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@downtownfee

#3,037,57322

0xbee54d90051720e27921dc6874f02d646ffca636

107d· 54 markets · 4222 tradesVol: $44,614,6802026-07-19T01:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 0.74x0/15
HHI 36610/10
Profit Days 42%3/10
DD/Peak 1887%0/10

Summary

Downtownfee is an active trader on Polymarket, having executed 4,222 trades across 54 markets over 45 days. Despite a high total trading volume of $44.6 million, downtownfee holds a negative net PnL of approximately -$3.1 million, placing them at rank #3,037,573 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their overall smart score of 22/100 indicates below-average trading performance.

The trading style of downtownfee appears to be high-volume and high-risk, as reflected in their large total volume and sizeable losses. With a win rate of 44.4% and a profit factor below 1 (0.70), their trades often result in losses outweighing gains. The trader shows no activity in weather markets and seems to maintain positions without selling, as indicated by a 0% sell rate. Downtownfee's Sharpe ratio of -0.17 suggests poor risk-adjusted returns, and their bot score of 40/100 indicates a semi-automated approach combining bot and manual trading.

Downtownfee’s strengths lie in their high activity level and upward equity trend, which may signal experience and ongoing engagement with Polymarket. However, the substantial negative PnL, low smart score, and negative risk-adjusted returns highlight significant risks. The trader’s current zero portfolio value and max drawdown duration of zero days further suggest recent losses or exit from positions, posing challenges for sustainable profitability.

Badges

3
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$24,969,528
High Roller
$554,878/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,863,505$-3,118,520Vol: $44,614,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,118,520
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,614,680
Total Redeem
$21,335,181
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
4222B / 0S
Daily Volume
$554,878
Account Age
107d
since Apr 7, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
24W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-3,118,520
Win Rate
44%
24W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$353,872
Avg Loss
$-404,242

Top Winners

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$1,212,452
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-09?$1,177,899
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$914,349
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?$861,639
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys$421,927
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska$412,350
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce$409,014
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva$393,466
Roland Garros ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Francisco Comesana$363,558
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci$357,687

Top Losers

Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?$-1,401,388
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?$-1,400,165
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-10?$-1,232,599
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-16?$-1,153,629
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-16?$-1,115,707
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-23?$-641,483
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$-594,140
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-10?$-450,903
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-05-23?$-442,020
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?$-362,842

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.166
Sortino
-0.210
HHI
366
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.146
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
109.0
Very active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.0m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
62.0

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
54% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 4.20 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.35 — human randomness109 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
78.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
3 entries
<=2
3 entries
<=5
5 entries
<=10
9 entries
<=20
16 entries
<=50
29 entries
>50
25 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)52.5%
High (>55c)47.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.9%

Chicago$140,426
New York City$-17,292
Madrid$-45,704
Milan$-1,400,165
Other$-2,311,612

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
48

Single bracket

<=1
42 brackets
<=2
48 brackets
<=3
48 brackets
<=4
48 brackets
<=5
48 brackets
<=8
48 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 7:34:14 PM60 trades$45,70426 min
4/30/2026, 3:15:40 PM20 trades$38,14222 min
4/30/2026, 3:56:02 PM4 trades$7,9993 min
4/30/2026, 4:06:30 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
4/30/2026, 5:55:20 PM13 trades$197,00010 min
4/30/2026, 6:13:54 PM15 trades$12,0861 min
4/30/2026, 6:24:02 PM38 trades$5,43233 min
5/1/2026, 12:56:44 PM126 trades$138,51346 min
5/1/2026, 1:52:16 PM98 trades$45,69152 min
5/1/2026, 2:53:26 PM7 trades$4058 min
5/1/2026, 3:08:08 PM7 trades$3,3428 min
5/1/2026, 3:27:28 PM7 trades$35212 min
5/1/2026, 3:45:56 PM10 trades$4514 min
5/1/2026, 3:55:52 PM213 trades$28,45589 min
5/1/2026, 5:54:24 PM2 trades$5,8032 min
5/1/2026, 6:05:12 PM34 trades$91,25013 min
5/1/2026, 6:45:08 PM1 trades$440 min
5/2/2026, 11:24:10 AM291 trades$362,84236 min
5/3/2026, 12:04:56 PM1 trades$7100 min
5/3/2026, 12:09:58 PM163 trades$1,399,45550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-06
05-13
05-23
06-04
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 78.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event