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@devilbanker

#9,69146

0xef1bfe068ea3eb4c357d95805baf1050fd528697

1680d· 267 markets · 1723 tradesVol: $6,780,0762026-07-18T03:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 43%7/20
Profit Factor 1.19x5/15
Sharpe 0.1383/15
Sortino 0.3043/10
EV $+1.04810/10
HHI 5510/10
Profit Days 39%2/10
DD/Peak 36%7/10

Summary

Devilbanker is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 1,723 trades executed across 263 markets over 452 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #9691, reflecting a net profit of $15,431.01 from a substantial total volume of $6.78 million. Their Smart Score is 46 out of 100, indicating average trading skill, while their Sharpe ratio of 0.14 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns. The trader’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and they exhibit a short max drawdown duration of zero days.

The trading style of devilbanker appears diversified across many markets without a specific focus on weather-related questions. Their win rate of 45.8% combined with a profit factor of 1.46 points to a moderate success rate with slightly more profits than losses. The low sell percentage (7%) and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master suggest a patient, contrarian approach, often holding positions through volatility and employing dollar-cost averaging. Trading frequency is steady but does not heavily rely on automated bots, as indicated by a low Bot Score.

Devilbanker’s strengths lie in their ability to generate profits over a large volume and maintain discipline through market fluctuations. However, the downward equity trend and low Sharpe ratio highlight potential risks regarding consistency and risk management. Their average Smart Score and modest win rate suggest room for improvement in market timing or selection. Overall, devilbanker’s record on Polymarket reflects an experienced but cautious trader with a contrarian edge and some vulnerability to market drawdowns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+15,431
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.1 entries/market
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$1,973,421
High Roller
$4,366/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#2,347$24,011Vol: $6,600,947
CRYPTO#1,643,565$-4,660Vol: $117,605
🎭 CULTURE#807,207$-3,919Vol: $61,525

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$15,431
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,780,076
Total Redeem
$349,700
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
267
total markets
Trades
1598B / 125S
Daily Volume
$4,366
Account Age
1680d
since Dec 20, 2021

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
44%
105W / 133L events
Realized PnL
$335,904
Win Rate
46%
110W / 130L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$9,723
Avg Loss
$-5,644

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $103,574 (30.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels$41,059
Spurs vs. Thunder$32,025
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels$30,491
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics$26,317
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies$25,022
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins$24,475
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$23,682
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees$23,300
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$22,106
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers$20,518

Top Losers

Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina$-15,000
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-14,627
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Borna Gojo vs Jurij Rodionov$-13,904
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$-13,500
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$-13,473
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Tom Gen$-12,600
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals$-12,337
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles$-12,299
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels$-12,123
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves$-12,063

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.304
HHI
55
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.048
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.3m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — typical for humanSize CV 2.10 — diverse, typical for human39% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.1
Active DCA
<=1
104 entries
<=2
160 entries
<=5
206 entries
<=10
231 entries
<=20
242 entries
<=50
258 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)65.3%
High (>55c)27.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.5%

Other$326,570
Los Angeles$32,528
Atlanta$25,724
Miami$9,988
Chicago$5,861
Up or Down$-2,544
Houston$-7,279
Toronto$-10,287
Seattle$-22,025
San Francisco$-22,682

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
237

Single bracket

<=1
216 brackets
<=2
236 brackets
<=3
237 brackets
<=4
237 brackets
<=5
237 brackets
<=8
237 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/29/2025, 2:27:15 AM6 trades$1,6961 min
3/29/2025, 3:46:41 AM1 trades$2,0470 min
3/29/2025, 3:52:49 AM3 trades$4,4494 min
4/4/2025, 11:24:13 PM1 trades$1,0200 min
4/4/2025, 11:30:45 PM3 trades$2970 min
4/4/2025, 11:55:54 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
4/5/2025, 12:31:27 AM1 trades$2,1350 min
4/5/2025, 3:26:47 PM5 trades$5,0476 min
4/5/2025, 3:48:13 PM1 trades$1,4790 min
4/5/2025, 4:19:31 PM1 trades$1,8940 min
4/5/2025, 11:00:04 PM1 trades$1,5200 min
4/6/2025, 1:57:40 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
4/6/2025, 3:13:44 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
4/6/2025, 5:25:22 AM1 trades$2,0040 min
4/6/2025, 5:50:42 AM1 trades$2,2220 min
4/7/2025, 5:37:11 AM2 trades$5044 min
7/22/2025, 1:42:21 AM1 trades$00 min
7/22/2025, 2:01:29 AM1 trades$1230 min
7/22/2025, 2:15:11 AM2 trades$2235 min
7/22/2025, 2:27:49 AM2 trades$2,5033 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
07-30
03-15
05-15
05-28
06-19
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event