently at $14,326.60 and a profit factor of 2.28, indicating effective risk-adjusted returns.

The trader favors a contrarian approach, as suggested by badges and a relatively low win rate of 47.1%, implying a tolerance for higher risk or volatility in pursuit of larger gains. Devilbanker does not engage with weather markets and exhibits a low sell percentage of 16%, suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than frequent profit-taking. Their Sharpe Ratio is low at 0.05, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns, although the absence of drawdown duration points to stable capital preservation over time.

Devilbanker’s strengths include a consistent upward equity trend and a profit factor above 2, reflecting an ability to generate returns despite a challenging win rate. The trader’s contrarian style and whale status suggest they leverage larger bets for outsized rewards. However, the below-average Smart Score and minimal risk-adjusted performance highlight potential concerns about the sustainability and efficiency of their strategy under varying market conditions on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+19,487
Contrarian
80% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$407,971

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,719$28,018Vol: $1,446,615
CRYPTO#1,501,385$-4,612Vol: $112,490
🎭 CULTURE#771,010$-3,919Vol: $61,525

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$19,487
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,620,629
Total Redeem
$2,821
Portfolio
$14,327
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
343B / 66S
Daily Volume
$985
Account Age
1609d
since Dec 20, 2021

Periods

#2
Today
$-32,762
Vol: $185,243
Week
$19,159
Vol: $653,187
Month
$11,787
Vol: $776,174
All Time
$19,487
Vol: $1,620,629

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
39%
39W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$131,108
Win Rate
47%
40W / 45L
Profit Factor
2.28x
Avg Win
$5,882
Avg Loss
$-2,291

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60,608 (45.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$26,317
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers$17,906
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets$16,385
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers$14,657
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina$13,581
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadelli$13,357
Penn Quakers vs. Yale Bulldogs$11,566
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Hamish Stewart$11,529
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rafael Jodar vs Luciano Darderi$9,148
California Baptist Lancers vs. Utah Valley Wolverines$8,517

Top Losers

Warriors vs. Knicks$-10,000
Jazz vs. Kings$-8,505
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bulls$-5,901
Warriors vs. Bucks$-5,348
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacks$-4,582
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubs$-4,452
Huzhou: Yufei Ren vs Polona Hercog$-4,400
Brewers vs. Dodgers$-3,500
Pistons vs. Raptors$-3,400
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies$-3,375

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.115
HHI
154
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.154
Kelly %
12.9%
Half-Kelly
6.4%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.0m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — typical for humanSize CV 1.38 — diverse, typical for human41% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.25 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
45 entries
<=2
68 entries
<=5
92 entries
<=10
100 entries
<=20
103 entries
<=50
105 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)70.3%
High (>55c)11.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.5%

Other$137,077
Houston$626
San Francisco$295
Seattle$0
Toronto$0
Chicago$-566
Up or Down$-2,544
Los Angeles$-2,694

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
100

Single bracket

<=1
96 brackets
<=2
99 brackets
<=3
100 brackets
<=4
100 brackets
<=5
100 brackets
<=8
100 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/28/2025, 10:06:22 PM2 trades$2,4674 min
3/29/2025, 2:25:43 AM7 trades$5,5473 min
3/29/2025, 3:46:41 AM1 trades$2,0470 min
3/29/2025, 3:52:49 AM3 trades$4,4494 min
4/4/2025, 11:24:13 PM1 trades$1,0200 min
4/4/2025, 11:30:45 PM3 trades$2970 min
4/4/2025, 11:55:54 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
4/5/2025, 12:31:27 AM1 trades$2,1350 min
4/5/2025, 3:26:47 PM5 trades$5,0476 min
4/5/2025, 3:48:13 PM1 trades$1,4790 min
4/5/2025, 3:55:17 PM1 trades$1,6830 min
4/5/2025, 4:13:51 PM1 trades$1,8940 min
4/5/2025, 4:19:31 PM1 trades$1,8940 min
4/5/2025, 11:00:04 PM1 trades$1,5200 min
4/5/2025, 11:06:04 PM2 trades$1,5120 min
4/6/2025, 12:47:26 AM1 trades$4,1960 min
4/6/2025, 1:57:40 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/6/2025, 3:13:44 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
4/6/2025, 5:25:22 AM1 trades$2,0040 min
4/6/2025, 5:50:42 AM1 trades$2,2220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-13
07-30
10-23
03-15
05-06
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event