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@doldoldol

#2,290,17333

0x5b13fa4b48cee12148e46f60758791d5e39020ca

26d· 25 markets · 153 tradesVol: $4,4572026-05-16T11:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 59%15/20
Profit Factor 0.67x0/15
HHI 7019/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 646%0/10

Summary

Doldoldol is a relatively new and moderately active trader on Polymarket, having made 153 trades across 25 markets over just two days. Despite this activity, doldoldol currently holds a net loss of $102.39 and ranks #2,290,173 globally on the PnL leaderboard. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 33 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.39, indicate challenges in generating consistent profits thus far.

Doldoldol appears to adopt a cautious trading style with a 56% win rate but a low profit factor of 0.54, suggesting that their winning trades do not sufficiently offset losses. They tend to hold positions for short durations, as reflected by a max drawdown duration of zero days, and use a moderate amount of selling (36%) rather than purely buying. Their portfolio is not specialized in weather markets, showing no exposure there. The quick pace and volume of trades imply a strategy that may focus on frequent, small bets rather than large directional moves.

The key strength of doldoldol lies in consistency, supported by their top badge, but the negative PnL and risk metrics highlight significant concerns about risk management and profitability. The lack of a positive equity trend and a low profit factor suggest that doldoldol may benefit from refining their approach to improve returns and reduce losses on Polymarket.

Badges

1
Consistent
2/3 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,332,349$-102Vol: $4,457

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,457
Total Redeem
$422
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
98B / 55S
Daily Volume
$723
Account Age
26d
since Apr 24, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-104
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.54x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-18

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$-25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.393
Sortino
-34559.749
HHI
701
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
49.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
83.4
Very active
Markets / Day
13.6
Active Hours
5/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
4
Avg Duration
27 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 34s — typical for humanSize CV 1.30 — diverse, typical for human8% at night — normal sleep pattern5/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.11 — human randomness83 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
13 entries
<=5
20 entries
<=10
24 entries
<=20
25 entries
<=50
25 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.3%
Mid (20-55c)27.6%
High (>55c)55.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.4%

Other$-93

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
25

Single bracket

<=1
25 brackets
<=2
25 brackets
<=3
25 brackets
<=4
25 brackets
<=5
25 brackets
<=8
25 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 6:32:50 PM105 trades$1,74671 min
4/24/2026, 11:48:28 PM37 trades$45019 min
4/25/2026, 12:17:14 AM7 trades$1426 min
4/26/2026, 2:20:48 PM4 trades$3914 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-25
04-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event